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Back金價週三下跌逾1% 因聯準會鷹派訊號推升美元
金價週三下跌逾1% 因聯準會鷹派訊號推升美元
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

金價週三下跌逾1% 因聯準會鷹派訊號推升美元

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金價週三下跌1.7%,現貨黃金報每盎司4282.53美元,美元升至兩個月高點,因聯準會官員釋出鷹派訊號,市場預期年底前再度升息,壓制無息黃金吸引力。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

聯準會官員近日多次發表鷹派言論,暗示可能需要維持較長時間的高利率以對抗通膨,這直接影響無息資產如黃金的吸引力。

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黃金價格週三下跌逾1%,跌至近1週低點。(路透)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕黃金價格週三下跌逾1%,跌至近1週低點,原因是聯準會決策官員釋出鷹派訊號,推升市場對升息的預期,並帶動美元升至2個月高點,使不孳息黃金承受壓力。

現貨黃金下跌1.7%,報每盎司4282.53美元,稍早一度觸及9月17日以來最低價。

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美國12月黃金期貨收跌1.3%,報每盎司4318.40美元。

Zaner Metals副總裁兼資深金屬策略師格蘭特(Peter Grant)表示:「美元走強正對黃金形成壓力,聯準會會後官員談話相當鷹派。因此市場正逐步反映今年底前至少再升息一次的預期,而這正讓黃金承受壓力。」

美元升至2個月高點,使以美元計價的黃金對持有其他貨幣的投資人而言更加昂貴。

聯準會決策官員本週釋出鷹派基調。芝加哥聯準銀行總裁古爾斯比(Austan Goolsbee)表示,聯準會可能需要將目前的能源衝擊視為持續性通膨的來源,而不是預期這項衝擊會自行消退。

里奇蒙聯準銀行總裁巴爾金(Tom Barkin)與波士頓聯準銀行總裁柯林斯(Susan Collins)也都表示,在考量通膨疑慮後,支持聯準會上週升息的決定。

這些談話接續其他聯準會官員的說法,而這些官員已擴大對通膨的擔憂範圍。儘管黃金是傳統的抗通膨資產,但利率上升可能降低黃金相較於能產生利息資產的吸引力。

根據芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的FedWatch工具,交易員認為聯準會10月升息的機率為77%,12月升息的機率則為95%。

自2月底美以對伊朗戰爭爆發以來,黃金與油價幾乎呈現反向關係;隨著能源價格上升,市場擔心通膨以及各國央行採取更緊縮的貨幣政策,使黃金承受壓力。

其他貴金屬方面,現貨白銀下跌3.9%,至每盎司64.45美元;白金下跌5%,至1741.83美元;鈀金則下跌3.7%,至1259.24美元。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 聯準會將在10月會議上升息

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 金價在短期內將繼續承壓

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 聯準會是否真的會在10月或12月升息?
  • 如果通膨數據出現明顯降溫,聯準會會否改變鷹派立場?

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