A US think tank reveals the Communist Army's "silent" military drills! Experts: Taiwan’s elections are approaching, fear of irritating voters
Secretary-General of the National Security Council Joseph Wu: The PLA Navy and China Coast Guard have deployed more than 100 ships in the Western Pacific
Quick Look
- A report from a Washington think tank pointed out that the People's Liberation Army may conduct large-scale unannounced military exercises to simulate encirclement of Taiwan.
- Secretary-General of the National Security Council Joseph Wu stated that the People's Liberation Army Navy and China Coast Guard will deploy more than 100 ships in the Western Pacific.
- Military experts analyzed that the low-key military exercises are related to the upcoming election in Taiwan.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
With the countdown to Taiwan's nine-in-one election, the Institute for War Studies, a think tank in Washington, and the American Enterprise Institute jointly released the "China and Taiwan Situation Update" report, pointing out that the People's Liberation Army may conduct large-scale unannounced military exercises to simulate encirclement and isolation of Taiwan. National Security Council Secretary-General Joseph Wu said that the People's Liberation Army Navy and China Coast Guard have deployed more than 100 ships in the Western Pacific.
As Taiwan's nine-in-one election campaign draws to a close, a report from a Washington think tank revealed that the People's Liberation Army may be conducting a large-scale, unannounced military exercise in the near future to simulate encircling and isolating Taiwan. In response to this "silent" military exercise, military experts were interviewed today and said that the military exercises in the past few days have been very low-key. Of course, Taiwan's election is approaching, and the CCP is afraid of irritating voters.
The latest "China & Taiwan Update" report co-authored by the Institute for War Studies (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) points out that China may be conducting a large-scale, unannounced military exercise to simulate encircling and isolating Taiwan, intending to create the impression that Taiwan can be isolated at any time, with the goal of weakening Taiwan's confidence in its own defense.
Secretary-General of the National Security Council Joseph Wu posted on the social platform
In this regard, Ji Dongyun, chairman of the Taiwan Security and Development Association, pointed out in an interview that China's military exercises have political intentions, and propaganda is usually given first priority, but the military exercises these days have been very low-key. Of course, Taiwan's elections are approaching, and the CCP is afraid of irritating voters.
Ji Dongyun said that the activities of Chinese ships in the waters surrounding Taiwan are quite intensive, and they will use "silent" methods mainly to "operate on the battlefield" to make their fleet familiar with the waters and walruses surrounding Taiwan. The biggest difference between the Taiwan Strait and the Black Sea is that the Black Sea is an inland sea, while the Taiwan Strait has the intersection of the Oyashio Tide and the Kuroshio Tide. As soon as the northeast monsoon starts to move southward, it will basically be a Category 7 wind.
Ji Dongyun analyzed that China has been testing and simulating response methods at different times throughout the year. It is basically "battlefield management" training. It has now been normalized. The CCP is familiarizing its officers and soldiers with the waters surrounding Taiwan. It should be emphasized that if China's military exercises are carried out with great fanfare, the political meaning will be relatively high. If they are deliberately low-key and "silent", it is judged that Taiwan is in the midst of an election.
"China sends many coast guard ships to enforce the law. Shaping Taiwan is China's internal affairs!" Ji Dongyun said that China uses maritime police to harass the waters around Taiwan and regards Taiwan as an internal affairs issue. The Ministry of National Defense of the People's Republic of my country releases updates on the intrusion of communist troops around Taiwan every day. This year Although the intensity of mobilization is lower than in previous years, most of them are based on coast guard ships, and they are also engaged in legal battles against Taiwan, as well as civilian ships and commercial cargo ships. Currently, the northeast monsoon is coming. The relevant actions of the CCP are to train the experience of officers and soldiers, which is something Taiwan must be careful to guard against.
Ji Dongyun pointed out that in addition to the coast guard ships, China has also sent many scientific research ships to investigate the hydrology of the waters surrounding Taiwan in the name of scientific research. In fact, it is also a cover job. Most of the staff on board are People's Liberation Army, and they are investigating the ocean currents and tidal changes in the waters surrounding Taiwan in different seasons. The CCP is recording them. These are all part of battlefield management.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The People's Liberation Army Navy and China Coast Guard will continue to deploy and operate in the waters surrounding Taiwan
Likely · Within days
Open Questions
- Has the military exercise indeed begun? What is the specific time and scope?
- What specific response measures will Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense take?
- What impact may this military exercise have on Taiwan's election results?






