According to the DPP’s internal public opinion data, the DPP’s Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang (right) has a total online voice count of 1.87 million in the latest week, far surpassing Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan (left)’s 1.11 million (File photo, photo by reporters Tian Yuhua and Luo Peide)
Shen Boyang, the Taipei mayoral candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, has set off an "ocean current". In late September, the total online voice volume surpassed that of the Kuomintang mayor Chiang Wanan who is seeking re-election for the first time. In the latest week, it reached 1.87 million, far better than Chiang's 1.11 million. However, the blue camp recently found out that Shen 12 years ago He was besieged by articles on drug prevention and control in an attempt to label him "pro-drug", which caused Shen's favorability to flip from positive 1.3% to negative 11.1%. However, this wave of offensive also caused Jiang Wanan's favorability to drop from negative 39.7% to negative 51.1%, and the number of negative voices soared past 60%.
Latest public opinion data: Shen Boyang’s total voice volume doubled from 833,000 to 1.875 million
According to the DPP's internal public opinion data, Shen Boyang's total voice volume has doubled from 833,000 in late September to 1.875 million, and Jiang Wanan's has climbed from 797,000 to 1.115 million, with a gap of 760,000 between the two sides; however, the proportion of Shen's negative articles has increased from 29 .5% increased to 38.8%, and the sentiment P/N value dropped from plus 1.3% to minus 11.1%; the proportion of Chiang’s negative articles also increased from 51.2% to 61.1%, with only 9.9% positive, and the sentiment value dropped from minus 39.7% to minus 51.1%.
The proportion of Jiang Wanan’s negative articles increased from 51.2% to 61.1%
According to analysis by party insiders, Shen Boyang has surpassed Chiang Wanan in terms of total voice for several weeks. The Chiang camp has recently launched a campaign mode. First, it set up a bid to build a sunny image. The next day, it dispatched the "Five Tiger Generals of the Legislative Yuan" to launch an offensive, and fully launched the offensive and defensive industry chain of the blue camp. They frantically fought against the "archaeological issues" that they had argued about last year and wanted to label them "very poisonous." Data analysis shows that Shen's negative voice has increased and the negative attacks of the blue camp have been effective.
Data analysis shows: Shen’s negative voice has increased, and Lanying’s negative attacks are effective
Party insiders bluntly said that Chiang Wanan's consistent strategy is to "not think about review and shift the focus." He won the election four years ago by discrediting Chen Shih-chung's effectiveness in epidemic prevention. Recently, he used "problem oil" to stir up hate mobilization and shouted "Not taking to the streets is your death" due to frequent rat infestations. Later, it was discovered that inspections in Taipei and Taichung failed. Now he can't even manage the food safety of nutritious lunches, and he wants to make a fuss about C prohibiting drugs from entering schools. Negative elections are obviously the main theme of the blue camp's election campaign.
Negative elections have become the main theme of the blue camp’s election campaign
Party insiders analyze that four years ago, under the "three-legged governor" situation, Chiang Wanan's camp used negative attacks to mobilize the base of the blue camp, which was enough to win the election. However, this time it was a one-on-one duel, using the discussion of public policy to throw dirty water. Central voters would not agree. It can be expected that the blue camp will continue to raise issues against the conservative far right to stimulate confrontation. However, whether it is an election operation or a discussion of municipal issues, everyone has gradually become aware of it.
Party insiders believe that this is also the reason why Chiang Wanan’s recent policy satisfaction and dissatisfaction are approaching. Taipei’s municipal government has repeatedly failed to achieve success. Nutritious lunches, parasols, and a smoke-free city are all well-proclaimed but poorly planned. The public service system is frequently disconnected, and volunteers from the Social Affairs Bureau are stealing from the elderly. Controversies over money and excessive police inspections at bars have caused citizens to question Jiang Wanan's execution ability. In contrast to Shen Boyang's continued efforts to put forward a municipal vision and confront various issues head-on, this confrontation in the capital's mayoral election will spread to the main axis of Taiwan's election campaign.
