
媒體人詹凌瑀:謝國樑可準備回家陪小愛
2026年基隆市長選舉最新民調顯示,民進黨候選人童子瑋以38.4%支持度領先現任市長謝國樑的35.1%,雙方差距3.3個百分點。媒體人詹凌瑀批評謝國樑缺乏行政熱情,建議其選後回家陪小愛。調查由思傳媒委託,畢肯市場研究執行,戴立安主持,有效樣本1073人,最大抽樣誤差正負2.99個百分點。
AI-generated summary
本次調查由思傳媒委託,經費來源為思傳媒,畢肯市場研究股份有限公司負責調查,戴立安擔任調查主持人,調查時間為11月9日至11日進行,以設籍基隆市、年滿20歲的民眾為調查對象,採住宅電話與行動電話雙架構電腦輔助電話訪問。住宅電話採等比分層隨機抽樣,並以隨機跳號方式替換末兩碼;行動電話依核配字首抽樣,隨機產生末五碼。有效樣本共1073人,包括住宅電話749人、行動電話324人,在95%信賴水準下,最大抽樣誤差為正負2.99個百分點。
2026年基隆市長選舉最新民調顯示,民進黨候選人童子瑋以38.4%的支持度,領先現任市長謝國樑的35.1%,雙方差距3.3個百分點。對此,媒體人詹凌瑀表示,「謝國樑,可以準備回家陪小愛了!」
詹凌瑀在臉書PO文表示,選前15天,思傳媒委託畢肯市場研究做的基隆市長民調出爐。調查主持人是戴立安,數字很清楚,童子瑋38.4%,謝國樑35.1%,童子瑋反超3.3個百分點,謝國樑競辦的第一個反應是什麼?「從未聽過該媒體」。沒聽過思傳媒沒關係,數字總看得懂吧?戴立安總聽過吧?
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詹凌瑀指出,今年3月,謝國樑還贏15個百分點。到了10月,童子瑋已經追平。現在是反超3.3個百分點。一個現任市長,手握行政資源,8個月把15個百分點的領先花光,這不是對手的計劃,這是自己的成績單,更要命的在後面。一定會去投票的人裡面,童子瑋48.5%,謝國樑39.5%,差到9個百分點。童子瑋的支持者89.9%說一定會投,謝國樑的只有80.1%。連自己人都懶得出門,這像不像他們的市長?
詹凌瑀續指,基隆人怎麼看這位市長?地方上早就在講,以前很多場合市長都不來,民調拉近了才突然到處出現。平常不愛上班,選前才想到要打卡,選民不是傻子。所以4成2的人說換民進黨做做看,要國民黨繼續做的只剩3成1。反觀童子瑋,凌晨3點半就站在崁仔頂魚市拜票。林右昌說自己當年選市長走破6雙鞋,童子瑋不曉得已經走破幾雙。一個天還沒亮就上工,一個民調輸了才想到要掃街,基隆要交給誰,還需要想嗎?
詹凌瑀直言,謝市長這麼不喜歡這份工作,基隆人看起來很願意成全他。11月28日之後,他可以回家好好休息,專心當小愛的爸爸,這對他、對基隆都是好事,至於童子瑋,領先3.3個百分點不是贏,票開出來才算。最後15天,鞋子繼續走破就對了。
本次調查由思傳媒委託,經費來源為思傳媒,畢肯市場研究股份有限公司負責調查,戴立安擔任調查主持人,調查時間為11月9日至11日進行,以設籍基隆市、年滿20歲的民眾為調查對象,採住宅電話與行動電話雙架構電腦輔助電話訪問。住宅電話採等比分層隨機抽樣,並以隨機跳號方式替換末兩碼;行動電話依核配字首抽樣,隨機產生末五碼。有效樣本共1073人,包括住宅電話749人、行動電話324人,在95%信賴水準下,最大抽樣誤差為正負2.99個百分點。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
童子瑋在11月28日選舉中有機會勝選
Likely · Within days

After the New Taipei City mayoral election televised political statement, KMT candidate Li Sichuan and DPP candidate Su Qiaohui launched convoys to sweep the streets in Tamsui and Bali respectively on the morning of the 14th. The movement routes overlapped highly and moved in opposite directions. The election campaign was full of gunpowder.

Lawyer Huang Diying criticized Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan for organizing the Peace of Mind Parade, pointing out that the Kitai case resulted in 25 houses not being rebuilt for three years and citizens being displaced, and the Baolin case that caused 6 deaths of 33 people due to food poisoning and no compensation of a dime, and questioned that Chiang Wanan was not qualified to call for peace of mind.

With 14 days to go until the nine-in-one election, the Democratic Progressive Party's top five candidates, including Lai Ching-te, Hsiao Meiqin, Tsai Ing-wen, Zhuo Rongtai, and Chen Chi-mai, are divided into multiple channels. This weekend cross-elections will be held across Pingtung, Yunlin, Miaoli, Hsinchu, New Taipei, Chiayi and other places. Among them, Shen Boyang will host the "Taipei Ocean Current" finale in Guandu on Sunday.

Veteran musician Luo Dayou criticized the government for lowering the cultural threshold and named Tsai Ing-wen, Xiao Meiqin, Chen Ju and others as "unmarried and without children", causing controversy. The author believes that women have the freedom of choice to be unmarried and have no children. Tsai Ing-wen responded to the pattern and called for not blaming the low birth rate on unmarried and childless women. She also pointed out that this issue is related to the nine-in-one general election. Outdated values and personal attacks will not gain points for any camp.

A public televised political statement was held for the New Taipei City mayoral election. KMT candidate Li Sichuan attacked DPP candidate Su Qiaohui's family and the MRT budget dispute. Su Qiaohui responded in a social post, saying that Li Sichuan was controversial in professional fields such as transportation, water conservancy, and engineering, and emphasized that he had not attacked his opponents in 800 days. New Party Taipei City Councilor Hou Hanting questioned Su Qiaohui's use of flankers to spread rumors, while Sicha Mao counter-denounced that the Li Sichuan family disputes were all facts and questioned "the great official power."

A child abuse case broke out in Taipei City's Charis Kindergarten, with more than one-third of the children being victims. Political worker Zhou Xuan criticized the Taipei City Government for delaying the announcement of the consumption mediation meeting until the day before the general election vote (November 27) when Mayor Chiang Wanan evaded the incident, questioning how the handling method failed to reassure citizens.