BackCountdown to sinking the US ship: Iran established an asymmetric pocket in the Strait, and the Saudi Aramco headquarters caught fire again on the 14th
Countdown to sinking the US ship: Iran established an asymmetric pocket in the Strait, and the Saudi Aramco headquarters caught fire again on the 14th
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中国新闻网1 hour agoWorld2 min readChinaView original

Countdown to sinking the US ship: Iran established an asymmetric pocket in the Strait, and the Saudi Aramco headquarters caught fire again on the 14th

Quick Look

  • Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy Commander Azmaei said that US warships were forced to retreat 700 kilometers due to Iran's asymmetric threat.
  • Iran has carried out interceptions and strikes many times.
  • The US military claims that it still controls the Strait waterway, but ground information shows that US warships deliberately keep a distance from Iran's territorial waters.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Strait of Hormuz is an important oil transportation channel in the world. Iran has long used asymmetric force to threaten to block the strait to pressure the United States and its allies. The United States and Iran have engaged in a long-term game over the navigation rights of the strait and sanctions on Iran's nuclear issue.

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China News Service, Beijing, October 14 (Wei Zhiqiang) "We are counting down the days until the US warship approaches the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz."

On October 13, local time, Azmaei, commander of the Navy of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, officially released this tough statement to the media.

The chokepoint, known as the "world's oil valve," has once again been pushed to the forefront of the U.S.-Iran game.

The Revolutionary Guards set up asymmetric pockets in the strait: "US warships were forced to retreat 700 kilometers"

"The valuable US warships have become useless. These ships dare not approach the strait and are currently forced to be stationed 700 kilometers away from the Strait of Hormuz." Azmay announced this on-the-ground confrontation data in a briefing on the 13th.

As the core defense force of Iran’s defense line in the Persian Gulf, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy has long been dominated by asymmetric weapons. Since Azmaei was appointed as the navy commander in July, this force, which uses speedboats, shore-based missiles and mines to deconstruct the strait into tactical "pockets", has continuously recorded first-hand results in the past 30 days:

September 8: The Revolutionary Guards successfully intercepted and captured a US military high-security intelligent unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) at the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz;

September 9: The Revolutionary Guards used drone swarms and anti-ship missiles to carry out oppressive targeted attacks on two U.S. Navy frigates and eight Western commercial oil tankers;

October 13: The Iranian Navy officially reported that an "illegal" transnational oil tanker that ignored warnings and crossed the strait was directly damaged and caught fire in the Persian Gulf.

The US military claims to control navigation, but Iran is using small boats to lock its coordinates with the naked eye.

In the Strait, faced with Iran’s increasing pressure, the U.S. Central Command insisted on social media on the 14th that the Strait of Hormuz is still controlled by the U.S. military and its multinational regional partners. The US also issued a set of quantitative battle reports to stabilize the commodity market: "In the past 24 hours, the US military, in conjunction with its Gulf allies, has just assisted in escorting more than 19 million barrels of crude oil safely out of the strait."

But the defense front on the ground gave a different signal. On the 12th, Iranian Navy Deputy Commander Beimani pointed out in a front-line briefing: Due to fear of being targeted by missiles, the core maritime forces of the US military are retreating significantly, and all organic ships, including aircraft carriers, are deliberately maintaining a safe distance from Iran's territorial waters.

According to Reuters, even in the extreme situation where most electronic radar facilities have been suppressed and destroyed by US military technology, the Iranian military is still using a large number of unarmed observers on small patrol boats to continuously identify and lock the specific position of US warships with the naked eye.

Conflict of interests: You want low-price oil, he wants to lift sanctions

On one side, the war continues on the front line, and on the other side, the White House is unusually silent, hiding the United States and Iran's respective calculations before the November election.

The White House’s demands are pragmatic: to safeguard the freedom of shipping lanes in the Persian Gulf, keep retail diesel prices in the United States below the red line, and stabilize votes; Tehran’s demands are to interfere with this behavior and force the United States to truly relax its financial and crude oil export sanctions.

Both sides are using their own methods to force the other to bow, but geopolitical bullets will not wait for politicians to settle accounts at the negotiating table.

On the 14th local time, less than 48 hours after the large diesel oil deal between the United States and Russia was completed, Saudi Aramco’s administrative headquarters building in the Eastern Province was directly hit by a drone swarm and a fire broke out. Directly dragged down by this geopolitical fuse, international crude oil prices surged in reverse after the opening. The main Brent crude oil contract rose rapidly to 1.24% during the day, repeating the upward trend. (over)

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Iran's Revolutionary Guards will continue to use asymmetric means to pressure US ships in the Strait of Hormuz

    Likely · Within weeks

  • The U.S. military may strengthen its anti-drone and anti-speedboat defense capabilities in the Persian Gulf

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • Will the US military adjust its military deployment in the Persian Gulf to deal with the Iranian threat?
  • Will Iran continue to escalate military operations in the Strait?
  • Was the attack on Saudi Aramco facilities carried out by Iran or its proxies?
  • Will the United States and Iran reach a temporary agreement on the Strait issue and sanctions before the upcoming US election?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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