
國際貨幣基金組織發布最新《世界經濟展望》,委內瑞拉通膨率預估達467.9%,台灣與日本並列第163位。
根據IMF《世界經濟展望》,2026年全球通膨率預測顯示,委內瑞拉以467.9%居全球之冠。台灣預估通膨率為2%,排名第163位。報告指出全球通膨情勢差異顯著,能源成本與地緣政治緊張仍是主要風險因素。
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國際貨幣基金組織定期發布《世界經濟展望》,評估全球各國經濟指標與通膨預測。
全球通貨膨脹壓力持續受到關注。根據國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)最新《世界經濟展望》預測,2026年全球通膨率將達4.7%,其中委內瑞拉以467.9%高居全球第一,遠遠超越其他國家;伊朗則以78.6%排名第二,南蘇丹、阿根廷及土耳其也面臨嚴重的物價上漲壓力。相較之下,美國預估通膨率為3.6%,加拿大為2.8%,台灣和日本為2%,全球各地的通膨情勢呈現明顯差異。
這份統計涵蓋全球191個經濟體,顯示通膨最嚴重的國家,多半面臨貨幣貶值、戰爭衝突或長期經濟不穩定等問題。其中,委內瑞拉通膨率預估高達467.9%,伊朗為78.6%,蘇丹為41.3%,阿根廷及土耳其則分別達32.5%及31.2%。
此外,第6至10名,分別為南蘇丹27.6%、馬拉威21.9%、海地21.5%、緬甸20%,奈及利亞也有15.6%。
另一方面,通膨率最低的國家中,非洲的尼日預估將出現-1.9%的通貨緊縮,為全球最低;其次為哥斯大黎加,通膨率為-0.8%,中非國家查德則為-0.7%。此外,瑞士與列支敦斯登的通膨率均為0.7%,貝南、汶萊、加彭、千里達及托巴哥共和國均為0.8%,塞席爾則為0.9%,顯示這些國家的物價漲幅相對溫和。
至於亞洲方面,菲律賓為5.8%,越南4.7%,南韓2.7%,新加坡2.3%,馬來西亞2.2%,泰國2.1%,台灣及日本為2%,屬於通膨率相對低的國家,排在名單第163位,而香港1.9%,中國1%。
雖然全球主要大型經濟體的通膨情況相對穩定,但物價長期累積上漲,仍持續對家庭生活造成壓力。此外,較低的整體通膨率也不一定代表能源價格衝擊已經消失。
以亞太地區為例,超過80%的經濟體已採取補貼、減稅或價格管制等措施,試圖降低能源成本對消費者的影響。不過,這些政策雖然能在短期內壓低物價上漲幅度,部分成本卻會轉由政府預算承擔。
除了各國原本面臨的經濟問題,伊朗戰爭及新一輪貿易緊張局勢,也為全球物價增添新的不確定性。能源成本仍處於相對高檔,航運中斷及能源儲備減少等因素,持續增加全球通膨風險。
能源價格上漲不僅影響民生消費,也可能進一步推升借貸成本。若伊朗戰爭使通膨長期維持高檔,投資人可能要求更高的債券殖利率,進而對美國房貸利率形成上調壓力。

Financial reports from Amazon and Intel showed pressure on AI spending and weak revenue, sparking concerns on Wall Street about an AI bubble. The Nasdaq index of the U.S. stock market fell more than 2%, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 5.5%, and the Asian chip manufacturers index also fell sharply. The market questioned the speed of return on AI investment.

Wu Qing, chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, presided over the Party Committee (enlarged) meeting, calling for stabilizing the market, stabilizing expectations, deepening investment and financing reforms, and emphasizing the need to promote comprehensive and strict party governance in the CSRC system with higher standards to ensure the completion of tasks in the first year of the "15th Five-Year Plan".

The 2026 China Precious Metals Forum was held in Kunming, and the "Blue Book" released showed that the global precious metals market has grown by 79.3% in five years. The report points out that the market logic is shifting from a hedging attribute to a two-wheel drive of "financial attribute + green industrial rigid demand", and that the new energy and hydrogen energy industries will provide long-term growth space.

The Hainan branch venue of the 24th China International Talent Exchange Conference opened in Sanya Yazhou Bay Science and Technology City. With the theme of "Gathering Intelligence in the Free Trade Port and Sharing New Opportunities", the conference brought together global experts to promote the deep integration of the talent chain and the industrial chain, and held the Hainan Province "Yendao Friendship Award" award ceremony.

During the 140th Canton Fair, Guangzhou enterprises demonstrated the transformation of their overseas export model, shifting from simply exporting products to exporting R&D, technology, and operational capabilities and participating in the division of labor in the global industrial chain, and deepening the value chain through local adaptation and industrial park operations.

The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate unchanged at 1.25% and announced that underlying inflation reached the 2% target for the first time since 2013. President Kazuo Ueda stressed the need to pay attention to the risk of rising prices, and the market expected a high chance of raising interest rates in December.