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Back台積電領軍台股創新高 新台幣升破31.8元關卡
台積電領軍台股創新高 新台幣升破31.8元關卡
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness1 min readChinaView translation

台積電領軍台股創新高 新台幣升破31.8元關卡

台積電台股新台幣

Quick Look

台積電帶動台股再創新高，熱錢回流推動新台幣兌美元匯率升破31.8元關卡，早盤最高達31.75元，受美國非農就業數據弱於預期影響，市場預期聯準會10月升息機率降至2成以下，美元回落但跌勢受國際油價與美債殖利率高檔限制，新台幣今早以31.81元開出後續強，外資匯入力道將決定後續走勢。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

台積電為台灣最大半導體公司，其股價表現常被視為台股風向標。美國非農就業數據是影響聯準會貨幣政策的重要指標，近期數據顯示勞動市場降溫，降低了升息預期。

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台積領軍台股創新高，新台幣升破31.8元關卡。（記者陳梅英攝）

〔記者陳梅英／台北報導〕台積電領軍台股再創新高，熱錢流入也帶動新台幣兌美元匯率走升，早盤最高升抵31.75元，中午暫時收在31.78元、升值5分，台北外匯經紀公司成交量7.26億美元。

美上週五公布9月新增非農就業僅2.9萬人，遠低於市場預期，且前幾個月數據也遭下修；失業率升至4.2%，勞動市場降溫，根據芝商所FedWatch工具，聯準會10月升息機率已大幅降至2成以下，美元因此回落，不過國際油價、美債殖利率仍處高檔，美元跌勢受到限制，今早美元再度回升，主要亞幣升勢仍然受壓。

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新台幣今早以31.81元、升值2分開出，隨台股續創新高，外資熱錢回流，再度回到31.7元價位，最高來到31.75元，逾一週高點。

匯銀人士指出，上週新台幣走勢雖然偏弱，最低下探至31.946元，但仍未貶破32元整數大關，隨台股重新走強，新台幣今早升破31.8元關卡，有機會往31.7元靠攏，能否續強則要看外資匯入力道。

在非農就業報告公布後，市場認為Fed本月將按兵不動機率有7、8成，目前市場焦點轉向注意本週三將公布的9月會議紀錄。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 新台幣將在短期內向31.7元關卡靠攏

    Likely · Within days

  • 聯準會將在10月會議上維持利率不變

    Very likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 外資熱錢回流的持續時間有多長？
  • 新台幣能否突破31.7元關卡？
  • 聯準會10月會議是否真的將按兵不動？

Related Topics

台積電
People陳梅英
Organizations台北外匯經紀公司芝商所聯準會
Places台北
Topics台股新台幣匯率非農就業聯準會外資
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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