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Back急修“安保三文件” 日本军事扩张意图凸显
急修“安保三文件” 日本军事扩张意图凸显
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中国新闻网2 hours agoDefense2 min readChinaView translation

急修“安保三文件” 日本军事扩张意图凸显

Quick Look

日本政府正研究将铁路纳入防卫配套公共基础设施建设范畴,并计划将其写入年底修订的《安保三文件》,以完善突发事态下自卫队物资补给和装备运输通道,强化持续作战保障能力。此举被视为日本突破战后“专守防卫”原则、加速再军事化的关键一步,引发地区安全担忧。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

2022年底,日本通过《国家安全保障战略》《国家防卫战略》《防卫力量整备计划》三份安保文件,被认为是日本安全与防务的总纲领。如今安保三文件执行未满四年,日本政府即推进修订工作。

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据日本方面12日消息,日本政府正研究将铁路纳入防卫配套公共基础设施建设范畴,并计划写入年底修订的“安保三文件”,旨在完善突发事态下自卫队物资补给、装备运输通道,强化持续作战保障能力。

日本政府紧锣密鼓推动修订“安保三文件”,这是其突破战后“专守防卫”原则的关键一步。2022年底,日本通过《国家安全保障战略》《国家防卫战略》《防卫力量整备计划》三份安保文件,被认为是日本安全与防务的总纲领。如今“安保三文件”执行未满四年,高市政府就急于“修旧立新”,其压缩政策周期、加速军事转轨的急躁姿态,已然暴露无遗。

今年4月27日,日本政府就推进启动“安保三文件”修订工作,召开首次专家会议。日本首相高市早苗在会上提出,日本应推进应对“新型作战方式”的能力,为长期战争做好准备。

6月9日,日本自民党通过了该党拟向日本政府提交的修订“安保三文件”建议草案。草案内容激进,包括大幅增加防卫费、大力发展进攻性军事力量等。

9月23日,日本共同社报道称,即将于今年年底修订的“安保三文件”将把人工智能的全面应用作为防卫能力建设重点,其中的《防卫力量整备计划》草案更是提出,要购买超过5万台无人装备。

10月7日,日方消息称,日本政府将在今年年底修订的“安保三文件”中,考虑写入“探讨引进核动力潜艇”的相关内容。

日借修改“安保三文件”加速推进再军事化

中国社会科学院日本研究所研究员 吕耀东:日本近期修改“安保三文件”的范围逐渐扩大,将铁路等民用基础设施建设也纳入防卫经费,同时加快太空和人工智能的军事化。尤其是探讨引进核动力潜艇等一系列举动,并非孤立的防卫政策调整,而是系统性、制度化的战略转向,深刻暴露日本突破战后和平体制、加速推进再军事化,谋求进攻性军事能力的战略意图。

日加剧地区紧张局势 挑战战后国际秩序

中国社会科学院日本研究所研究员 吕耀东:日本政府近期扩大“安保三文件”修改的力度和范围,不仅对东亚地区,乃至对世界和平都将造成深远的负面影响。日本近年来大力强化远程反击能力,建设无人机作战系统以及太空军事力量,同时刻意渲染周边安全威胁,造成地区安全环境发生重大变化,这一切都严重破坏了地区的和平稳定与发展。日本右翼势力试图通过修改安保政策,摆脱战后体制的束缚。这种行为挑战战后国际秩序,损害地区互信基础,加剧地区紧张局势。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 日本将在年底前完成安保三文件修订,并正式将铁路纳入防卫配套设施范畴

    Very likely · Within months

  • 日本将在未来1-2年内推进核动力潜艇的可行性研究或引进谈判

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 日本修订安保三文件后,具体将分配多少防卫费用于铁路防卫化?
  • 日本探讨引进核动力潜艇的时间表和技术可行性如何?
  • 周边国家对日本军事化举措的具体外交回应是什么?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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