
AI基礎建設需求持續強勁,外媒認為近期半導體類股修正可能過頭
台積電2026年10月營收年增近60%,前10個月累計成長43.3%,AI需求推動晶圓代工業務成長。外媒認為台積電與ASML估值吸引,近期半導體股賣壓可能過頭,為投資人提供逢低布局機會。
AI-generated summary
全球半導體類股近期遭遇猛烈賣壓,費城半導體指數自10月初以來下跌17%。台積電作為先進邏輯晶片製造領域的領先企業,其營收表現與資本支出計畫被視為半導體產業風向球。
台積電在先進邏輯晶片製造領域具有高度優勢。(示意圖,法新社)
〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕近期全球半導體類股遭遇猛烈賣壓,費城半導體指數自10月初以來下跌17%,不過,隨著半導體龍頭企業陸續公布營運數據,市場開始出現不同聲音。外媒《The Motley Fool》分析指出,從台積電最新營收表現來看,AI基礎建設需求並未降溫,這波半導體股修正可能已經過頭,反而為投資人提供逢低布局的機會,其中台積電與艾司摩爾(ASML)被點名為值得關注的兩大標的。
根據台積電最新公布的數據,2026年10月營收較去年同期大增近60%,成長動能持續加速。今年7月、8月及9月營收年增率分別達45%、53%及55%,顯示AI相關需求仍在持續推升晶圓代工業務。
台積電在10月法說會中也表示,受到代理型AI及開源AI模型日益普及的帶動,客戶需求持續呈現強勁且長期的成長。公司管理層認為,隨著AI基礎建設持續擴張,半導體在全球供應鏈中的重要性也將進一步提升。
統計2026年前10個月,台積電營收已較去年同期成長43.3%,外媒認為,近期營收成長速度加快,全年營收成長率有機會超越原先設定的44%目標。此外,市場對台積電長期每股盈餘(EPS)成長的預期,今年也出現大幅上修。
儘管台積電股價自10月初以來出現雙位數跌幅,但目前預估本益比約18倍,相較之下具有估值吸引力。外媒認為,在AI晶片需求持續強勁的情況下,近期股價回檔反而可能是投資人布局的機會。
除了台積電,另一家受惠於AI基礎建設擴張的企業則是全球半導體設備龍頭艾司摩爾。台積電管理層上個月指出,公司今年資本支出預計達600億至640億美元,明顯高於2025年的409億美元,且2026年至2028年的資本支出將顯著高於過去3年。
台積電持續擴大資本支出,意味著對先進製程設備的需求也將增加,而ASML正是其中的重要受惠者。該公司生產的極紫外光(EUV)微影設備,是台積電製造先進AI晶片不可或缺的關鍵工具。
不過,ASML股價同樣受到近期半導體股賣壓影響,自10月初以來下跌超過15%,目前預估本益比約23倍,低於過去5年平均的32.5倍。外媒指出,ASML今年第3季每股盈餘年增136%,但股價評價反而下滑,對長期投資人而言,可能形成不錯的布局機會。
更重要的是,ASML預期未來幾年晶片製造設備需求將持續強勁,甚至超過目前產能。公司計畫在2027年將EUV微影系統產量提高30%,並評估2028年進一步擴大產量,增幅可能超過30%。
由於ASML在EUV微影設備市場具有獨占地位,具備一定的定價能力,加上台積電等主要客戶持續增加資本支出,以及全球AI基礎建設投資不斷擴大,市場對其長期成長前景也更加看好。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
台積電全年營收成長率有機會超越原先設定的44%目標
Likely · Within months
ASML未來幾年晶片製造設備需求將持續強勁,甚至超過目前產能
Likely · Within years

Chung Jiming, chairman of Handian Food, revealed that the food processing plant established in London ten years ago is one of the few food factories in Taiwan that has obtained a qualified local license. Handian exports Taiwanese beef noodles, sweet potato balls, plant-based meat and other products to Costco in the UK and Oriental Supermarket in the Netherlands. 60% of its revenue comes from Taiwan and 40% from overseas. It has also delivered food to support Taiwanese national athletes at the 2024 Paris Olympics.

The ocean-going ro-ro ship "Anji 11" carrying 1,191 Chinese commercial vehicles departed from Nanjing Port on the 14th and headed for the Philippines, marking the opening of a new ro-ro foreign trade channel "Nanjing-Southeast Asia". This new channel fills the gap in Nanjing Port's direct ro-ro shipping capacity towards Southeast Asia, opens up a new maritime logistics channel for Yangtze River Delta auto companies to go overseas, and helps shorten the logistics transfer cycle and reduce the company's comprehensive logistics costs.

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Nvidia founder Huang Renxun resigned as CEO and board member on November 12, 2026 due to multiple extramarital affairs. The identity of the Chinese-American woman Huang Le remains a mystery, and "Chinese Spy" has become an Internet buzzword, triggering discussions on racial and gender discrimination. Chinese officials have neither set the tone nor controlled public opinion. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs described the relevant arguments as slander and slander. NVIDIA's stock price fell by 17.75% in eight trading days, and its market value had evaporated by approximately US$600 billion.

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Hunan intelligent robot companies are accelerating their overseas expansion. Youlong Robot has sent 2,000 sets of exoskeleton robots to France, Italy and the United Kingdom. Super robot products have been exported to more than 10 countries. Shibit Robot has undertaken tens of millions of dollars in business from Caterpillar. Changtai Robot has obtained EU CE certification. In 2025, Hunan's industrial robot exports were 99.72 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 82.1%.