
以色列因英国禁止进口约旦河西岸定居点商品而驱逐20名英国外交官并要求关闭其在耶路撒冷的领事馆,英国则称领事馆仅更名为使团并继续运作,双方在东耶路撒冷地位问题上存在深刻分歧,领馆事件成为英以关系持续恶化的最新体现。
AI-generated summary
英以关系已连续三年降温,英国曾制裁定居点相关人员和实体、限制武器出口、承认巴勒斯坦国,以色列认为这些措施损害自身利益并指责英国干涉内政,双方在地面问题上存在深刻分歧:英国坚持东耶路撒冷是被占领土并支持两国方案,以色列则宣布整座耶路撒冷为其永久不可分割的首都。
以色列当地时间10月8日清晨,耶路撒冷东部的谢赫·贾拉社区,英国驻耶路撒冷领事馆的门牌,在以色列给出的最后通牒截止前夕,连夜被悄然摘下。
但楼上的旗帜没有降。
同一天,两个官方说法同时出现。以色列外长萨尔宣布:领事馆停止运作,包括总领事在内的20名英国外交官离任。
英国外交大臣米利班德回应:“不接受”,领馆只是“更名”为英国驻耶路撒冷使团,继续运作。
一座存在了近200年的领馆,就这样“降级”了。但它,比以色列建国还早一个多世纪。
一纸制裁,30天倒计时
整个事件的导火索是:9月8日英国宣布禁止进口约旦河西岸定居点商品,法国、加拿大等12国外长同日发表联合声明。
面对制裁,以色列的回应很强硬:30天内关闭领馆、把英国代表逐出“国际加沙支持中心”、停止英国训练巴方安全部队、禁止12名英国官员入境。
30天里,英国首相的国家安全事务顾问鲍威尔秘密访以斡旋,但并未取得成效。
直到10月5日,以方放话:如期关闭。
门牌摘了,台阶尚存
10月8日限期一到,双方各读各的。以方强调“外交机构停止运作,这就是关闭”;英方强调“人还在、服务还在,只是换了个名字”。
但“互留台阶”也藏在了细节里:领馆大楼归英国所有,以方同意英方设工作组,但只留7名外交官,活动范围“十分有限”。20人走,7人留,英国在耶路撒冷的地面存在没有断。
萨尔一边说“英以关系十分重要”,一边留了句狠话:“我无法保证未来不出现更大的危机。”
米利班德则承诺,未来几个月争取恢复外交存在。
裂痕不止一块门牌
事实上,英以关系已经三年连续降温:制裁定居点相关人员和实体、限制武器出口、承认巴勒斯坦国。
以色列对此认为这些措施损害自身利益,还指责英国干涉内政。
更深的分歧在地面上——英国坚持东耶路撒冷是被占领土,支持“两国方案”;以色列1967年占领后,单方面宣布整座城市是“永久、不可分割的首都”,至今未获国际社会普遍承认。
领馆的存废,正好卡在这个分歧点上。所以眼下的局面,似乎更像是一场精确控制烈度的交火:制裁在先,报复在后,最后各退一步。
萨尔那句“无法保证未来不出现更大的危机”还悬着。英以这道裂痕会不会继续撕大,要看英国那“未来几个月”能不能兑现,也要看定居点问题还会不会被再次引爆。
作者:王曦
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
英国将在未来几个月内努力恢复其在耶路撒冷的外交存在
Possible · Within months
以色列可能在未来采取更大规模的外交或经济报复措施
Possible · Within months

Colin Mackerras, a famous Australian sinologist, died of illness in Brisbane on the evening of October 8, local time, at the age of 87. He has long been committed to cultural exchanges between China and Australia and has won honors such as the Chinese Government Friendship Award.

At the beginning of the month, the Coast Guard discovered that a Chinese fishing boat was illegally anchoring near Dongsha Island. After the Yunlin ship carried out radio broadcasts three times in accordance with the law to no avail, it used water cannons to drive them away. A video circulated on social media showed children on the boat and people laughing and fishing, triggering heated discussions and doubts among netizens.

At the beginning of the month, the Coast Guard discovered that the Chinese fishing vessel "Golden Shark" was illegally anchoring near Dongsha Island. The Yunlin vessel carried out radio broadcasts to dislodge it three times in accordance with the law, but failed to do so, and then used water cannons to dislodge it. A video circulated on social media showed that there were children on the boat and a group of people were laughing and fishing, but they refused to listen to the broadcast. This caused netizens to question and ridicule their behavior. Some netizens bluntly said that bringing children in violation of regulations is a bad example, while others thought it was a deliberate provocation or a broken brain.

Osamu Narita, an important figure in Aichi Prefecture and deputy speaker of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, was accused of driving into the competition venue during the Asian Games, causing controversy. He has apologized and said he will resign as deputy speaker. The incident occurred at the Aichi Prefecture International Exhibition Ground, where the Asian Games fencing event is held. People are dissatisfied with the Liberal Democratic Party's frequent scandals and demand its resignation.

Sun Xiaobo, head of the Chinese delegation and director of the Arms Control Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, pointed out at the 81st session of the Disarmament and International Security Committee of the United Nations General Assembly that the international order after World War II is facing a serious impact. He criticized the current Japanese regime for denying the history of aggression, whitewashing war crimes, strengthening its military and promoting remilitarization, and challenging the international nuclear non-proliferation system and the post-war international order. He urged Japan to deeply reflect on its history of aggression, completely break away from militarism, abandon its remilitarization plot, and fulfill its international legal obligations of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons.

Eslami, chairman of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, said Iran would never give up uranium enrichment, calling it the starting point of its nuclear industry and a national right. Trump said on the same day that the United States and Iran were negotiating and that the United States would not attack Iran before the congressional midterm elections. However, the US military was reportedly preparing to restart combat operations against Iran and formulate a strike plan.