
美國30年期固定房貸利率連續七週上升至7.40%,創近三年新高,導致南加州房地產交易降溫。買家因每月邟款增加而放棄購屋,賣家則因換屋成本高昂而不願降價,雙方陷入觀望。同時,部分屋主選擇翻修原有住宅或加建空間,以避免承擔高利率新房貸,房市呈現買方殺價、賣方惜售的僵局。
AI-generated summary
美國房貸利率自今年2月低點5.98%開始上升,至10月8日達到7.40%,為近三年最高。此趨勢受聯準會抗通膨政策影響,增加購屋成本。
(中央社記者林宏翰洛杉磯10日專電)美國房貸利率持續攀升至7.40%,房地產交易降溫,買賣雙方陷入觀望。中央社記者走進加州一處屋齡約50年的住宅改建工地,隨著房貸利率攀高、換屋成本增加,部分屋主精打細算,選擇整修原有住宅,取代購買新房。
美國房貸利率持續走高。根據美國房地美(Freddie Mac)公布數據,30年期固定房貸平均利率已連續7週攀升,10月8日來到7.40%,創近3年新高。相較今年2月一度跌至5.98%,7個多月已升1.42個百分點。
●房貸月付暴增 買房夢咬牙喊停
房貸利率上升,直接增加購屋族的每月還款負擔。南加州出租公寓物業經理傑西(Jesse)表示,一名租屋族朋友原本準備買房,但經過一段時間,房貸利率從原先預估約5%升至7%以上。
這個朋友仔細一算,每月房貸負擔恐從約6000美元(約新台幣19.2萬元)增加到8000美元(約新台幣25.5萬元),最後因無力負擔,決定放棄購屋。在房價動輒超過百萬美元的南加州,房貸利率稍有變動,就可能讓購屋族每月增加可觀的支出。
租屋族搬出公寓的最主要原因,通常是買了房子。傑西觀察到,在目前房價居高不下、房貸利率又持續攀升,很多房客選擇繼續租房子,也有人開始找室友合租,或是尋找生活成本較低的區域居住,「現在東西都變貴了,包括汽油、食物和整體生活成本,但薪水卻幾乎沒有改變」。
不只是租屋族精打細算,已經擁有房屋的民眾也開始重新計算換屋成本。面對高房價、高房貸利率,部分屋主寧願投入資金改建原有住宅,也不願出售舊屋、背著高利率房貸買新房。
●換屋成本高昂 老屋加建成新選擇
加州爾灣住宅裝修承包商張哲銘(Jonathan Chang)帶領中央社記者走進一處住宅工地。這棟屋齡約50年的住宅,正在進行大規模改建,原本是4房2衛格局,屋主決定加建約31坪空間,完工後擴充為5房4衛,規劃獨立出租空間,增加租金收入。
張哲銘表示,許多早年買房的屋主,雖然房屋已經大幅增值,但若想換一間更大的房子,除了必須支付更高的房價,還得重新負擔高利率的房貸以及可能增加的房屋稅。
他舉例,一棟當年以50萬美元(約新台幣1596萬元)購入、如今價值150萬美元(約新台幣4788萬元)的住宅,若想換成更大的房子,可能得花費200萬至250萬美元(約新台幣6384萬至7980萬元)。與其投入大筆資金換屋,不如利用現有土地加建,讓原本的房子更符合家庭需求。
他觀察到,在高房價與高利率之下,屋主對裝修工程的需求也出現變化。更換地板、整修浴室等非必要的小型裝修有所減少,但增加居住空間、可供出租的附屬住宅單元(ADU)等工程,詢問度仍然相當高。
●買方殺價賣方惜售 房市陷觀望
在南加州南巴沙迪納(South Pasadena),房地產經紀人洪昌維(Alex Hung)帶領中央社記者走訪一塊待售空地。這塊土地位於山坡上,沿著陡坡向上爬,可以遠眺城市景觀,儘管景色優美,掛牌出售1年多,至今仍未找到買家。
洪昌維觀察,目前房價和房貸利率雙雙居高不下,買方出價更保守,部分賣方卻不願降價,因為賣掉現有房屋後,換屋同樣必須面對高利率。「所以就有一點點卡住」。他形容,現在的房市不是完全沒有交易,而是買賣雙方都在觀望。
高房貸利率也讓賣方開始調整開價。根據美國房地產網站Realtor.com最新統計,9月全美20.8%的掛牌住宅曾經降價,相當於每5間就有1間,比例創2022年10月以來新高。
面對目前的降價趨勢,洪昌維觀察到除了少數精華地段,買方往往一開始就要求降價,如果賣方不願讓步,買方寧可暫時觀望,等待更好的價格。
●降價求售吸引投資客 年底房市添壓
房地產經紀人蕭羽晴(Aria Hsiao)指出,有些賣方掛牌約兩週後,發現買家反應冷淡,就開始調降售價;如果降價後仍乏人問津,可能進一步降價,吸引有意購入房屋自行整修的投資客。
對賣方而言,與其先花錢裝修、卻不確定能否賣出更好的價格,不如直接降價出售,省下整修費用。
進入今年第4季,再過不久就是感恩節、耶誕節假期。蕭羽晴表示年底通常是房市淡季,這個一家團聚的季節,民眾通常不會在這個時間搬家,今年又遇上高房貸利率,讓買方更難出手,賣方也不願放棄原有的低利率房貸。(編輯:唐佩君)1151011
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
若房貸利率維持在7%以上,南加州房市交易量將在未來三個月繼續下降
Likely · Within months
Nanjing, Suzhou and other places in Jiangsu Province have implemented new housing provident fund policies to support the withdrawal of decoration and property fees; Shenyang, Liaoning Province has issued nine optimization policies to include heating fees, etc. in the scope of withdrawal. Nanjing will implement new regulations on decoration withdrawals from September 20, 2026, with a maximum of 1,000 yuan per square meter and a maximum of 150,000 yuan for a household; Shenyang’s property fee withdrawal policy will be implemented on December 1, 2026, and the down payment withdrawal will become a long-term policy.

The Hsinchu County Government Taxation Bureau reminds landlords that the new housing tax 2.0 system, which enjoys preferential tax rates of 1.6% to 2.4% for renters, is not permanent. After the lease expires, no matter whether it is renewed or changed, you must reapply, otherwise the tax rate will revert to 2.6% to 4.8% for non-owner-occupied households, and the tax burden may double. It also provides three steps to save taxes and a contact number for peace of mind.

The rapid rise in housing prices in Taiwan has led to a heavy burden of home purchase. The number of seniors over 65 years old has increased significantly. In the second quarter of 2022, there were 1,950 new mortgage loans in a single quarter, six times the number in the first quarter of 2009. Even the latest data has increased significantly, reflecting the trend of a super-aged society and retirement postponement, and bank credit evaluations are facing adjustments.

As of December last year, the number of mortgage loan applications nationwide for people over 65 years old exceeded 61,600, accounting for about 4.08%, setting an 18-year high since statistics were collected in 2009. The growth rate in the past ten years has been significant, from about 19,500 at the end of 2016 to 61,600, an increase of nearly 3.16 times. Experts point out that high-net-worth groups regard mortgage loans as a tool for asset allocation and wealth inheritance, but whether outstanding debts can be deducted from inheritance tax still needs to comply with tax laws and have solid proof.

The Taipei City Land Affairs Bureau announced that the number of buildings transferred through building transactions in September was 2,133, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%. Although transaction volume increased by 5.3% in the first nine months of this year compared with last year, it is still at the lowest level since 2017. Experts analyze that due to the high point of the stock market, most funds are retained in the stock market. Although the buying momentum in the housing market is stable, the growth momentum is limited.
Starting from October 1, the policy of discounting interest rates on home purchase loans for residents nationwide will be officially implemented. China Construction Bank responded proactively, clarifying service procedures, formulating interest discount confirmation letters, and improving system functions to achieve "enjoyment without application". During the National Day, branches in Sichuan, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Anhui, Beijing and other places visited real estate properties and intermediary agencies to explain policies and issue the first batch of subsidized loans. Chengdu Shuangliu, Yibin, Nanchong and other places in Sichuan issued subsidized loans of 2.1 million yuan on the first day; Jiaxing, Huzhou and Shaoxing in Zhejiang issued the first batch of loans in the province; loans of 600,000 yuan were processed on-site at the Zhenjiang real estate exhibition in Jiangsu; Guangdong Provincial Branch handled more than 500 million yuan in discounted loans during the National Day; Hefei Hi-tech and other places in Anhui issued a total of 1.545 million yuan; Beijing customer Ms. Deng received proactive services and is expected to save 24,000 yuan in interest in five years. China Construction Bank will continue to optimize services and promote policy dividends to cover more households in urgent need.