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Back内塔尼亚胡时代的终结?以色列反对党获委任组阁
内塔尼亚胡时代的终结?以色列反对党获委任组阁
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德国之声34 minutes agoPolitics3 min readChinaView translation

内塔尼亚胡时代的终结?以色列反对党获委任组阁

在野党领袖艾森科特获总统邀请组阁,面临组建联合政府的巨大挑战与复杂博弈。

Quick Look

以色列总统赫尔佐格邀请在野党“亚沙尔”领袖艾森科特于11月8日前往官邸组建新政府。此前大选中各阵营均未获得过半席位,组阁过程预计将面临极端正统派兵役等巨大摩擦与挑战。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

在10月27日举行的议会大选中,无论是现任总理内塔尼亚胡的执政联盟还是反对派阵营,均未能获得组阁所需的过半席位。

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根据赫尔佐格总统(Isaac Herzog)办公室发布的消息,当前在野的中间派政党“亚沙尔”(Yashar)领袖艾森科特(Gadi Eisenkot)获邀在11月8日下午前往耶路撒冷总统官邸。此前,总统与大选后的新一届议会各派别进行了磋商,代表120个议席中67席的多个政党均建议由艾森科特领衔组建新政府。

组建政府预计将极其困难且复杂。在10月27日举行的议会大选中,无论是现任总理内塔尼亚胡(Benjamin Netanyahu)的执政联盟,还是艾森科特所在的反对派阵营,均未能获得组阁所需的过半席位(61席)。

艾森科特曾经是以色列国防军总参谋长。他所代表的“反内塔尼亚胡”阵营尽管持中间派政治立场,但是近期却出现了潜在的拉拢宗教极端正统派(Ultra-Orthodox)的迹象。后者曾经是现总理内塔尼亚胡的执政盟友。中间派与宗教极端正统派能够联手达到执政所需的过半议席,但是宗教极端正统派学生是否具有服兵役义务将是双方的重大摩擦点。

艾森科特的阵营此前一直拒绝和阿拉伯政党合作。不过,在磋商期间,后者依然有几名政治人物表达了对艾森科特的支持。这两个阵营合作同样能达到过半议席。

内塔尼亚胡“打不过就加入”?

不久前,现总理内塔尼亚胡曾录制视频,呼吁反对党组建一个“民族团结政府”,但并未明确究竟应由谁来领导这样一个联合政府。内塔尼亚胡在视频中还警告反对党切勿组建一个依靠两个阿拉伯政党支持的内阁,认为这会让以色列“从内部被摧毁”。

艾森科特则在社媒平台X(推特)上发帖,驳斥内塔尼亚胡的言论是“廉价的公关秀”。艾森科特认为,正是内塔尼亚胡本人分裂了以色列社会、播下了不和的种子;如今,当他意识到自己的执政时日无多时,却又开始大谈“团结”了。艾森科特还补充说,内塔尼亚胡从未履行过他与政治伙伴签署的任何协议;如果内塔尼亚胡领导的利库德集团及其盟友真的对“团结”和组建具有广泛基础的政府感兴趣,那么他们大可公开宣布与极端分子断绝联盟,并表明愿意加入由艾森科特领导的新政府。

现年66岁的艾森科特现在有28天的时间来组建联合政府,并可选择申请14天的延长期。如果此次尝试失败,总统将委任另一位议员组阁,期限同样为28天。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 艾森科特将拥有28天的时间来组建联合政府。

    Very likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 艾森科特能否成功组建联合政府?
  • 宗教极端正统派是否会加入新政府?

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This article was originally published by 德国之声.

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