
美國8月生產者物價指數及核心PPI雙雙高於預期,加上國際油價突破每桶100美元,通膨疑慮再起,市場對聯準會升息預期升溫,美債殖利率走高,美元指數重返99大關,主要亞幣承壓,新台幣兌美元匯率早盤重貶逾1角,跌破31.6元,台股開盤跳空下殺,盤中跌幅超過800點。
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美國8月生產者物價指數及核心PPI高於市場預期,國際油價突破每桶100美元,通膨疑慮再起。
美PPI高於預期升息押注升溫,新台幣早盤重貶逾1角。(記者陳梅英攝)
〔記者陳梅英/台北報導〕美國8月生產者物價指數(PPI)及核心PPI均高於市場預期,加上中東衝突升溫推升國際油價突破每桶100美元,通膨疑慮再起,市場對聯準會(Fed)升息預期升溫,美債殖利率走高,美元指數重新站回99大關,主要亞幣同步承壓,新台幣兌美元匯率今日早盤重貶逾1角,應聲跌破31.6元。
受到通膨壓力升高及Fed升息預期升溫影響,美股四大指數同步收黑,科技股跌勢尤其沉重,亞洲股市今日也再度籠罩「黑色星期五」陰霾,台股開盤跳空下殺,盤中跌幅超過800點。
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新台幣匯價在昨日結束連4紅後,今日跌勢進一步擴大,目前最低來到31.673元、重貶1.25角。
主要亞幣也紛紛走低,其中,先前升勢強勁的日圓今早回落至154.6日圓兌1美元附近;離岸人民幣貶至6.7148元;韓元則呈現先貶後升走勢。
匯銀人士指出,聯準會理事華勒上週曾表示,是否支持9月升息將取決於即將公布的8月通膨數據,若通膨持續降溫,他傾向維持利率不變;但若通膨意外升高,則可能支持升息。如今8月PPI及核心PPI雙雙高於預期,加上國際油價突破每桶100美元,市場因此更加關注今晚公布的8月消費者物價指數(CPI),若核心CPI也出現超預期升溫,恐進一步強化Fed升息預期。
在PPI數據公布後,芝商所FedWatch工具顯示,市場對Fed下週聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)升息1碼的機率已升至約7成,較PPI公布前明顯提高。上週此時,市場對於升息與不升息機率還處於五五波。
一手掌握經濟脈動 點我訂閱自由財經Youtube頻道
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
聯準會將在下週FOMC會議上升息1碼
Likely · Within weeks
新台幣匯率將在短期內持續承壓
Likely · Within days

Taiwan Sugar Corporation held a "Taiwan Sugar Good Food Light" pop-up market at the Taipei Yuanshan Flower Expo Entrance Plaza from September 12 to 13, offering buy 1 get 1 free, free gifts for purchases, and lucky wheel draws. It featured products such as coffee, meat, craft beer, and energetic light snacks to meet the public's Mid-Autumn Festival shopping needs.

Yilan County Dongshan Township's specialty Hongwendan has entered overseas for the first time with the help of the county government and the farmers' association. A loading and shipping ceremony was held today. It is expected that a total of 8 tons of top-quality Hongwendan will be sold to Singapore. The first batch of 2.4 tons of fruit will be shipped out of customs, preparing to strongly attack the local autumn gift market.

Foreign media reported that Chinese companies concealed their actual control through shell companies in third places and registered non-Chinese nationals, and poached Taiwanese semiconductor talents with high salaries up to 10 times local wages. Experts warn that brain drain and hidden ownership may weaken the long-term competitive advantage of Taiwan's chip industry, especially in the context of the Sino-US chip war. Ultimately, beneficial ownership transparency becomes a key defense.

Xie Jinhe, chairman of Caixin Media Group, pointed out that Taiwan’s exports hit a new historical record of US$82.4 billion in August this year, and the total in the first eight months was US$574.34 billion, an annual increase of more than 44%. If the monthly average of US$80 billion is maintained, annual exports will reach US$900 billion, making it expected to become the world's fifth largest exporter. He analyzed that Taiwan's huge surplus with the United States masks its deficit with South Korea, and suggested that Taiwan does not need to be overly polite to South Korea.

Taiwan stocks opened lower on Friday (11th), opening at 46,651.21 points, a drop of 289.28 points. During the session, it fell 998.05 points to 45,942.44 points, falling below the 46,000 mark. U.S. stocks fell for four consecutive days. August producer price data and rising oil prices heightened market concerns about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. Rising Treasury bond yields also suppressed the stock market. Major value stocks such as TSMC, MediaTek, and Hon Hai all fell sharply during the session.

Shares of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, South Korea's two major chip manufacturers, plunged more than 4% in early trading on Friday, dragged down by the decline in U.S. stocks due to rising oil prices and worries about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. At the same time, Chinese AI startup DeepSeek released a new model V4.1 Flash claiming to reduce HBM demand, further compressing the trend of memory stocks.