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Back鸡蛋零售价格突破“6元区”,还会再涨吗?丨川观探市
鸡蛋零售价格突破“6元区”,还会再涨吗?丨川观探市
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中国新闻网25 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

鸡蛋零售价格突破“6元区”,还会再涨吗?丨川观探市

Quick Look

9月以来,全国鸡蛋价格持续上涨,四川鸡蛋批发价达今年最高点,零售价突破6元/斤大关。供给偏紧与需求旺季叠加导致价格创年内新高,但专家预计10月需求回落后价格将下降。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

9月以来,全国鸡蛋价格持续上涨,多地生鲜肉蛋市场迎来明显涨价,农业农村部监测显示9月第1周全国鸡蛋平均价格为11.58元/公斤,同比上涨30.7%。

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“咋又涨价了!”9月10日一早,在海吉星·成都双流市场内的肉禽蛋区域,前来批量采购鸡蛋的老吴扫码支付时,忍不住嘟囔了句,“一斤都涨两三毛钱了!”

老吴的感受不是个例。9月以来,多地生鲜肉蛋市场迎来明显涨价,多款主要食材价格攀升至年内高点。

其中,农业农村部对全国500个县集贸市场和采集点的监测显示,9月第1周,全国鸡蛋平均价格为11.58元/公斤,同比上涨30.7%;河北、辽宁等10个主产省价格为11.08元/公斤,同比上涨46.6%。

四川鸡蛋价格如何?后续价格走势有何趋势?川观新闻记者进行了探访。

批发价为今年最高点,零售价格破“6”

9月10日上午9点,在海吉星·成都双流市场,成都佳家欢农产品有限公司负责人罗礼仕清点着鸡蛋库存,手指飞快在计算器上按下数字。

“最近鸡蛋价格涨了,批发价每斤5.6—5.8元,比去年同期涨了2—3元。”罗礼仕告诉记者,虽然价格上涨,但销量未受影响,店铺日均出货10吨,主要供给学校、餐饮店、商超等地。

一旁的益州蛋品店铺,生意同样“热闹”。不到10分钟,前来装货的小车已在店门口停了四五辆。

“今天的鸡蛋批发价是每斤5.6元左右,比月初涨了几毛钱,这已经是今年批发价的最高点了。”店铺负责人常果介绍,目前销量未受影响,9月较平时上涨30%。

海吉星·成都双流市场相关负责人介绍,9月以来,市场鸡蛋的均价约为10.8元/公斤,日均交易量达40余吨。

批发市场价格上涨,鸡蛋零售价格也水涨船高。

记者走访了位于成都市武侯区的高攀农贸市场、益民菜市、满彭菜场等地,发现鸡蛋价格已全面突破“6元区”。其中,8—10元每斤的鸡蛋深受消费者喜爱。

“鲜鸡蛋、农户粗粮蛋涨价较多,目前卖6元一斤,7月时才卖4块多。”一家鸡蛋摊主告诉记者,品牌鸡蛋价格波动不大,和前几个月持平,较去年同期涨了一些。

大型连锁商超的鸡蛋价格波动同样明显。

记者查询盒马线上平台,30枚装的鲜鸡蛋价格为23.8元/盒,每人限购2盒,两个月前,该款产品售价为19.9元/盒,价格上涨近4元。而在山姆会员商店线上平台,多款在售鸡蛋商品页醒目标注“限购”字样,每人限购2盒,且30枚装的精选鲜鸡蛋价格,也在近期上调,涨了近3元。

受节庆备货影响,10月价格有望回落

鸡蛋价格为何持续走高?

“主要是供需关系的影响。”四川农业大学教授、国家蛋鸡产业技术体系岗位科学家尹华东认为,目前鸡蛋供给偏紧,叠加阶段性需求提高,导致蛋价创年内新高。

供给偏紧,源于去年的低迷行情。

“由于去年蛋鸡市场行情低迷,养殖户亏损居多,导致今年蛋鸡存栏量偏低。”尹华东解释,再加上今年夏季高温,以及玉米、豆粕等饲料成本增加,因此蛋鸡歇伏减产10%左右。

需求上涨,一方面,是9月为鸡蛋销售的传统旺季。

“随着中小学开学,学生餐对于鸡蛋的需求增加。再加上中秋节即将来临,鸡蛋作为月饼、糕点等食品的备货原料,需求也在不断上涨。”尹华东表示,鸡蛋价格自然随着供需关系水涨船高。

另一方面,在不少商户看来,去年鸡蛋市场持续低迷,造成了今年冷库蛋减少,拉动了对鲜鸡蛋的需求。

“往年,部分商户会准备冷库蛋,在鲜鸡蛋供应紧张时补位,用于食品加工方面。”罗礼仕告诉记者,去年市场行情走低后,商户出现亏损,存储冷库蛋的行为也少了,“商户们也亏怕了,趁着今年行情走高,只要价格涨一点,他们就卖一点,因此市场上冷库蛋少了,鲜鸡蛋自然卖得起价。”

那么,鸡蛋价格还要涨多久?

“9月下旬月饼备货结束,需求拐点显现,预计10月,鸡蛋价格会下降明显。”尹华东解释,随着气温回落,蛋鸡产蛋率修复,后备鸡陆续开产,鸡蛋供给增加,蛋价将逐步回落。

(川观新闻 记者 陈秋吉)

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 10月鸡蛋价格将下降明显

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 饲料成本上涨的具体幅度是多少?
  • 冷库蛋减少对后续供应的影响何时会完全显现?
  • 养殖户是否会因当前高价而扩大蛋鸡存栏?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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