Japanese stocks rise and the Nikkei index exceeds 70,000 points, supported by Wall Street's gains and a decline in oil
Chevron warns of dwindling oil reserves, and Asian markets react to the decline in crude oil and the Japanese bond auction
Quick Look
Japan's Nikkei index surpassed 70,000 points, supported by Wall Street's gains and a decline in oil prices, while Chevron warned of dwindling energy reserves as a result of the war in the Middle East, and stocks rose in Hong Seng, led by technology and pharmaceuticals.
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Why It Matters
The continuation of the US-Israeli war on Iran puts pressure on energy markets and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth said on Tuesday that reserves in the oil and fuel market are dwindling, as the US-Israeli war on Iran continues for the eighth month.
He added during an event in London that the energy system today is more fragile than it was at the beginning of the conflict, with minimum oil prices gradually rising.
The Iran war caused a decline in the global supply of oil, as a result of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20 percent of the global oil and gas supplies passed.
Regarding the potential pipeline from Iraq to the Mediterranean, Wirth explained: “We may participate as a party within a larger coalition.” Explaining: “The potential pipeline project from Iraq to the Mediterranean is not the type of project in which the company can invest a large amount of its own capital.”
He said, "Iraq is an attractive market, and cooperation with the government is going well, and we are optimistic about reaching a positive result."
Regarding the Iraqi West Qurna field, Chevron’s CEO said, “Negotiations with the government still require months.”
Japanese stocks rose on Tuesday, with the Nikkei index exceeding the level of 70,000 points, benefiting from Wall Street’s gains and the decline in oil prices, while strong demand at an auction for 10-year government bonds contributed to allaying fears that yields would continue to rise. However, the debt market remained under pressure from concerns about government spending plans and rising borrowing costs.
The Nikkei ended the session up 1.1 percent at 70,683.98 points, while the broader Topix index rose 0.9 percent to 4,183.56 points. The rise was characterized by a wide range of gains, as 165 stocks rose out of the 225 components of Nikkei, compared to a decline of 55 stocks, and five remained stable.
Stock gains accelerated during afternoon trading after the 10-year government bond auction attracted the strongest demand since May, alleviating fears of debt market turmoil and helping yields fall from their highest levels during the session.
Masahiro Ichikawa, a strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, said that the auction results were “very good” and confirmed the presence of strong demand from investors, which provided some reassurance that returns would not continue to rise continuously, threatening the performance of the stock market.
Japanese bonds were subjected to strong pressure during October, with increasing concerns about Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's expansionary fiscal policy, coinciding with a wave of selling in global debt markets, especially French bonds.
On Monday, Takaichi pledged to “control” bond issuances and move quickly if the markets witnessed unexpected disturbances, in an attempt to reassure investors about the sustainability of public finances.
In the debt market, the 10-year Japanese bond yield rose 1.5 basis points to 3.1 percent, after paring its gains following the auction results. The twenty-year yield also declined from its peak during the session to reach 3.98 percent, after touching 3.99 percent, which is the highest level in three decades.
As for the 30-year bond yield, it recorded at the beginning of trading a new record level at 4.24 percent, before reaching 4.235 percent, rising by 0.5 basis points. The five-year bond yield rose 2.5 basis points to 2.385 percent, while the two-year bond yield rose two basis points to 1.925 percent.
The stock market also benefited from the positive performance of US stocks, after the three main Wall Street indices closed higher, and the Nasdaq index recorded a record level supported by the rise of major technology companies, including NVIDIA.
But Japanese technology stocks delivered a mixed performance. The shares of chip testing equipment company “Advantest” jumped 3.9 percent, and the shares of cable company “Fujikura” rose 5.2 percent, to be among the biggest gainers on “Nikkei.” On the other hand, the shares of SoftBank Group, which has significant exposure to artificial intelligence investments, fell 3.1 percent, recording the worst performance among the components of the index.
Wataru Akiyama, a strategist at Nomura Securities, said that investors have become more selective in evaluating stocks, as it is determined whether companies are overvalued or undervalued according to their current price levels.
The decline in oil prices had a clear positive impact on the Japanese market. Japan relies heavily on energy imports, especially from the Middle East, which makes the rise in crude prices a factor putting pressure on the costs of companies, households, the trade balance, and inflation.
At the same time, developments in global bond markets remain a risk factor. French borrowing costs rose amid selling linked to fears of the government's plans to reduce the deficit and contain high debt.
Investors' eyes are now turning to the statements of Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, searching for signals about the pace of future increases in interest rates. Between the decline in oil and the strength of stocks on the one hand, and the rise in returns and financial fears on the other hand, monetary and fiscal policies remain the factors that most influence the direction of Japanese markets during the coming period.
Hong Kong stocks rose during trading on Tuesday, tracking the improvement in overseas markets, with pharmaceutical and technology companies leading the gains, offsetting continued pressure on the shares of real estate development companies. The standard Hang Seng Index rose 0.78 percent by mid-session, while the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprises Index rose 0.82 percent.
The biotechnology sector was one of the most prominent market drivers. The Hang Seng Biotechnology Index jumped by about 3 percent, while the Hang Seng Technology Index rose 0.87 percent. “Wu Shi Biologicals” shares topped the main index’s gains, rising 4.2 percent, while “Sino Biopharmaceuticals” shares rose 4.1 percent.
Technology and Internet stocks also achieved notable gains. Shares of Sany Optical, Baidu, Kuaishou, and Alibaba rose by rates ranging between 2.8 and 3.7 percent.
The trading came in light of the continued closure of financial markets in mainland China on the occasion of the National Day holiday, with activities scheduled to resume on October 8th.
On the other hand, the real estate sector remained a weak point in the market. Sun Hong Kai Properties shares fell 0.4 percent, and CK Asset fell 0.3 percent.
Brokerage company UOP Kai Hian said it expects residential real estate prices to continue moving within a limited range throughout 2026.
New World Development shares fell 3.8 percent, after the company launched a debt swap offer, allowing holders of some bonds due in 2027 and 2028 to replace new debts guaranteed by them due in 2032.
The performance of Tuesday’s session reflects the continued disparity between Hong Kong’s sectors. Technology and pharmaceutical companies benefit from improved investor appetite, while real estate companies remain under pressure from price expectations, financing burdens, and debt restructuring.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Residential property prices in Hong Kong will continue to move within a limited range throughout 2026
Likely · Within months
Open Questions
- When will negotiations end over Iraq's West Qurna field?
- What are the Bank of Japan's next decisions on interest rates?







