
25-40 percent increase scenarios are being calculated for the new minimum wage, which will be shaped by TÜİK inflation data.
AI-generated summary
In January 2026, the net minimum wage was determined as 28 thousand 75 TL and 50 kuruş, with a 27 percent increase. The gross minimum wage was 33 thousand 30 TL, and the total cost to the employer was 40 thousand 874 TL and 63 kuruş. Minimum wage support has been increased to 1 thousand 270 TL per month per employee.
With the announcement of TUIK's October inflation data, price hike expectations began to take shape. So, how much will the 2027 minimum wage increase be? By what percentage will the minimum wage increase? What are the minimum wage expectations?
WHAT WAS THE MINIMUM WAGE IN 2026?
With the 27 percent increase in January 2026, the net minimum wage was determined as 28 thousand 75 TL and 50 kuruş. While the gross minimum wage, which will be valid throughout the year, increased to 33 thousand 30 TL, the employer's total monthly cost for an employee became 40 thousand 874 TL and 63 kuruş. On the other hand, minimum wage support was increased to 1,270 TL per month per employee.
HOW MUCH WILL THE MINIMUM WAGE BE IN 2027?
One of the most important indicators in determining the new minimum wage will be inflation data. While the Central Bank announced the 2026 year-end inflation expectation as 28 percent in its last Inflation Report, this rate was predicted as 28.40 percent in the Medium Term Program. It is closely monitored whether the Central Bank will update its forecasts in the last Inflation Report of the year. Possible changes are expected to be reflected in the minimum wage increase expectations for 2027.
HOW MUCH ARE THE MINIMUM WAGE EXPECTATIONS FOR 2027?
Workers, employers and government representatives will come together for the new wage during the Minimum Wage Determination Commission discussions, which are expected to start in December. While the negotiations are expected to be concluded in the third or fourth meeting, different raise scenarios are calculated based on the current wage. Accordingly, in case of a 25 percent increase, the net minimum wage can increase to 35 thousand 94 TL, with a 30 percent increase, it can increase to 36 thousand 498 TL, with a 35 percent increase, it can increase to 37 thousand 902 TL, and with a 40 percent increase, it can increase to 39 thousand 305 TL. The amounts in question consist of estimated calculations; The exact figure will be announced after commission discussions.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Minimum Wage Determination Commission will meet in December and determine the 2027 minimum wage.
Very likely · Within weeks
The 2027 net minimum wage will be determined at a level between 35 thousand 94 TL and 39 thousand 305 TL.
Possible · Within weeks
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Three different increase scenarios have been shaped for the minimum wage of 2027. Dr. According to the calculations cited by Elif Kaya, the first scenario indicates a level of 36 thousand 49 TL, the second scenario indicates a level of 36 thousand 498 TL, and the third scenario based on budget data indicates a level of 37 thousand 537 TL. The strongest possibility is evaluated in the 33.7-34 percent band. The final figure will be determined by the Minimum Wage Determination Commission, which will meet in December 2026.

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