
AI-generated summary
Registration for the 2026 local elections has been completed. The Kuomintang internal assessment pointed out that the nomination crisis in Changhua County was serious, the blue-white conflict in Hsinchu County and Keelung City intensified, Hualien County and New Taipei City only narrowly won, Yilan County and Chiayi City were in danger, and Taitung County was temporarily stabilized due to the successful integration of the Democratic Progressive Party. Party insiders pointed out that there is a lack of overall election strategy, and the failure of the Zhubei mayor's Blue and White cooperation may spread to other regions.
Registration for the 2026 local election was completed this week. According to the KMT’s internal assessment, the nomination crisis in Changhua County is getting worse and there is almost no cure. The intensification of the blue-white conflict in Hsinchu County and Keelung City may cause spillover effects; although Hualien County and New Taipei City are currently maintaining maintenance The election situation in Yilan County and Chiayi City is also relatively dangerous. Although the election situation in Taitung was once tense due to the appointment of former President Tsai Ing-wen as chairman and the successful integration of the Democratic Progressive Party, it has temporarily stabilized its basic market.
It will be difficult for at least three to four counties and cities to continue to be in power.
Cheng Lai-man recently expressed her hope that this year’s election results will maintain the previous tie. Auxiliary election officials from the blue camp assessed that among the counties and cities in power, Changhua County, Yilan County, Chiayi City and Hsinchu County are relatively at risk. Although New Taipei City and Keelung City are the strongholds of the blue camp, they are likely to suffer a "comeback" due to the KMT's overall poor electoral performance. In addition, although Hualien County is a three-legged governor, if the "Anti-Fu Alliance" is successfully integrated, it will also be detrimental to the Kuomintang. Although Zheng Liwen believes that Penghu has a chance to make a comeback, overall, it is impossible to maintain a tie in the election at the end of the year, and at least three to four counties and cities may not be able to continue to be in power.
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Party insiders said that although Cheng Lai-man continues to have private visits and assistant election schedules, she is actually working very hard. However, the Party Central Committee does not have an overall election strategy and cannot hit the sore points of the DPP's ineffective governance. Instead, it focuses on its own controversies and blue-white differences. "How can a team stand on the scoreboard without its head coach?"
Since the failure of the blue-white cooperation between Zhubei Mayor, Keelung City has also experienced a crisis. In addition to the Keelung City Vice Mayor Qiu Peilin of the Kuomintang Party recently leaving a comment on the social group of the Kuomintang Hsinchu County Mayor candidate Xu Xinying, it is understood that the original Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan, Yunlin County Mayor Zhang Lishan and Chiayi Mayor Huang Minhui today It is time to go north to elect Keelung Mayor Xie Guoliang, but Xie Guoliang requested that all four KMT members not attend in order to avoid dissatisfying the KMT members. It was reported that Qiu was dissatisfied with this arrangement and planned to miss this Blue and White joint election event. Fortunately, due to heavy rainfall in Keelung, the supplementary election was temporarily canceled yesterday, temporarily resolving the crisis.
Zhubei Blue and White team breaks up, may have spillover effects
Party insiders said that although the long-term direction of Blue and White cooperation remains unchanged, cracks in local elections are a crisis. In the case of the mayor of Zhubei, Zheng Liwen obviously promised the Kuomintang to be courteous. However, after Zheng Chaofang did not re-elect the mayor of Zhubei, the Kuomintang thought it had a chance to get it back and did not want to let it go. The blue camp broke its trust with the white camp, and the scars of the Zhuxian primary election have not healed. The scope of the impact may not only be Hsinchu, but also Keelung and New Taipei. Supporters of the white camp may be affected by the spillover effect.
As for the two places, party insiders say that if Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan cannot stabilize municipal and personal disputes before the end of the general question, it will be difficult to support the election of New Taipei mayor candidate Li Sichuan like a hen. Moreover, the DPP has not yet taken action against Li Zhen, and the party still needs to find ways to help Li Sichuan, who is currently narrowly defeated, increase votes.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Changhua County, Yilan County, Chiayi City and Hsinchu County will not be able to continue to be in power by the Kuomintang
Likely · Within months
The blue-white co-election incident in Keelung City will further worsen blue-white relations, unless major external events intervene.
Possible · Within weeks
The KMT will be unable to maintain the tie results of the last local election and will lose many counties and cities.
Very likely · Within months

Candidate registration for the 2026 nine-in-one election has closed. A total of 23 people are running for municipal mayors and 58 people are running for county mayors. The DPP is focusing on the three hot spots of Taipei, New Taipei and Taichung. The Kuomintang is facing the Changhua nomination crisis and the blue-white cooperation conflicts in Hsinchu and Keelung. It is expected that it may lose the power to govern in three to four counties and cities.

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