3 new predictions from an expert for the minimum wage increase: He announced the strongest possibility

Raise scenarios began to take shape before the process to determine the minimum wage for 2027.

Before the Minimum Wage Determination Commission to be held in December, three different calculations came to the fore based on year-end inflation expectations and budget data.

Istanbul Aydın University Faculty Member Dr. made evaluations on the television program he participated in. Elif Kaya shared different possibilities for the 2027 minimum wage based on available data.

FIRST SCENARIO 36 THOUSAND 49 TL

The first scenario cited by Kaya is based on the inflation forecast of the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT).

Stating that the minimum wage could increase to 36 thousand 49 TL if the 28.4 percent increase is taken as basis, Kaya stated that this possibility is weaker than other scenarios.

36 THOUSAND 498 TL WITH 30 PERCENT INCREASE

In the second scenario, the year-end inflation is assumed to be around 30 percent.

It is calculated that if this rate is increased, the 2027 minimum wage may increase to 36 thousand 498 TL.

Kaya evaluated that the increase rates could be concentrated at levels of 30 percent and above.

BUDGET DATA INDICATES 37 THOUSAND 537 TL

Kaya pointed out that the resource allocated for minimum wage tax exemption in the 2027 budget was increased by 33.7 percent compared to the previous year.

Stating that this rate could be an important indicator for the increase, Kaya said that in case of a 33.7 percent increase, the minimum wage will increase to 37 thousand 537 TL.

'THE STRONGEST POSSIBILITY IS 33.7-34 PERCENT BAND'

According to Kaya, when the tax exemption increase in the budget and year-end inflation expectations are evaluated together, the increase scenario between 33.7 percent and 34 percent looks stronger.

In this scenario, the minimum wage is calculated to increase to approximately 37 thousand 500 TL.

Kaya stated that expectations will become clearer after the new Inflation Report to be announced by the CBRT on Thursday.

THE FINAL FIGURE WILL BE ANNOUNCED IN DECEMBER

The minimum wage to be applied in 2027 will be determined as a result of the work of the Minimum Wage Determination Commission, which will meet in December 2026.