
建商投資意願低迷,工業土地成市場主力,公辦都更競爭加劇
戴德梁行發布第三季土地交易報告,受政策限制與營建人力短缺影響,土地交易量持續疲軟。建商投資意願低落,自用型購地佔比升至27%,工業用地需求強勁,同時建商轉向公辦都更與合建以維持業績。
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央行與金管會近年實施多項針對投資性購地的禁限令,導致資金流向股市,改變了土地市場的投資結構。
近幾年隨著央行的及金管會對於投資性購地實施的各項禁限令,政府將資金導向股市的結果,土地的投資及自用買盤逐漸產生結構性的變化。
根據戴德梁行發布第三季商用不動產及土地交易資訊,在缺乏公有土地標售的基本盤之下,民間企業自行議價的交易力道持續疲軟,僅繳出為 256 億元的成績,也讓前三季的總交易量仍無法突破千億大關,全年度土地交易則恐跌破 1768 億的五年均量。
戴德梁行指出,工業土地在第三季以 133億元佔了過半的交易量,其中包括文曄科技、宏泰電子、鴻海在內等產業囊括了過半的自用型買盤,也凸顯出建商現階段對於住商類土地投資的意興闌珊。
戴德梁行分析,土地市場一向是以建商及壽險業為主要投資買盤,著眼於興建房地銷售或出租收益,過往為了建構企業總部及廠房的自用型購地佔土地交易的比重並不高。但近幾年隨著央行的及金管會對於投資性購地實施的各項禁限令,政府將資金導向股市的結果,土地的投資及自用買盤逐漸產生結構性的變化。
相較於 2025 年自用型購地約佔全年度交易量的 16%,但2026 年前三季的自用型購地佔比則已高達 27%,且絕大部分為產業購置工業土地。戴德梁行指出,由於 AI 相關產業的建廠已瓜分了多數的勞動力,建商現階段購地除了需評估政策、資金及物價等因素以外,還需要多考量一項,就是工班的延續性。
許多建商就算看上了區位、資金都符合投資效益的土地,一旦評估營建工班無法順暢銜接各期工程,仍會選擇放棄該土地。戴德梁行進一步表示,上市櫃建商仍須面對年度的業績課題,因此有更多建商轉向公辦都更及合建。以往競標公辦都更案件的投標團隊頂多二、三組,今年則有幾個公辦都更案的競標團隊高達五組以上,競爭的激勵程度可見一斑。

The National Housing Center held a groundbreaking ceremony for the new turnkey project of Shengli Anju B social housing in Fengshan, Kaohsiung, on October 14. It is expected to be completed in 2029, with a total investment of 8.07692 million yuan. 1,432 residential units will be built. When the four bases of Shengli Anju are completed, there will be a total of 4,862 units, making it the largest social housing complex in the country.

Data from the National Association of Realtors shows that existing home sales in September were 3.99 million units at an annual rate, a month-on-month increase of 1.5%, and a year-on-year decrease of 2.2%; the median existing home price was US$417,500, a year-on-year increase of 1. 3%, house prices have risen for 39 consecutive months; inventory has increased to 1.6 million units, which take 4.8 months to sell out; affected by rising mortgage interest rates, the market situation is severe, and potential home buyers should regard the 30-year mortgage interest rate of around 7% as the norm.

A South China Morning Post reporter observed minimal footfall and poor conditions at Hong Kong's 11 Skies commercial complex adjacent to Terminal 2, despite its 3.8 million square foot scale and original plans for 800 stores, with only one of three office towers currently occupied.

Affected by bank lending restrictions, capital adequacy ratio requirements and the rise of the AI industry, Taiwan's banking industry has shifted its lending focus from real estate to high-tech industries. Baohe Construction pointed out that the real estate market will bid farewell to speculation and arbitrage and return to real housing demand. Both builders' proposals and people's house purchasing strategies will tend to be conservative.

In the third quarter of 2026, the real estate market prices and volumes in Taiwan have both improved. Tainan's total sales volume has only been 10% of the same period last year, making it the hardest-hit area. Both north and south have bucked the trend, with Taipei's total sales volume in a single quarter reaching 82.274 billion yuan. North reaches 85.084 billion yuan, ranking the highest in Taiwan; Taoyuan ranks first in the number of projects promoted, and Hsinchu counties and cities have increased by 78% annually; central and southern regions have been severely affected by the ebb of funds, Taichung has decreased by 42% annually, and Kaohsiung's bargaining rate has exceeded 10%.

The 115-year land price tax will be levied on November 1. The Hsinchu City Taxation Bureau reminds the public to pay attention to the calculation method of the general household system. In addition, if you move your household registration due to employment or study, you, your spouse or immediate family members must be registered at the original address. Otherwise, you will lose the preferential tax rate for self-occupied residences and the tax amount may increase four times.