The People's Association released a pre-election poll for the Taipei mayor today (20th). The Democratic Progressive Party's Shen Boyang's support surpassed the Kuomintang's Chiang Wanan's 33.3% with 50.3%, not only overtaking for the first time but also leading by 17 percentage points. In this regard, Chen Suyue, candidate for Changhua County Governor of the Democratic Progressive Party, said that she has felt the spillover effect of the "ocean current". The supply of campaign streamers exceeds the demand, and even elders aged 6 and 70 make a special trip to the service office to ask for them. She believes that this popularity will help gather supporters of the green camp and at the same time drive young people and middle voters to support the green camp.
As for whether "Ocean Current" can win over blue camp supporters to vote for green camp candidates, Chen Suyue believes that the median voters should be affected, but it is still unclear whether blue camp supporters will shift due to this.
When interviewed, Chen Suyue said that her participation in the election campaign and the fact that the ocean streamers provided by her service office were all sold out were not enough. She felt that the benefits of Taipei City's ocean currents had already spilled over to Changhua County.
She said that demand for Shen Boyang's ocean current streamers exceeds supply, and many young people are therefore more concerned about this election. This spillover effect will also be reflected in the ballot papers. Not only young people and middle voters, but also older voters are also beginning to pay attention.
Why do you think Shen Boyang's ocean current effect can gather greater support energy? Chen Suyue said that Shen Boyang, who is rich in knowledge, is an outstanding talent who can clearly discuss public issues, explain concepts and policies clearly, so that voters can better understand the issues, and will not be affected by random trends or discredited information on the Internet. Especially now, in almost every soapbox speech or forum, Shen Boyang can clearly explain his ideas and policies, which is positive for the overall election atmosphere and helps the Green Camp win the recognition of middle voters.
Many candidates hope to use the ocean trend to drive the election. Chen Suyue will hold the founding meeting of the general election this Saturday (24th). President Lai Ching-te and former President Tsai Ing-wen will support the election. Will Shen Boyang become a "mysterious guest" on that day? Chen Suyue said that Shen Boyang's election schedule is too full and his physical load must be considered, so he will not force it and is expected to send blessings through video recording.
The aforementioned poll was entrusted by the Trustees Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted telephone interviews. From October 14 to October 16, the survey targets were people registered in Taipei City and over the age of 20. 1,075 people were successfully interviewed (753 people on residential phones and 322 on mobile phones). The maximum sampling error was ±3.0%.
