The "Ocean Currents and Wisdom Gathering" of Democratic Progressive Party Taipei Mayoral Candidate Shen Boyang and New Taipei City Mayoral Candidate Su Qiaohui have stirred up the election campaign for mayors in both Taipei City. Chen Yongfu, general convener of the Democratic Progressive Party Group of the New Taipei City Council, pointed out today that the party group commissioned the latest poll for New Taipei City Mayor and found that the "Ocean Currents and Wisdoms Gathering" has fermented. Su Qiaohui's lead over KMT New Taipei Mayor Candidate Li Sichuan has expanded to 4.6%. This newspaper has exclusive access to this poll. The results show that Su Qiaohui's support is 39.1%, and Li Sichuan's is 34.5%. 48.7% will definitely vote and vote for Su Qiaohui, and 39.3% will definitely vote and vote for Li Sichuan.
Chen Yongfu pointed out that the polling company selected by the party group is the same polling company commissioned by Zhen Media to publish the poll on September 23 (the Zhen Media poll showed that Su Qiaohui was 1.1% ahead of Li Sichuan). The same agency's survey showed that the "ocean currents and wisdom" have been significantly fermented.
This poll shows that Su Qiaohui received 39.1% support, Li Sichuan 34.5%, a gap of 4.6%; those who said they would definitely vote and voted for Su Qiaohui, 48.7%, Li Sichuan 39.3%, the gap widened to 9.4%; the support of each political party It shows that "blue and green have returned to their respective teams". Su and Li have about 88% support in their respective green and blue camps. In addition, in the People's Party, Su Qiaohui got 14.4% support and Li Sichuan got 66.6%, showing that the "blue-white" strategy also has certain effectiveness.
The poll pointed out that in terms of voting intention, 58% of the people will definitely vote, another 26.7% may vote, 7.3% may not vote, and 4.4% will definitely not vote; in addition, in terms of candidates' favorability, Su Qiaohui received 37.7% and Li Sichuan 36.7% %, the gap is only 1%; in terms of "popularity and appreciation", Li Sichuan's popularity is slightly better than Su Qiaohui's 91.1% in this poll, with 92.4%. In terms of net appreciation (appreciation ratio divided by the sum of appreciation and non-appreciation ratios), Su Qiaohui's 68.3% is better than Li Sichuan's 63.5%.
Li Qianping, deputy convener of the Democratic Progressive Party, Zhou Yaling, secretary-general, and Li Yuxiang, secretary-general, said that Su Qiaohui is more optimistic than Li Sichuan, which will help boost the election of members. Su's camp is energetic, sunny, and creative, while Li Sichuan's team has made repeated mistakes. Li Sichuan's family members have been involved in cases, there are suspicions about the money flow of luxury houses, and the official authority of the Linkou Zhongzheng Road Project Conference has been controversial. His integrity and honest character have been undermined, and the public will not support him.
Chen Yongfu said that this poll was commissioned by Shanshui Public Opinion Research Company, and the interviewees were adults over the age of 20 registered in New Taipei City. The sampling method was based on the sampling structure of residential phone users in the area visited, and random sampling was conducted using systematic sampling plus two digits at the end. The interview date was September From October 30 to October 1, there were a total of 1,226 valid samples. The sampling error was about plus or minus 2.80 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The weighting method was based on the Ministry of Interior’s demographics, weighting region, gender, age, and education level to conform to the parent structure.
