Breaking
RUFlight restrictions have been lifted at Samara and Ulyanovsk airportsAUWoman dies after being found injured on road near Ballarat overnightAUBreaking: Person still trapped after car driven into Canberra shopfrontINTLLabour fends off Green party to win Holborn and St Pancras byelectionCN2026 Arctic Circle Forum kicks off in IcelandCNTrump administration suspends green card applications for foreign employees at Microsoft and other companiesCNThe ocean current is warm! Shen Boyang met an elder who fainted when he was praying for votes. He stopped his trip and waited for an ambulance.CNTraffic rush in Pingtung and Taitung Chung during the National Day holiday! Urgent implementation of lane allocation in Fangliao section, Kenting Main Street will divert pedestrian and vehicle traffic from tonightCNCostco members don’t miss it! Once you receive "this letter", you will be able to receive the settlement money. See the applicable objects at once.CNHaoding shareholders report good news! Recognizable subsidiary Dingjin’s capital increase shares earn nearly double the profit per shareRUFlight restrictions have been lifted at Samara and Ulyanovsk airportsAUWoman dies after being found injured on road near Ballarat overnightAUBreaking: Person still trapped after car driven into Canberra shopfrontINTLLabour fends off Green party to win Holborn and St Pancras byelectionCN2026 Arctic Circle Forum kicks off in IcelandCNTrump administration suspends green card applications for foreign employees at Microsoft and other companiesCNThe ocean current is warm! Shen Boyang met an elder who fainted when he was praying for votes. He stopped his trip and waited for an ambulance.CNTraffic rush in Pingtung and Taitung Chung during the National Day holiday! Urgent implementation of lane allocation in Fangliao section, Kenting Main Street will divert pedestrian and vehicle traffic from tonightCNCostco members don’t miss it! Once you receive "this letter", you will be able to receive the settlement money. See the applicable objects at once.CNHaoding shareholders report good news! Recognizable subsidiary Dingjin’s capital increase shares earn nearly double the profit per share
Back個位數字!沈伯洋、蔣萬安民調差8百分點 他驚呼:看來是「綠VBS」
個位數字!沈伯洋、蔣萬安民調差8百分點 他驚呼:看來是「綠VBS」
Developing
自由时报3 hours agoPolitics2 min readChinaView translation

個位數字!沈伯洋、蔣萬安民調差8百分點 他驚呼:看來是「綠VBS」

Quick Look

網紅「四叉貓」劉宇在臉書引用TVBS最新民調指出,台北市長蔣萬安與民進黨參選人沈伯洋的支持度差距,從5月下旬的28個百分點縮小至昨日公布的8個百分點,蔣萬安支持度為49%,沈伯洋為41%。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

台北市長選戰吸引廣泛關注,多家民調機構持續追蹤現任市長蔣萬安與民進黨參選人沈伯洋的支持度變化。TVBS為臺灣主要媒體之一,其民調結果常被引用作為選戰參考。

Font size

網紅「四叉貓」劉宇在臉書發文,引用TVBS最新民調結果指出,台北市長蔣萬安與民進黨台北市長參選人沈伯洋的支持度差距,從5月下旬的28個百分點,縮小至8個百分點。

四叉貓表示,根據TVBS民調,5月下旬蔣萬安支持度為58%,沈伯洋為30%,雙方相差28個百分點;到了昨日,同樣是TVBS製作的最新民調顯示,蔣萬安支持度為49%,沈伯洋則為41%,雙方差距縮小至8個百分點。

請繼續往下閱讀...

四叉貓指出,2人民調差距已從28個百分點縮小至8個百分點。他並以諧音調侃TVBS,直言:「看來是『綠VBS』新聞台!」

網友也紛紛在貼文下方留言,「拉到個位數字了,大家繼續努力」、「等戴立安的民調」、「TVBS的民調,以往誤差值10%以上」、「我覺得實際上已經黃金交叉了」。

台北市長選戰備受各界關注,民調專家戴立安與信民協會上月底公布的民調中,現任市長蔣萬安(41.7%)和民進黨參選人沈伯洋(40.5%)之間只差了1.2個百分點,TVBS昨日也公布最新民調,蔣萬安支持度為49%、沈伯洋41%,沈伯洋從原本落後蔣萬安將近30個百分點,如今追到剩下個位數。

本次調查是TVBS民意調查中心於115年10月3日,及10月5日至7日晚間18時30分至22時00分進行的調查,共接觸1284位20歲以上台北市民,其中拒訪為164位,拒訪率為12.8%,最後成訪訪問有效樣本1120位,在95%的信心水準下,抽樣誤差為±2.9個百分點以內。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 台北市長選戰支持度差距將在未來數週內進一步縮小,可能進入統計誤差範圍內

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 後續民調是否會持續顯示支持度差距進一步縮小?
  • 其他民調機構(如戴立安、信民協會)的最新結果是否與TVBS一致?
  • 選民對兩位候選人的具體政策議題有何偏好?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Related Stories

[Continue the spirit of the Long March and forge ahead on the journey of rejuvenation] Guangxi: The land of northern Guangxi passes on the fire and starts a new journey to the sea.
Politics·

[Continue the spirit of the Long March and forge ahead on the journey of rejuvenation] Guangxi: The land of northern Guangxi passes on the fire and starts a new journey to the sea.

In 1934, the Red Army's Long March passed through Guangxi and the Xiangjiang Battle raged. Today, Guangxi inherits the spirit of the Long March and promotes the construction of the Long March National Cultural Park. It also develops industries such as non-ferrous metals and artificial intelligence, expands opening to ASEAN, promotes major projects such as the New Western Land-Sea Corridor, and builds a four-in-one interconnected network of land, sea, air and data.

中国新闻网
2 min read
Zhang Siming, former deputy general manager of Guizhou Shuicheng Mining (Group), was expelled from the party
Politics·

Zhang Siming, former deputy general manager of Guizhou Shuicheng Mining (Group), was expelled from the party

The Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection and Supervision reported that Zhang Siming, the former deputy general manager of Guizhou Shuicheng Mining (Group) Co., Ltd., was placed under investigation for serious violations of discipline and law. After investigation, he lost his ideals and beliefs, violated the spirit of the eight central regulations, accepted gifts, illegally engaged in profit-making activities, had a bad family tradition, took advantage of his position to seek personal gain and illegally accepted huge amounts of property.

中国新闻网
1 min read
Ke Zhien will be in the same frame as Cheng Laiwen tomorrow. Lai Ruilong: Why do you side with Cheng Laiwen and not with Kaohsiung?
Developing·

Ke Zhien will be in the same frame as Cheng Laiwen tomorrow. Lai Ruilong: Why do you side with Cheng Laiwen and not with Kaohsiung?

Democratic Progressive Party Kaohsiung mayoral candidate Lai Ruilong criticized Kuomintang legislator Ke Zhien for not having publicly shared the stage with party chairman Cheng Lai-wen for a long time, but followed the KMT's position on important bills, causing Kaohsiung to suffer losses in the fiscal planning law and military procurement budget. He asked Ke Zhien to explain why he always voted to follow Cheng Lai-wen instead of winning the public opinion of Kaohsiung.

自由时报
2 min read
Yang Bing, former deputy director of the Guizhou Provincial Department of Natural Resources, was "double fired"
Politics·

Yang Bing, former deputy director of the Guizhou Provincial Department of Natural Resources, was "double fired"

The Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection opened a case review and investigation on Yang Bing, former member of the Party Committee and Deputy Director of the Guizhou Provincial Department of Natural Resources. After investigation, it was found that he had lost his ideals and beliefs, participated in gangs, illegally received and delivered gifts and money, ran for office, agreed to transfer mining rights in violation of regulations, used his power to seek personal gain and illegally received extremely large amounts of property, and also gave property to staff from other countries for improper benefits. After study by the Standing Committee of the Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection and approval by the Provincial Party Committee, it was decided to expel Yang Bing from the party, expulsion from public office, confiscate his illegal gains, and transfer his suspected criminal issues to the procuratorate for review and prosecution in accordance with the law.

中国新闻网
1 min read
Trump administration suspends green card applications for foreign employees at Microsoft and other companies
BREAKING·

Trump administration suspends green card applications for foreign employees at Microsoft and other companies

The U.S. government has suspended many technology companies such as Microsoft and Adobe from participating in plans for foreign employees to apply for U.S. green cards, and has launched an investigation into suspected J-1 visa fraud at nine universities including Harvard University. Vice President Vance said that visa fraud conveys the lie that "Americans cannot create a future for the United States." This measure will last as long as necessary. Since Trump’s second term, the U.S. government has continued to tighten immigration policies, but similar measures have previously been subject to judicial challenges.

中国新闻网
2 min read
Are you worried about sharing the stage with Cheng Lai-man tomorrow? "If you vote for Ko, you will vote for Zheng." Ke Zhien has spoken.
Developing·

Are you worried about sharing the stage with Cheng Lai-man tomorrow? "If you vote for Ko, you will vote for Zheng." Ke Zhien has spoken.

Kaohsiung mayoral candidate Ke Zhien said that tomorrow she will share the stage with KMT Chairman Cheng Li-wen when they participate in the National Day flag-raising at Zuoying Fruit Trade Community in Kaohsiung. She is not worried about being labeled again, emphasizing that the KMT has multiple voices and is a big family, respecting different approaches.

自由时报
1 min read
More on this topic四叉貓