
德国总理默茨在内政压力下寻求外交突破,通过加强欧盟贸易工具及寻求多元化供应链以应对中国挑战。
德国总理默茨正推动对华政策“时代转折”,通过与法国合作强化欧盟贸易工具,并寻求日本、韩国及澳大利亚等伙伴以降低对华依赖。此举旨在应对中国不公平贸易及国家安全威胁,但面临国内政治压力及潜在报复风险。
AI-generated summary
德国政府正面临内政压力,同时试图在外交上通过减少对华依赖来保障国家安全。默茨总理计划通过访问亚太地区国家来强化供应链多元化。
(德国之声中文网)《法兰克福汇报》评论认为,内政方面受到左右夹击之际,德国总理默茨在外交领域却表现出了卓越的领导力,这一点在对华政策方面表现得尤为突出。这篇题为《对华政策出现了时代转折》的评论写道:
“在瞬息万变的当今世界,默茨总理显然也想为德国在中等强国阵营中找到一席之地。但问题却在于,内政和外交总是相互交织的:默茨牢牢掌舵外交政策之际,内政之船却已严重漏水,连他本人都随时面临被冲走的危险。这种局面能长久吗?
尽管如此,默茨不仅继续坚守其支持乌克兰的方针,甚至还大胆开启了对华政策的新路线。其中最具代表性的,就是他同法国总统马克龙要求欧盟设立对华贸易工具的共同呼吁。尽管两人发出的联名信并没有提及中国,但信号却非常明确。
德国方面意识到,对于中国廉价产品在欧盟市场上泛滥,以及中国不公平的贸易手段,是时候采取遏制行动了。德国不仅失去了成千上万的工作岗位,而且对中国的高度依赖已经到了威胁国家安全的程度。中国的目的就是要借助贸易手段,以自己的意愿去塑造一个新的世界秩序。但这一新秩序却是违背德国利益的,北京对俄罗斯侵乌战争的支持就足以说明这一点。”
《法兰克福汇报》的评论指出,默茨酝酿中的强硬对华政策,很有可能会招致中国方面的反制措施:在华德企的境遇或许会变得更糟,北京可能会再度收紧稀土出口。届时,默茨还能获得党内足够多的支持吗?
“在援乌政策方面,尽管面临越来越多的批评,但默茨始终没有改变既定立场。同样,在对华政策方面,默茨也应表现出勇气和魄力。默茨当然很清楚,他在基辅呼吁和平时,这种鲜明的外交立场也会为他在内政方面赢得政治资本。他这样做是完全正确的。因为,在这个艰难的时刻,任何一位德国总理都不仅要面对选民,也要面对整个世界。”
默茨的对华新政会让北京信服吗?
默茨总理悄然推动的对华政策“时代转折”,在执政联盟内部以及德法两国政府间取得了前所未有的共识。那么,柏林的坚定决心真能让北京信服吗?《商报》评论写道:
“在最为理想的状态下,这将是一个漫长而艰难道路的起点,其目的则是增强德国和欧洲工业同中国开展竞争的实力。这条道路要想指向成功,我们必须采取措施提升德国的创新活力以及强化欧盟的内部市场。与此同时,我们还需要强大的国际伙伴,以降低对中国供应链的依赖程度,并开展未来技术领域的伙伴合作。
为此目的,默茨本月底将出访日本和韩国。在博世基金会‘全球对话’项目的框架内,十名联邦议员将出访堪培拉和悉尼,与此同时,经济部国务秘书洛恩霍夫(Stefan Rouenhoff)也将前往澳大利亚商讨合作事宜。在减少对华关键原材料依赖的问题上,澳大利亚扮演着至关重要的角色。德国政府和议会正在携手推进这一目标。
但是,要想让对华新路线经得起考验,首先要让北京方面信服,德国愿意为此付出代价,绝不会在遭遇第一轮报复时就打退堂鼓。为此目的,默茨的对华政策需要获得德国社会的强力支持。有鉴于此,那些为保障德国就业岗位而支持对华务实政策的人,应当更多地参与社会讨论,也应同工会进行沟通。
否则,舆论高地就会被拱手让给选项党、萨瓦联盟以及左翼党。上述政党均主张对北京采取亲善路线,并指责默茨正在挑起同中国的贸易战。”
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
默茨将于本月底出访日本和韩国。
Very likely · Within weeks

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