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Back半年前就抓到黃樂和中國問題!31歲研究員提前放空輝達被嘲笑 如今一戰成名
半年前就抓到黃樂和中國問題!31歲研究員提前放空輝達被嘲笑 如今一戰成名
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自由时报20 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

半年前就抓到黃樂和中國問題!31歲研究員提前放空輝達被嘲笑 如今一戰成名

放空機構庫爾珀研究最早指出輝達存在嚴重中國問題,黃仁勳週四卸下執行長等職務。

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輝達執行長黃仁勳因婚外情醜聞週四卸任,放空機構庫爾珀研究最早揭露其與中國籍主管黃樂的關係,並指控輝達透過台灣、馬來西亞、新加坡公司繼續向中國供貨,導致公司市值蒸發逾1兆美元。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

庫爾珀研究公司5月發布做空報告,指出輝達在2025年4月美國貿易限制措施實施後,仍透過台灣、馬來西亞、新加坡公司將GPU轉運至中國,且高管黃仁勳與Megaspeed中國籍主管黃樂關係密切。

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輝達執行長黃仁勳因婚外情醜聞,週四(12日)黯然卸下公司執行長等職務,庫爾珀研究公司(Culper Research)成為最早揭露黃樂(右)的華爾街放空機構。(圖擷取自網路)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕黃仁勳因婚外情醜聞,週四(12日)黯然卸下輝達執行長等職務,投資人正在消化這些消息,雖然市場上對此有許多評論,但事實是,沒有人會比31歲的分析師拉馬科(Christian Lamarco)更早察覺這件事。拉馬科旗下的庫爾珀研究公司(Culper Research),雖然不是市面上最知名的放空及投資研究機構,但該公司早在5月就成為唯一一家指出輝達存在「嚴重中國問題」的公司,並開始針對輝達股票放空,此操作可能成為今年華爾街最成功的交易判斷之一,也讓拉馬科一戰成名。

庫爾珀研究公司的名稱,來自於美國獨立戰爭期間,美國國父喬治華盛頓組織的一個間諜組庫爾珀組(Culper Ring),拉馬科當初創辦該公司時在電視上看到相關節目,於是將此聯繫起來。目前,庫爾珀研究公司只有3名員工,規模並不大,輝達並不是庫爾珀鎖定的第一家公司,自2019年成立以來,庫爾珀已將矛頭指向多家上市企業,但通常是市值較小的公司。但卻在今年5月公開的做空報告,卻鎖定了市場當紅炸子雞「輝達」。

庫爾珀在報告中表示:「輝達聲稱,在2025年4月美國貿易限制措施實施後,其在中國的業務已降至『零』。但我們認為,實際上,輝達2026會計年度超過20%的運算業務營收,仍然受到中國市場驅動,這些收入同時來自非法GPU轉運,以及東南亞中間商協助。」

報告指控,儘管輝達曾表示已退出中國市場,但近期龐大的營收成長,有部分其實來自中國市場的銷售,並點名台灣、馬來西亞和新加坡的公司涉嫌轉運。

庫爾珀在報告中強調:「這不是一場反AI的押注。我們放空輝達只有一個原因:這家公司存在嚴重的中國問題。」庫爾珀表示,儘管美國祭出出口限制,輝達仍透過與阿里巴巴(Alibaba)相關的實體,間接向中國供貨。這些公司包括新加坡的Megaspeed與Apex、馬來西亞的Speedmatrix,以及台灣的技鋼科技(Giga Computing)。

據稱是中國間諜的黃樂(Alice Huang)正是在Megaspeed擔任高層,而她也被指涉是黃仁勳的婚外情對象之一,報告也明確點出黃樂和黃仁勳的關係匪淺。

報告寫道:「黃仁勳不僅為 Megaspeed 背書,似乎還幾乎在每個階段都親自陪伴 Megaspeed,同時與 Megaspeed 的中國籍主管黃樂保持令人不安的密切關係。2024年6月,有人首次發現他與黃樂一起參加派對,而就在同一個月,Apex/阿里巴巴的承諾文件正式提交。」

報告稱:「2025年5月,他(黃仁勳)又在台灣與黃樂共進晚餐,當時距離美國貿易限制措施的消息傳出僅數週。……一名 Megaspeed 員工形容他們與黃仁勳的關係『非常密切』,這也印證了另一名前輝達員工先前向我們提出的說法,即許多輝達員工都曾懷疑兩人之間是否存在特殊關係。」

拉馬科回憶,他當時發布這份報告後曾遭到嘲笑。他接受《華爾街日報》(The Wall Street Journal)訪問時表示:「有時候人們會在意你說了什麼;有時候他們不會。我想,這次他們是在6個月後才開始在意。」

目前尚不清楚拉馬科及庫爾珀研究公司透過放空輝達股票,究竟賺了多少錢,甚至是否有獲利。儘管自報告發布以來,這家晶片製造商的市值已蒸發逾1兆美元,但拉馬科拒絕透露這項投資判斷究竟為公司帶來多少收益,他也沒有說明自己是否仍在放空輝達股票。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美國監管機構將調查輝達是否違反對華貿易限制

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 輝達股價短期內將繼續承壓

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 拉馬科及庫爾珀研究透過放空輝達股票究竟賺了多少錢
  • 拉馬科是否仍在放空輝達股票
  • 黃仁勳與黃樂的關係具體細節
  • 輝達是否會對指控發表官方回應

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