New Taipei mayor election poll: Su Qiaohui beat Li Sichuan

The People's Association released the latest New Taipei mayor poll yesterday. Su Qiaohui, the New Taipei mayor candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, leads the KMT candidate Li Sichuan by 13.1%. Dai Lian, who is responsible for the design and analysis of the questionnaire, said that the "ocean current" has turned into a tsunami. (Photo by reporter Tu Jianrong)

The nine-in-one election in New Taipei City is fiercely contested. The People's Association yesterday announced the latest poll for New Taipei City Mayor, which was commissioned by polling expert Dai Li'an to design and analyze. Su Qiaohui, candidate for New Taipei City Mayor of the Democratic Progressive Party, ranked 43. 1% support, significantly ahead of Kuomintang candidate Li Sichuan's 30%. 0%, a gap of thirteen. One percentage point. Su leads Li Sichuan in all aspects of support, optimism, and estimated vote share. Dai Lian, who is responsible for the design and analysis of the questionnaire, said that the biggest difference from the August poll is the "ocean current" effect, which has now turned into a tsunami.

Su Qiaohui’s support leads Li Sichuan by 13.1%

Dallion: The "ocean current" effect turns into a tsunami

Polls show that 43. One percent said they would vote for Su Qiaohui, an increase of 7% from the poll in late August. Nine percentage points; thirty. 0% support Li Sichuan, a decrease of 4% from the August poll. Seven percentage points. one. Five percent would vote for Su Huihuang, who is not a party member, and 9% said they would not vote or would invalidate their votes. Five percent, 15 did not answer clearly. eight%.

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Polls show that 27. Nine percent of the people support the Kuomintang to continue to be the mayor of New Taipei City, 44. Two percent believed that the Democratic Progressive Party should be replaced. Among the people who said they would definitely vote, 55. 1% will vote for Su Qiaohui, thirty-five. Nine percent voted for Li Sichuan.

There are another forty-eight. Six percent think Su Qiaohui is suitable to serve as mayor of New Taipei City. Three percent think it is not suitable; they think Li Sichuan is suitable to be the mayor of New Taipei City. Nine percent, not suitable for thirty-three. five%. In terms of suitability to serve as mayor of New Taipei City, Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan.

In terms of popularity, 34 New Taipei residents think Su Qiaohui will be elected. 8%, ahead of the 32% who think Li Sichuan will be elected. eight%.

Poll analysis pointed out that if the vote were held now, Su Qiaohui estimated that the vote rate would be 50. 1% to 53. 1%, Li Sichuan estimated the vote rate to be 46% to 48%. Nine%.

This poll was entrusted by the Faithful People Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted the telephone interviews. From October 6 to 8, the survey targets people registered in New Taipei City and over 20 years old. 1,073 people were successfully interviewed. When the reliability level of the combined sample is 95%, the maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3. 0%.

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