
費城半導體指數連續8個交易日下跌,創2008年以來最長跌勢。分析師陸行之指出應用材料、科磊、博通等成分股已率先破底,擔憂半導體產業恐進一步下探7月低點,市場正等待輝達財報與雲端巨頭數據以尋求支撐。
AI-generated summary
費城半導體指數連續8個交易日下跌。分析師陸行之指出多檔成分股已跌破7月低點。
費城半導體指數連8個交易日下跌,創下2008年金融海嘯來最長跌勢。知名分析師陸行之在臉書點名費半指數成分股已率先破底的個股,包括應用材料、科磊(KLA Tencor)、博通、Lattice,快要破底的公司則有Lam Research、ARM、Tower Semi、Coherent、SiTiME。他最擔心的是這些公司是否會拖著大家一起落水跌破7月低點。
陸行之說,費半指數還差6.2%就要領先跌破 7月29日的最低點10445.4,如果下週跌破真的就很難看,很多半導體公司還在高檔整理。
至於費半指數哪些成分股已率先破底?他表示,已經破底的公司有應用材料、科磊KLA Tencor、博通、Lattice,快要破底的公司有Lam Research、ARM、Tower Semi、Coherent、SiTiME。
他提及,其中應用材料、科磊、Lam、博通(博通可以解釋被聯發科及Marvell 聯合搶單),ARM, Coherent都是產業巨頭,真搞不懂這些公司發生什麼事情,會率先跌破7月份修正的低點。他最擔心的是這些公司會不會拖著大家一起下水跌破7月低點。
陸行之強調,在ASML及台積電財報都無法救市下,輝達財報還來不及(預計台灣時間11/19)公布,是否要等AI數據中心雲端巨頭財報來相救?
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
輝達將於11月19日公布財報
Very likely · Within weeks

The 140th Canton Fair demonstrated the transformation of China's foreign trade from export-oriented to import-export driven. Through technological innovation and globalization, China has not only improved the level of its manufacturing industry, but also created a "benefiting and enriching neighbor" effect for global trading partners by expanding imports and localized investment.

South Korea's Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Ri Hyung said during the annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank that the semiconductor industry will continue to prosper until at least 2027. Although chip stocks have been volatile recently, he stressed that South Korea's economy is stable, but the media and experts also warned that they need to be wary of future risks of overcapacity and industrial competition.

A reporter from the main station's "Financial Investigation" exposed the "tracing tour" scam in Wentang Town, Yichun, Jiangxi. The travel agency attracted tourists over the age of 50 with a low price of 80 yuan, but actually induced the elderly to buy ordinary plant drinks that were touted as "miracle medicine" by visiting the factories of pharmaceutical companies, which was suspected of false advertising.

At the 140th Canton Fair, Chinese home appliance companies demonstrated their transformation from single products to exporting whole-house smart solutions and supporting services. Through localization upgrades and overseas service network layout, Made in China is accelerating its strategic upgrade from "going overseas with products" to "going overseas with solutions and services."

Sun Jing, an expert from the Ministry of Commerce Research Institute, said in Haikou that measuring the effectiveness of the Hainan Free Trade Port construction focuses on the "four accounts" of enterprise costs, industrial value added, open linkage and institutional innovation, emphasizing the strategic value of Hainan as a high-level openness test field.

TSMC (2330)’s third-quarter revenue hit a record high of US$46.7 billion, an annual increase of 41%. High-performance computing business accounts for 68%. Foreign media pointed out that despite the pressure on consumer electronics, demand for AI chips still exceeds production capacity, which will continue to drive revenue and profit growth, and the stock price is attractive.