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BackSu Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 42% and 3%. Huang Weihan: The hot battle between the two countries is a PK game.
Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 42% and 3%. Huang Weihan: The hot battle between the two countries is a PK game.
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自由时报18 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 42% and 3%. Huang Weihan: The hot battle between the two countries is a PK game.

Media person Huang Weihan: With 19 days to go in the election, the hot battles in the north and north are all PK, and the polls may trigger a "vote-driving" effect for the blue camp.

Quick Look

  • The latest New Taipei City Mayoral Poll by Lianhe Daily shows that DPP candidate Su Qiaohui has 42% support, leading KMT candidate Li Sichuan at 39%.
  • Media person Huang Weihan pointed out that the double defeat of the two northern blue camps was unexpected.
  • With 19 days to go in the election, both Taipei City and New Taipei City are in hot competition.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Nineteen days before the 2026 election, the United Daily News released a poll for the New Taipei City mayoral election, which showed that DPP candidate Su Qiaohui's support was 42%, ahead of KMT candidate Li Sichuan's 39%. Two weeks ago, Lianhe Daily also published a Beichen poll, showing that Shen Boyang was ahead of Jiang Wanan at 45% and 41%. Media person Huang Weihan believes that the unexpected double defeat of the blue camp in the two norths may trigger a sense of crisis for the blue camp and a "vote-driving" effect, while also boosting the morale of voters in the green camp.

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Huang Weihan emphasized that it was a bit surprising that both the Northern and Northern Blue Camps would lose, but with 19 days to go in the election, the fierce battle between Northern and Northern is now a PK game. (File photo, synthesized by this newspaper)

With 19 days to go before the 2026 election, the latest poll by the "United Daily News" shows that the Democratic Progressive Party's New Taipei mayor candidate Su Qiaohui has 42% support, leading the KMT candidate Li Sichuan's 39%. Huang Weihan, a senior media person, emphasized that it was a bit surprising that both the North and the Blue Camp lost, but with 19 days to go in the election, the fierce battle between the North and the North is now a PK game.

Huang Weihan mentioned that the "United Daily News" released a Beipei City poll two weeks ago. Shen Boyang led Jiang Wanan with 45% and 41%. Today, the New Taipei City poll was released again. It is a bit surprising that both the blue camp and the north lose. Huang Weihan compared it to feeling a bit like the "Freedom Times" released a poll in Nangao. The result was that Chen Tingfei and Lai Ruilong lost to Xie Longjie and Ke Zhien.

Huang Weihan said that he often said that polls are temporary and one-by-one, and it is better to remain calm than not to believe them. However, it cannot be denied that the audience of Lianhe Daily is blue-leaning, and a poll in which North and North lose both sides is likely to arouse the anger of the blue camp and increase the sense of crisis, thereby stimulating the turnout of voters in the blue camp. In vernacular, it is called "vote urging." Huang Weihan pointed out that green camp voters saw that even the United Daily News was in the lead. In addition to boosting morale and increasing confidence, it would also make green camp voters turn out to vote and vote resolutely.

Huang Weihan emphasized: "Water can carry a boat, but it can also overturn it. Polling agencies publish their survey results responsibly, and there is no need to doubt the reasons behind it. There are 19 days left in the election, and the hot battle between the North and the North is all about PK."

The Lianhe Daily News survey on the New Taipei City mayoral election was conducted from November 1 to 7. It successfully interviewed 1,114 adults registered in New Taipei City, and 261 people refused to be interviewed. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error was within plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. The survey uses New Taipei City's residential and mobile phone dual-telephone records as the parent population for random sampling. It improves the shortcomings of traditional local phone sampling by adding samples of mobile phone users who cannot be reached by local calls. It is weighted according to the gender and age structure of voters registered in New Taipei City who are over 20 years old. The source of the survey funding is Lianhe Bao.

Open Questions

  • Has Beishi’s latest poll data been updated?
  • What will be the final result of the two-North election campaign?
  • Will blue and green camp voter turnout change significantly as polls are released?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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