
年底九合一選戰登記截止,民進黨內評估台北市、新北市、台中市為空戰三大熱區,由沈伯洋、蘇巧慧與何欣純分頭強攻。藍營台北市長蔣萬安負面聲量升至七十.七%,成為攻擊焦點;彰化縣、新竹縣在野分裂,民進黨採低調穩中求勝策略;新北市蘇巧慧今日舉辦競總成立大會,台中則聚焦檢視市長盧秀燕執政八年政績不彰及江啟臣被質疑不作為。
AI-generated summary
年底九合一地方選舉登記截止,各政黨進入最後衝刺階段。民進黨將台北市、新北市、台中市列為關鍵戰場,藉由攻擊藍營首長市政失誤來提升選情。蔣萬安近期因鼠患爭議、內湖淹水等事件負面聲量攀升,成為民進黨攻擊重點。彰化縣、新竹縣則傳出在野分裂,民進黨採取低調策略避免過早曝光。
年底九合一選戰登記截止,各陣營布局就定位。民進黨內評估,台北市、新北市、台中市列為空戰三大熱區,由沈伯洋、蘇巧慧與何欣純分頭強攻,力拚帶動區域及全台灣氣勢。其中,據綠營內部分析,台北市長蔣萬安八月底雖高居全國政治人物聲量第一,但負面聲量飆至七十.七%,創鼠患爭議以來最差單週表現,市政議題將成為牽制選情的重要戰場。
彰化縣、新竹縣在野分裂 低調應對穩中求勝
民進黨主席賴清德日前在中常會下達動員令,直言距離投票日已不到三個月,未來每一天都非常重要,要求所有參選人與團隊深入選區每個角落。黨內評估,北北中將是未來空戰火力最密集的區域,一方面緊盯藍營首長市政表現,另方面透過競總成立、跨區串聯及黨內要角輔選拉高聲勢。
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對於藍白競合動向,黨內人士評估,雙方已是同床異夢、各懷鬼胎,動員參與度與合作效益正在遞減,加上國民黨主席鄭麗文與民眾黨主席黃國昌各自面臨內部整合壓力,合作能否轉化為實際選票仍有疑問。面對彰化縣、新竹縣等地傳出在野分裂,該人士說明,部分縣市有勝算,但策略就是低調、步步為營、穩中求勝,避免過早成為焦點。
關於沸沸揚揚的首都選戰,輔選幹部分析,蔣萬安五月至六月間陸續面臨鼠患、密室逃脫、兒虐及內湖淹水等爭議,負面聲量平均介於六十%至六十五%;但近期女童案、吸菸區等議題接連延燒,八月底負面聲量已升至七十.七%,正面聲量僅八.三%。
沈伯洋則緊扣市政議題,壓縮蔣萬安的操作空間。輔選幹部指出,沈八月後持續拋出市政願景,並透過掃街創造「洋流」,聲量緊追蔣萬安;其平時負面聲量約四十%,正面聲量落在廿五%至四十%之間,整體表現很不錯。
「洋流慧聚」雙北雙箭頭 陸空齊發造勢
新北市方面,蘇巧慧規劃今天舉辦競選總部成立大會,為綠營全台競總打頭陣,賴清德、前總統蔡英文及高雄市長陳其邁將會合力助攻。黨內盼「洋流慧聚」形成雙北雙箭頭,後續除文宣空戰,將持續透過密集組織行程及造勢活動,厚植基層實力。
至於中台灣,黨內人士表示,將嚴厲檢視台中市政弊端,凸顯市長盧秀燕執政八年「只會做秀不會做事」,而國民黨台中市長參選人江啟臣「什麼事情都不做,台中發生什麼事都不關他的事」,盼能進一步拉抬綠營「中台灣治理連線」。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
民進黨將在台北市、新北市、台中市持續聚焦市政議題攻擊藍營首選
Very likely · Within weeks
彰化縣、新竹縣在野分裂將使民進黨在該地區選情更具勝算
Likely · Within weeks
蘇巧慧競總成立大會將提升民進黨在新北市的聲勢與組織動員能力
Very likely · Within days

Two senior aides to Farage, the leader of the British Reform Party, have been suspended for allegedly using foreign funds to carry out party activities. The British ruling party Labor Party has reported to the police, and the election watchdog has intervened in the investigation. The scandal has affected the progress of the Reform Party Congress and its poll momentum.

Kaohsiung Mayor Chen Qimai released a new book. In the recommendation article, former President Tsai Ing-wen praised his extremely efficient work and described him as "Su Tseng-chang with hair." He also revealed that Chen Qimai often called at night to discuss construction, and he responded by jotting it down first and handling it the next day. He believed that all his phone calls were made for Kaohsiung.

Foreign Minister Lin Jialong returned to Taiwan after attending the Pacific Islands Forum Summit in Palau. In response to China's warning that Taiwan's participation would have consequences, he bluntly said that China's "Wolf Warrior Foreign Deal" undermines regional unity and is objectionable. He pointed out that China not only failed to respect its host country, but also violated the sovereignty of other countries by launching long-range ballistic missiles, sending spies and threatening tourism security in Palau. Lin Jialong emphasized that Taiwan will continue to promote the Rongbang Plan and respond to the Pacific Resilience Fund to help small countries cope with issues such as climate change, and said that interaction with US officials is a natural scene.

Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan has registered to run for re-election and checked the official election committee debate option, continuing to promote child care policies such as "fresh milk for every baby". Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang criticized Jiang Wanan for only remediating the incident after the incident, lacking a preventive mechanism, and emphasized that Taipei needs a more complete ecosystem rather than just relying on slogans.

Candidate registration for the 2026 nine-in-one election has closed. A total of 23 people are running for municipal mayors and 58 people are running for county mayors. The DPP is focusing on the three hot spots of Taipei, New Taipei and Taichung. The Kuomintang is facing the Changhua nomination crisis and the blue-white cooperation conflicts in Hsinchu and Keelung. It is expected that it may lose the power to govern in three to four counties and cities.

The Kuomintang’s internal assessment pointed out that the nomination crisis in Changhua County was serious, and the intensified blue-white conflict in Hsinchu County and Keelung City may cause spillover effects. Hualien County and New Taipei City only narrowly won, and the electoral situation in Yilan County and Chiayi City was dangerous. Although Taitung County was temporarily stabilized due to the successful integration of the Democratic Progressive Party, overall, it is impossible to maintain a tie in the end-of-year elections, and at least three to four counties and cities may not be able to continue to be in power. Party insiders criticized the lack of an overall campaign strategy, which only focused on its own disputes and blue-white disagreements. The failure of the blue-white cooperation between the mayor of Zhubei may spread to Keelung, New Taipei and other places. The two-north auxiliary elections were also affected by the municipal and personal disputes of Jiang Wanan.