
Huang Qinglong, chairman of the Trustees Association, and Dai Li'an, a polling expert, accepted an exclusive interview to analyze the impact of the election situation in the six cities and the turnout rate in Taipei on the election campaign.
AI-generated summary
The Taipei People's Association commissioned a poll on Taipei City election sentiment, and Dai Li'an was responsible for the design and analysis of the questionnaire.
Huang Qinglong, chairman of the People's Liberation Association, and Dai Li'an, a polling expert, appeared on the program "Han Ni Chat after Work" yesterday to receive an exclusive interview with host Huang Weihan. During the program, the two talked about the huge impact of ocean currents on this election. Huang Qinglong said in the program that he judged the current situation in the six capitals to be "sitting around and looking around at five." The DPP has added a new Taipei, and there are still variables in Taipei that are "hard to say." But he pointed out that Shen Boyang also has a chance of winning. The key lies in the "voting rate." If the voting rate exceeds 70%, Shen Boyang will definitely be elected.
Huang Qinglong talked about the six-city election in the program yesterday, saying that if the DPP can change the current situation of only having two of the six cities, it must start from New Taipei. When it comes to the election situation in the two places, he also believes that the DPP's current election situation in New Taipei is more stable than that in Taipei, and there are still some variables in Taipei. If the current six-city block can be changed, the DPP should "sit back and look around."
Dai Lian also added that from May to now, no one expected that there would be such a big gap. Shen Boyang's big campaign this weekend will be very iconic. It will be a "3D war" with "water, land, and Internet" and an unprecedented scale. This cannot be achieved by a single camp, but can only be achieved by integrating a lot of spontaneous people.
Huang Qinglong finally said that the key to the Taipei election is the "turnout rate." If it is more than 60%, Jiang Wanan has a chance to give it a try. "If it is more than 70%, Shen Boyang will definitely be elected."
The Shen Boyang poll was commissioned by the Trustees Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research conducted telephone interviews. From October 14 to October 16, the survey targets were people registered in Taipei City and over the age of 20. 1,075 people were successfully interviewed (753 by residential phone, 322 by mobile phone), and the maximum sampling error was ±3.0%.

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