Can Shen Boyang reverse the Taipei election? Zhao Xiaohui mentioned 3 key points: There is only one step left for the golden cross

The People's Association released the latest poll on the New Taipei City mayoral election on the 13th. The results of the poll showed that Su Qiaohui, the New Taipei City mayoral candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, led the KMT candidate Li Sichuan with 43.1% support and 30.0%. In this regard, writer Zhao Xiaohui said that the current trend of the Taipei mayoral election has reached the fifth wave, but with "Chiang Wanan 51%" versus "Shen Boyang 49%", the golden cross is only one step away. Shen Boyang is still catching up in various indicators, and Su Qiaohui has not yet completely crushed Li Sichuan.

Zhao Xiaohui said in a Facebook post that Taiwanese voters should not be discouraged. It is really rare that the polls can miraculously go from being behind by double digits to 55 in 5 months, creating an unprecedented "ocean current"! The golden cross is only one step away, and we must continue to fight until the last moment.

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Zhao Xiaohui analyzed, how will Shen Boyang win next? Basically, it relies on three strategies. The first is to fight a "positive energy campaign to return to the municipal government." This is, after all, a grassroots election for county mayors. The most important thing is to present pragmatic political opinions, not to attack Chiang Wanan negatively, and not to fall into the trap of Chiang Wanan's resort to "blue-green opposition". Many people in Taipei City Although the district chiefs are also "blue is greater than green", they are not monolithic. These district chiefs have been ignored by Jiang Wanan for four years and are actually full of complaints. This is Shen Boyang's opportunity. Just like Zheng Wencan, the mayor of Taoyuan back then, if he can afford resources and solve problems, the grassroots district chiefs will defect.

30 to 45-year-old childcare and commuter, extremely apathetic to politics, but unable to get a job in public care, childcare backup system loopholes, fresh milk cannot be dispensed, TPASS Suffering from systemic issues such as integration flaws and the eclipse of old buildings, this is also an opportunity for Shen Boyang. There are about 15% to 20% of the third force votes in Taipei City. They used to "hate the DPP", but recent polls show that Lai Qingde's dislike in Taipei City has dropped significantly, which should make them "hate Chiang Wanan."

Zhao Xiaohui pointed out that the second reason is relying on Jiang Wanan to make mistakes, which is currently very beneficial to Shen Boyang. Jiang Wanan’s only life-saving talisman is to rely on the Jiang family’s aura to reap the “blue is greater than green” bonus. Other than that, he is useless. Even Tang Xianglong, a member of his own blue camp media, despises him. His academic experience is at the level of Class B, and his ability is not as good as that of a city councilor. His political performance was mediocre, and the quality of his staff was described by Dong Zhisen as "a piece of cake". He engaged in a series of blind operations including "Asking A and Answering B" and became the laughing stock of the whole Taiwan. Chiang Wanan's governance was basically superficial and deceptive to the polls. This was his biggest crisis. This was the key to victory that was most beneficial to Shen Boyang. There was no need for others to attack him.

In the last 40 days of voting, Jiang Wanan's ridiculous superficial administration turned out to be a self-destruction bomb. He was constantly exposed one after another. Friends, namely Luo Zhiqiang and others' five tiger generals and the CCP's selection, are responsible for creating hatred. In order to win the election, they will use any means to smear and spread rumors about Shen Boyang. However, the tactics of smearing and spreading rumors are only useful in consolidating the base of the blue camp. On the contrary, they will scare away or anger away the middle voters to move to Shen Boyang.

Zhao Xiaohui continued to point out that the third is to rely on pan-green voters to come out to vote, and the middle voters to "abandon Chiang and vote for Shen." Pan-green voters must get over the PTSD of the general recall. Don't feel that it is useless to vote anyway, and don't believe that Shen Boyang will win. The voting nature of the general recall is completely different from that of the mayoral election. I have already figured this out. Everyone must stand up and vote to bring the turnout rate of the pan-green camp to the highest level. Secondly, we hope that the middle voters will "abandon Chiang Kai-shek and surrender to Shen". Young people in particular must stand up and vote. This vote is definitely not about "anti-China Taiwan". It is about your daily life. As long as the total voting rate can be raised to 75%, Shen Boyang can be elected.

Zhao Xiaohui added that in the end, judging from the timeline, the TV debates that the major media will compete with are already imminent. Jiang Wanan can no longer hide and can only bite the bullet and go on stage, and there will definitely not be just one, at least two or three, if If Zhuang Zai's Ford Palace is the last straw that breaks Jiang Wanan's back, the TV debate can also be said to be the last straw that breaks Jiang Wanan's back. His incompetence, brain outsourcing, and lack of control will all be fully exposed on the TV screen. The more televised debates are held, the more votes Jiang Wanan loses.

Zhao Xiaohui said bluntly, stop saying that the dark blue who do not express their stance will vote in large numbers in the end. It is true that dark blue is an iron vote, but it depends on the voting ratio. Dark blue is an iron vote for Jiang Wanan, but the votes of light blue, middle voters, and young people are not, and the votes of the pan-green camp are not. As long as the turnout rate is raised to 75%, and except for the deep blue iron vote, everyone else will "abandon Chiang and surrender to sinking", Taipei City will change.