
AI-generated summary
So far this year, 29 typhoons have occurred in the northwest Pacific and South China Sea, exceeding the annual average of 25 to 26, including 9 severe typhoons.
Typhoon Qiangpi continues to intensify, and its future trends have attracted much attention. (Extracted from Mr. Lin’s Weather Station Facebook)
Typhoon Qiangpi continues to intensify, and its future trends have attracted much attention. Lin De'en, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, pointed out that Qiangpi has a chance to break the record for the longest sustained intensity of a strong typhoon this year, which may last more than 6 to 7 days; the probability that Qiangpi's storm will hit Hualien, Yilan, Taipei, and Keelung in the next 120 hours is more than 50%, and the probability continues to rise.
Lin De'en posted on the Facebook fan page "Teacher Lin Weather Station" that Qiangpi is coming fiercely. So far this year, 29 typhoons have been generated in the northwest Pacific and South China Sea, exceeding the annual average of 25 to 26. Among them, there are 9 severe typhoons, namely Xinleke, Mikola, Bavi, White Dolphin, Shadel, Shuliji, Caiyun, Xiaoxiong, and Qiangpi, which is currently heading towards Taiwan.
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Lin De'en said that Qiangpi may even have a chance to break the record for the longest sustained intensity of a strong typhoon this year, which may last for more than 6 to 7 days, and may break this year's record for a strong typhoon that directly affects Taiwan.
Lin Deen further pointed out that the intensity of Qiangpi is still increasing, and the radius of the storm circle continues to expand. According to the latest meteorological data assessment from the Central Meteorological Administration at 2 a.m. today (19th), the probability of Qiangpi storm hitting Hualien, Yilan, Taipei and Keelung areas in the next 120 hours is 50% or above, and the probability continues to rise.
Lin Deen reminded that based on past actual observation experience, the path and intensity changes of the autumn typhoon are usually the most difficult to grasp. There is still some time before it may be affected by the typhoon. He called on the public to complete various typhoon prevention preparations as soon as possible.
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AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Typhoon Qiangpi has the opportunity to break the record for the longest sustained intensity of a strong typhoon this year, and may last more than 6 to 7 days
Possible · Within days
The probability of Storm Qiangpi hitting Hualien, Yilan, Taipei, and Keelung areas will continue to increase in the next 120 hours.
Likely · Within days

Heavy rains or heavy rains occurred in Chongqing, Hubei, Anhui, Jiangsu and other places in the Yangtze River Basin, and the rainfall will continue until tomorrow. At the same time, a new wave of strong cold air affects the central and eastern regions, bringing a temperature drop of 4 to 6°C, with local temperatures exceeding 8°C and accompanied by northerly winds. The public needs to pay attention to slippery roads, reduced visibility and heatstroke prevention.

The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that a new wave of cold air will affect most of central and eastern my country from the 19th to the 21st, with a temperature drop of 4 to 6°C, and a drop of more than 8°C in some areas. There will be northerly winds of magnitude 4 to 6, and gusts of magnitude 7 to 9. There will be moderate to heavy rain, local heavy rain or heavy rain in the eastern part of Southwest China, Jianghuai and other places; there will be sleet or light snow in western Gansu, Inner Mongolia, northern Hebei, eastern Jilin and northern Xinjiang, and there will be local heavy snow to heavy snow in high-altitude areas of Xinjiang.

The Central Meteorological Administration pointed out that the forecast path of Typhoon No. 29 Qiangpi this year has been revised northward, and it may cross the northern waters of Taiwan when it is closest to Taiwan from Friday (23rd) to Saturday (24th). Qiangpi is currently a strong platform with a central pressure of 925 hPa and moving northwest to west at 21 kilometers per hour. It will be cloudy to sunny across Taiwan today, with scattered rain in the southeast. The temperature is 31-32 degrees in the eastern half, 32-34 degrees in the western half, and 24-30 degrees on the outlying islands. The air quality in the north is average, and the high screen in the middle of the bamboo seedlings displays an orange alert. From Tuesday to Thursday, it will be cloudy to sunny, with local brief rain. From Friday to next Sunday, affected by Qiangpi, there will be showers and local heavy rain or heavy rain in the north and east.

The war in the Middle East has disrupted oil and gas supplies, creating energy pressures for governments preparing for the upcoming COP31 UN climate conference in Antalya, Turkey, while China integrates climate goals into industrial policy to protect living standards, modernize production, and drive economic growth.

The Central Weather Bureau said Typhoon Bebigat may issue a maritime warning on Wednesday night and a land warning on Thursday or Friday. Forecasts show that the typhoon will have the greatest impact on Taiwan on Friday and Saturday, bringing heavy rains to central and northern areas and eastern Yilan and Hualien. As of 2 pm yesterday, Bebigia was located about 2,470 kilometers southeast and east of Eluanbi, moving northwest and west at a speed of 20 kilometers per hour, with a maximum sustained wind speed of 191 kilometers per hour and a storm radius of 200 kilometers. Forecast models show that its path is still uncertain, and depending on the strength of the Pacific high pressure system, it may turn north or pass through the Bashi Strait.

The Philippine Department of Environment and Natural Resources stated that in response to the drought that may be intensified by El Niño, it is strengthening forest patrols, restoration of degraded ecosystems, and afforestation in key watersheds. Minister Juan Cuna pointed out that forest protection helps improve ecosystem functions and ensure long-term water supply. The National Disaster Mitigation Council said El Niño has caused agricultural losses of more than 6.5 billion pesos, affecting more than 215,000 farmers and fishermen.