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Back歐盟對中國「最後談判」即將登場 貿易戰一觸即發
歐盟對中國「最後談判」即將登場 貿易戰一觸即發
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

歐盟對中國「最後談判」即將登場 貿易戰一觸即發

歐盟中國貿易逆差

Quick Look

歐盟貿易事務專員塞夫柯維奇將於8日至9日飛赴北京，進行被形容為「最後的談判」的貿易磋商。歐盟此前施壓中國在10月前提出改善貿易逆差的具體措施，否則將動用一切可用手段。報導指出，歐盟對中國的貿易逆差已擴大至每日平均11.8億歐元，歐洲擔心中國廉價商品大量湧入正威脅其工業基礎和就業，若談判破裂，雙方可能爆發貿易戰。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

歐盟長期面臨對中國的巨額貿易逆差，近期逆差擴大至每日11.8億歐元，較去年增長18%。歐盟認為這主要源於中國政府對企業的大規模補貼和人民幣匯率被人為壓低，導致中國商品在歐洲市場具有不公平競爭優勢。

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初次上稿10-06 22:03

更新時間10-07 06：47

歐盟貿易事務專員塞夫柯維奇（Maros Sefcovic）八日至九日將飛往北京，展開一次被形容為「最後的談判」的貿易談判，一旦談判破裂，歐盟和中國可能爆發貿易戰。（路透）

〔編譯盧永山／綜合報導〕歐盟為了降低與中國之間的巨額貿易逆差，先前施壓中國須在10月之前拿出具體改善措施，否則將動用「一切可用的手段」。《法國國際廣播電台》（RFI）報導，歐盟貿易事務專員塞夫柯維奇（Maros Sefcovic）8日至9日將飛往北京，展開一次被形容為「最後的談判」的貿易談判，一旦談判破裂，歐盟和中國可能爆發貿易戰。

報導說，歐洲人十分清楚，一旦爆發貿易戰，歐洲將面臨嚴峻的局面，因此希望透過談判全力避免，但歐洲也做好了反擊的準備，因為歐洲不得不如此，歐洲從來沒有像今天這樣切身體會到來自中國的威脅，這種威脅來自於大舉湧入歐陸的中國廉價商品。

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歐洲對中國的貿易逆差激增，就能說明中國這台「壓路機」的威脅有多大。海關數據顯示，今年7月歐盟對中國的貿易逆差進一步擴大至平均每日11.8億歐元（新台幣422.7億元），比去年每日約10億歐元（新台幣358.2億元）激增18%。這是個恐怖的數字，歐洲人將此歸咎於中國政府向本國企業提供大規模補貼，以及為了提升出口競爭力而人為壓低人民幣匯率。

歐盟一直為了與中國達成貿易平衡或至少縮減貿易逆差而努力，卻徒勞無功。中國國內市場疲軟、居民消費力薄弱，大量無法消化的產能湧入歐洲，這些商品不僅與歐洲的汽車、成衣、家電、輪胎、化工和製藥行業，以及未來的飛機產業形成競爭，而且這股涵蓋所謂「基礎」商品及高科技產品的商品洪流，正在扼殺歐洲的工業和商業，威脅歐洲的就業，進而危及歐洲的社會模式。

如今歐盟正尋求保護本地生產商。在過去幾個月裡，歐盟執委會陸續建立一系列保護主義壁壘，從邊境碳稅到提高鋼鐵關稅，從電動車關稅到對來自第三國的小額包裹關稅，甚至打算在公共採購和購置補貼的分配中引入「歐洲優先」標準。更重要的是，歐盟執委會還表示，若北京當局拒絕其重新界定貿易規則的要求，準備動用「一切可用的手段」。

歐洲人還抱著最後一線希望，8日至9日的這場談判，重點圍繞在重塑歐中貿易平衡，歐盟將這次談判視為重新平衡歐中貿易關係的漫長談判最後一步。

一手掌握經濟脈動 點我訂閱自由財經Youtube頻道

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 歐盟與中國將在8日至9日的北京談判中達成臨時性協議，避免立即爆發貿易戰

    Possible · Within days

  • 即使談判達成共識，歐盟仍將在未來數月內逐步實施選擇性貿易防衛措施

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 歐盟在談判中將提出哪些具體要求？
  • 中國是否願意調整補貼政策或匯率機制？
  • 若談判破裂，歐盟將首先啟動哪些貿易防衛措施？
  • 這次談判是否真的具備『最後一次』的意義？

Related Topics

歐盟
People塞夫柯維奇
Organizations歐盟執委會法國國際廣播電台路透社
Places北京歐洲
Topics中國貿易逆差塞夫柯維奇貿易談判貿易戰廉價商品
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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