
民進黨新北市長參選人蘇巧慧選情穩定上揚,黨內以「保五加N」為目標,賴清德、蔡英文、蕭美琴等領袖分進合擊全台輔選,針對雙北選區掀起「洋流」熱潮,並強化網路海巡防範境外介選與錯假訊息。
AI-generated summary
民進黨以「保五加N」為選戰目標,力爭勝取全國最大票倉新北市,同時鞏固南部執政版圖,並挑戰傳統藍營據點。
百里侯選戰邁入最後二個月衝刺期,民進黨持續以「保五加N」為戰略底線,力拚攻下全國最大票倉新北市,主打「新世代扛起新時代」、訴求市政願景的正面選戰,隨著綠營整體士氣上揚,總統賴清德、前總統蔡英文、副總統蕭美琴也持續分進合擊全台輔選,貫徹每一席都不放棄的決心。
賴蔡蕭續分進合擊 全台輔選
黨內人士分析,藍白陣營已逐漸進入選戰模式,對壘的情況會日益激烈,須步步為營。民進黨所謂「新世代扛起新時代」不只是提名年輕的參選人,更號召如林國漳、陳品安、温世政等專業人士挺進艱困選區奮戰,並搭配韓瑩、沈夙崢、張媛婷等青年世代返鄉投入鄉鎮市長選舉,期盼喚起更多年輕人以選票改變家鄉、重燃選民對選舉的熱情。
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針對備受矚目的雙北選區,黨內人士評估「外擴效應」已逐漸成形,台北市長參選人沈伯洋勤跑基層、提出諸多市政願景,站上肥皂箱與民眾面對面談市政解方,思路敏捷、辯才無礙的表現與台北市長蔣萬安形成對比,吸引不少年輕、中間選民,成功掀起「洋流」熱潮,隨著十月四日競選總部成立,氣勢可望再掀高峰。
據透露,新北市長參選人蘇巧慧以「水獺媽媽」形象深耕網路社群,選情穩定上揚,與對手呈現「麻花捲」的激烈拉鋸。面對雙北普遍呈現「年輕支持度高、長者支持度落後」,民進黨積極強化銀髮福利政策的宣傳,賴清德日前親赴新莊就是具體實踐。
檢視現有執政版圖,輔選人士表示,屏東縣、台南市、高雄市、嘉義縣選情穩定,澎湖縣則較為緊張。被看好有望「藍天變綠地」的包含彰化縣、嘉義市、宜蘭縣、新竹縣、基隆市,其中新竹縣長參選人鄭朝方主打「竹北經驗、竹縣實現」打動許多人,在藍營內部分裂與「藍白合」破局等狀況下,原先不被看好的竹縣極有機會逆轉翻盤;此外,台中市選情辛苦但持續追近,台東則在黨內完成整合的大團結氣勢下,縣長參選人陳瑩後勢看漲。
民進黨後續選戰佈局規劃「陸海空」三箭齊發。陸戰方面由賴清德、蔡英文、蕭美琴全力拉抬,並由中央黨部各部門組成各類型輔選團「精準打擊」;空戰則主打「線上合作、線下合體」,透過跨選區合體、影片拍攝等多元形式強力擴散「洋流」,用「雙北雙箭頭」的領頭羊聲勢帶動全台「好人才戰隊」。
強化網路海巡 防境外介選
面對選戰後期的可能變數,民進黨正強化「網路海巡」防線,黨內人士指出,近來境外勢力介選、認知作戰與錯假訊息的攻勢越來越強烈,甚至出現反串「青鳥出征」、刻意重提大罷免挑起仇恨對立的操作手法,後續將加強加強防備,即時澄清反擊,彙整「選前奧步」提醒支持者。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
民進黨將在新北市選情持續領先,有望勝選
Likely · Within weeks
新竹縣長選舉將出現激烈競爭,結果難以預測
Possible · Within weeks
境外介選與錯假訊息將在選後持續,民進黨將維持高度警戒
Very likely · Within months

Democratic Progressive Party Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang and current Taipei mayor Chiang Wanan both attended the Christmas dinner at Zhongzhuang Tsai Fudong Palace in Zhongshan District on the 26th and received sugar cane. However, the sugarcane given to Chiang Wanan was found carelessly discarded next to the temple on the 28th, triggering a public outcry. Lin Chunyu, the chairman of the temple, confirmed that the sugar cane was planted by an elderly man in his 80s and dedicated it to the landowner. Jiang Wanan's team only sent people to recover it after being urgently notified by his own parliamentarian. After the incident, netizens criticized Jiang Wanan for not respecting God and the elders, and related discussions continued to ferment.

The Keelung mayoral poll showed that Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tong Ziwei's support reached 34.2%, while the current KMT mayor Xie Guoliang's support was 38%. The gap between the two parties was only 3.8%, which fell into the margin of error. Another 48.9% of the respondents agreed that the mayor should be replaced. Former legislator Lin Zhuoshui believes that this reflects the continued expansion of the spillover effect of the "ocean current" driven by Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang. Netizens are looking forward to the election results and expressing their hope for political rationality.

Israel's domestic security service, the Shin Bet, filed a complaint with the Chief Military Censor demanding prosecution of Channel 12 for reporting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's visit to the UAE, which the government acknowledged after Abu Dhabi confirmed the meeting with President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed al-Nahyan.

The Taichung City Election Committee announced the lottery arrangement for the nine-in-one general election. The lottery for mayoral candidates will be held at the Taichung State Hall on October 23, the lottery for city councilors will be at the designated district office, and the district chief will be at each district office. The list of mayoral candidates will be announced on November 12, for councilors on November 17, and for district chiefs on November 22. The election campaign will start 15 days (mayor), 10 days (councillors), and 5 days (district chief) before the vote.

Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan sent a brief-term executive from the Taichung City Government to the campaign office of KMT New Taipei City mayoral candidate Li Sichuan to form a "Luchan-Chuuan Connection" to support his campaign. The poll showed that Su Qiaohui was slightly ahead of Li Sichuan with 38.2% and 37.1%, with a gap of only 1.1 percentage points. There are concerns within the KMT that the Green Camp may use judicial intervention or discredit propaganda to influence the election.

Former Taichung Mayor Hu Zhiqiang made a rare appearance on the stage for Yang Dahong, the KMT candidate for Xitun District, on the 27th. Due to obvious weakness in his left foot, he was unable to stand on the stage on his own and needed to be supported by Jiang Qichen and Liao Weixiang. During his speech, Hu Zhiqiang's left foot became paralyzed for a time. He mentioned that his health problems stemmed from a minor stroke during his trip to the United States in 2002 and a sprain in 2008. The 78-year-old revealed that he relied on rehabilitation and cycling to maintain his energy. He also praised the current mayor Lu Xiuyan for being outstanding.