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Back台湾国防部称中国进行“区域拒止”演习
台湾国防部称中国进行“区域拒止”演习
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德国之声31 minutes agoDefense3 min readChinaView translation

台湾国防部称中国进行“区域拒止”演习

台湾国防部长顾立雄指中国军事演习具有威慑意图,旨在模拟战时孤立台湾并阻断外部援助。

Quick Look

台湾国防部长顾立雄证实,中国辽宁号航母编队正在西太平洋进行区域拒止演练。美方智库分析认为,此举旨在模拟战时包围台湾,切断外部援助,并展现跨战区联合作战能力,意图削弱台湾防卫信心。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

中国视台湾为领土,解放军近期在台湾周边及西太平洋进行大规模军事部署,模拟战时包围台湾。

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(德国之声中文网)台湾国防部长顾立雄本周二(11月10日)在立法院接受《中天新闻》等媒体采访时证实,中国辽宁号航空母舰及其他战区的海上编队,正在西太平洋海域进行区域拒止演练。顾立雄指出,这场区域拒止演练具有军事威慑意图并破坏印太区域和平稳定。台湾国防部已严密掌握相关动态,将透过联合情监侦及友盟协作,持续监控并适切应处。

“反介入/区域拒止”(Anti-Access/Area Denial,简称A2AD)是指阻止外部力量介入冲突。就台湾而言,意味着北京在发动攻击的情况下,阻止美国或其他盟国军队驰援台湾。台湾官方智库国防安全研究院的研究报告指出,解放军的“反介入/区域拒止”能力已对台海、第一岛链及部分向外延伸的区域形成严峻的武力投射与压迫态势。该院甚至认为,中国正试图让第一岛链成为美军行动受限区域。

上周,台湾国防部报告称,尽管中国尚未正式宣布进行任何演习,但出现在台湾周边的中国军机数量大幅增加。台湾国安会秘书长吴钊燮11月3日在社群平台X发文表示,解放军海军与中国海警目前在西太平洋部署100多艘舰艇,台湾保持警惕、不会挑衅,但也不会屈服任何压力。

据台湾国防部11月9日公布的资料,11月2日台海周边中国军机一度达49架次,其中36架次在台湾南方;之后逐日回落,6日中国军机与舰船合计20架(艘)次,7日合计24架(艘)次,8日合计12架(艘)次,9日再降到1架次。

美国华府智库“战争研究所”(ISW)与“美国企业研究所”(AEI)在资料统计截至11月5日的最新一期《中国与台湾情势更新》(China & Taiwan Update)报告中指出,中国解放军近期在台湾周边及西太平洋出现异常大规模军事部署,其中一处集结区域位于台湾与关岛之间,另一处则集中在台湾周边。报告研判北京可能正进行一场未对外宣布的重大军事演习,模拟在战时包围、孤立台湾,切断外部援助,阻断台湾与外界的海空联系。报告指出,此次军事行动不仅规模超越解放军2025年底进行的“正义使命2025”演习,更罕见集结东部、北部及南部战区兵力,试图展现跨战区联合作战能力。报告称,这场未预告的“无声的军演”意图营造能随时孤立台湾的印象,目标是削弱台湾对自身防卫的信心。

中国将实行民主治理的台湾视为其领土,从未放弃使用武力将台湾置于其控制之下,尽管中方声称更倾向于“和平统一”。台湾政府则拒绝北京方面的主权主张,并表示只有台湾人民才能决定自己的未来。

对于中国正在西太平洋进行“区域拒止”演习的消息,中国国防部未立即回应路透社置评请求。中国国防部发言人张晓刚10月底曾表示,辽宁舰航母编队在西太平洋的训练属于年度例行安排,旨在检验其远程远海作战能力,并非针对任何特定国家。

中国的这些演习正值多个关键节点之前:下周深圳将举行亚太经合组织(APEC)峰会,美国总统特朗普预计将在峰会上再次与中国国家主席习近平会晤。此外,台湾11月28日将举行重要的“九合一”地方选举,选出直辖市长和县市长在内9类地方公职。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 台湾国防部将持续监控解放军动态并进行协作应处。

    Very likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 中国是否会正式宣布此次演习的性质?
  • 美国将如何应对此次区域拒止演练?

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This article was originally published by 德国之声.

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