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BackThe Qiang Pi typhoon may hit the stage! Wu Derong warned that "these two days" will be the most severe storms
The Qiang Pi typhoon may hit the stage! Wu Derong warned that "these two days" will be the most severe storms
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自由时报1 hour agoEnvironment2 min readChinaView original

The Qiang Pi typhoon may hit the stage! Wu Derong warned that "these two days" will be the most severe storms

Quick Look

  • Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Science of National Central University, pointed out that this year's strong Typhoon No.
  • 29 Qiangpi may land in Taiwan or turn north from the offshore sea, which will bring the threat of strong winds and heavy rains and should not be underestimated.
  • He predicts that today and tomorrow it will be sunny in the western half and occasional brief rain in the eastern half.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Wu Derong is an adjunct associate professor in the Department of Atmospheric Science of National Central University, and often provides weather analysis in the "Tianji Classroom" column of the Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation. The article mentioned that Qiangpi, the 29th strong station this year, is currently located in the western sea of ​​Guam and heading northwest to the eastern sea of ​​Taiwan.

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Wu Derong pointed out that the strong Taiwan Qiangpi may land or turn north from the offshore waters of Taiwan. The threat of strong winds and heavy rains must not be underestimated. (Extracted from the website of the Central Meteorological Administration)

Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor of the Department of Atmospheric Science at National Central University, pointed out that today and tomorrow (19th and 20th) it will be sunny in the west and occasionally rainy in the east; rain will turn to the windward side on Wednesday and Thursday (21st and 22nd), and the temperature will drop day by day; this year's No. 29 strong station Qiangpi may make landfall or turn north from the coast of Taiwan, and the threat of strong winds and heavy rains is expected, which must not be underestimated.

Wu Derong said in the Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation's "Tianji Classroom" column today that the latest European model simulations show that today and tomorrow the western half will be sunny and stable, while the eastern half will be sunny and cloudy with occasional localized short-lived rain. The daytime temperatures in various places are relatively high, and the temperature difference between day and night is large, which is an "autumn tiger" pattern.

Please read on...

Wu Derong pointed out that the latest model simulation shows that the northeast monsoon will strengthen on Wednesday afternoon, and rain will turn on the windward side; the rain on the windward side will gradually increase on Thursday, and the impact on the leeward side will be slight, and the temperature will drop day by day.

Affected by Qiangpi on Friday and Saturday (23rd and 24th), the intensity of wind and rain in various places is related to whether it will make landfall in its path, which is still uncertain and needs further observation. Next Sunday (25th), Qiangpi will gradually move away, the wind and rain will stop, and the weather will stabilize.

Wu Derong analyzed that the latest typhoon track potential forecast map of the Central Weather Bureau shows that Qiangpi is in the western sea of ​​Guam, heading northwest and west towards the eastern sea of ​​Taiwan. The uncertainty of the path includes landing in Taiwan and turning northward in the offshore waters of Taiwan; Qiangpi will continue to strengthen and expand, and is expected to reach its peak today and tomorrow.

The latest simulation path of the European Collection Model shows that Qiangpi will mostly continue to move northwest and west towards Taiwan, and it is possible for the center to make landfall or pass through Taiwan's offshore waters. Wu Derong added that although Qiangpi will gradually weaken as it approaches Taiwan, its intensity is still strong. The threat of strong winds and heavy rains must not be underestimated. The model will continue to adjust and should be closely observed.

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Qiangpi will reach its peak intensity today and tomorrow

    Likely · Within days

  • Starting from Wednesday, it will rain on the windward side, and the temperature will drop day by day.

    Very likely · Within days

  • The intensity of wind and rain on Friday and Saturday is related to whether the Qiangpi path will make landfall, which is still uncertain.

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • Will Qiang Pi finally land in Taiwan?
  • If it turns north, what is the specific scope of impact?
  • When is the most severe storm?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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