
《商报》驻华记者观察德国形象下滑,《法兰克福汇报》分析中美贸易争端现状
《商报》驻华记者指出,中国民众对德国的印象正从敬佩转向嘲讽,涉及德国制造、交通及教育吸引力下降。同时,《法兰克福汇报》分析称,中美贸易战虽处于停火延期状态,但双方在核心矛盾上难有实质性妥协。
AI-generated summary
德国学术交流中心数据显示,在德中国留学生数量从2019/2020学年的41353人降至2024/2025学年的38989人。中美贸易关系目前处于停火延期状态,双方在技术与供应链领域存在深层矛盾。
(德国之声中文网)《商报》驻华记者在其中国观感中写道,“德国制造”历来在中国享有极高的声誉。但现在说起德国汽车、德国铁路以及德国大学时,中国人原本由衷的敬佩,正在转变成嘲讽和惋惜。这篇题为《中国人心目里的德国形象正在发生变化》的文章写道:
“作为《商报》在上海的驻地记者,经常会有中国人向我打听德国的情况。多数情况下,他们的问题中会透露出真诚的关切:德国怎样才能重振活力?但有时也不乏同情、甚至略带居高临下的意味:德国怎么会落到今天这步光景?言外之意是指同中国的经济奇迹相比,德国的经济实力已经明显回落。两年前,这类问题会让我立即进入为德国辩护的模式。但我毕竟不是外交官,而是一名记者,让大家畅所欲言才是我应当做的。
不过,在中国的社媒里,有些说法实在是过于夸张。例如有人发出警告说,一定要远离法兰克福火车总站。有鉴于此,我的中文女老师就在落地法兰克福机场后直接乘火车去了科隆。事实上,科隆也比法兰克福好不到哪里去,只是较少引起中国社媒的关注罢了。
我并不是想说,中国人对德国的看法完全是错误的,而是要强调这种看法正在发生变化。在中国,德国的形象正在变坏,而这一切都可能会导致意想不到的后果。对那些长期以来对德国寄予厚望的中国家庭尤为如此:到德国企业就职,到中国的德语学校读书,以及申请德国高校进一步深造等等。
一旦对德国的兴趣降低,那么,德中双边的相互交流、相互了解以及个体体验对方国家的情况也有可能会随之减少。地缘政治层面上的对立以及各类间谍指控,都增加了相互交流的难度。不仅中国在德国的形象越来越负面,德国在中国的形象也日趋复杂,这无疑为双边合作增加了难度。”
《商报》驻华记者Martin Benninghoff写道,“德国制造”虽然仍在中国享有极高的声誉,但却早已失去了往日的光环。同五年前相比,上海街头的德国造汽车已经明显变少了:
“而要想恢复德国铁路准时准点的声誉,恐怕需要聘请最贵的广告公司,用二十年的时间想出各类绝妙的广告词。在小红书等中国社媒上,有关德铁晚点和站台乱象的段子随处可见,堪比我童年时代德国人取笑东弗里斯兰人的各类笑话。
这种变化也体现在中国年轻人的求学方向上。在德国的中国留学生数量已出现峰值回落的趋势:按照德国学术交流中心的数据,2019至2020冬季学期注册的中国学生为41353人,2024至2025冬季学期已经降至38989人。
当然,这一数据本身并不能说明德国形象的下滑,但却同我的切身感受高度吻合:即便是在德国影响相对较大的上海,年轻一代也不再像过去那样将德国列为他们的首选。”
”难以调和的中美贸易争端“
《法兰克福汇报》评论称,中美双方就贸易关系而展开的博弈中,双方虽然都不愿意让冲突升级,但也都不愿意做出实质性的妥协:
“通过给贸易战‘停火状态’的短暂延期,华盛顿继续维持随时让冲突升级的高压态势,希望以此迫使北京在一月前做出更多让步。有鉴于此,今年年底对双方都是一场严峻考验。‘停火状态’延期至美国的中期选举和中共的五中全会之后,为双方提供了喘息之机。此外,在停火届满之前,亚太经合组织峰会以及G20峰会将分别在深圳和迈阿密举行。特朗普和习近平届时有可能会再度举行会晤。这一系列即将展开的政治议程可能促使中美政府都保持了克制,而没有进一步收紧贸易政策。
目前最有可能出现的情况是,华盛顿和北京在一月之前再度宣布延长‘停火状态’。双方都很清楚,冲突一旦升级,各自都要付出惨痛代价,但双方也都不愿意做出实质性的妥协。有鉴于此,双方达成内容广泛、且长期有效的协定,可能性微乎其微。中美双方在技术、供应链和产业政策领域已经形成了根深蒂固的矛盾。一月份过后,中美贸易关系恐怕仍将充满相互挑衅和局部性的相互反制。停火状态提供了喘息之机,但却无法为中美在技术和经济领域的争夺提供解决方案。”
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
中美在一月前再度宣布延长贸易战停火状态
Likely · Within months

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