The impact of the super El Niño event on China is expected to last until the summer of 2027

China News Service, Beijing, October 14th: A reporter learned from the National Marine Environment Forecasting Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources of China on the 14th that the super El Niño event continues to develop, and its impact on China is expected to last until the summer of 2027.

The National Marine Environment Forecast Center stated that currently, the El Niño event is in a stage of rapid intensification and is about to reach its mature peak. This El Niño event is expected to peak from November to December 2026, when the peak of the key sea temperature area (Nino 3.4 zone) will reach about 3.5°C, and the peak of Niño 3 zone will exceed 4.0°C, becoming the strongest El Niño event since systematic observation records.

The National Marine Environment Forecast Center recently organized the "2026 Autumn El Niño and Climate Forecast Conference" to predict global and Chinese offshore sea temperatures this winter. This winter, sea temperatures in the Bohai Sea, eastern Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, northern and southwestern South China Sea are expected to be relatively high, while sea temperatures in other sea areas are expected to be slightly higher. In the spring and summer next year, offshore sea temperatures will be generally higher, and the temperature rise may break the historical record for the same period.

Experts from scientific research and business units such as the National Climate Center, the First Institute of Oceanography of the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Second Institute of Oceanography of the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the Institute of Oceanography of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the South China Sea Institute of Oceanography of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, the North Sea Forecast and Disaster Mitigation Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources, the East China Sea Forecast and Disaster Mitigation Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources, and the South China Sea Forecast and Disaster Mitigation Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources attended the meeting.