Breaking
CNBTS Kaohsiung starts singing! Ticket stub discounts at 18 green and friendly restaurants + AirPods Max 2CNNBA》36-year-old veteran P. George scored 27 points, Celtics won 3 consecutive games and beat the Sixers in the next gameINDiwali fireworks, rain force Chennai Open final to be postponedCNHow ironic! Jen-Hsun Huang brought his wife to the show to show off his "super powers" and he caught up with his beloved wife at the age of 17CNA fire broke out in a mixed residential and commercial building in Taiyuan, China, in the dark night! 38 people were sent to hospital and 14 died.TRErdogan and Aliyev celebrated the victory together! 'Your sorrow is our sorrow, your joy is our joy'KR[Video] Magnitude 5.7 earthquake in Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan… “Possibility of a major earthquake within 2-3 days”CNDeep Observation | From Climate Ambition to Fulfillment of Commitments How does COP31 solve implementation problems?CNWorld premiere of the movie "Macau Grand Prix"CNQuan Qing's true reaction to being said to be like Karen Mok and "suing five people" is revealed. It's so romantic to hold hands with Yun An at the Little Arena.CNBTS Kaohsiung starts singing! Ticket stub discounts at 18 green and friendly restaurants + AirPods Max 2CNNBA》36-year-old veteran P. George scored 27 points, Celtics won 3 consecutive games and beat the Sixers in the next gameINDiwali fireworks, rain force Chennai Open final to be postponedCNHow ironic! Jen-Hsun Huang brought his wife to the show to show off his "super powers" and he caught up with his beloved wife at the age of 17CNA fire broke out in a mixed residential and commercial building in Taiyuan, China, in the dark night! 38 people were sent to hospital and 14 died.TRErdogan and Aliyev celebrated the victory together! 'Your sorrow is our sorrow, your joy is our joy'KR[Video] Magnitude 5.7 earthquake in Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan… “Possibility of a major earthquake within 2-3 days”CNDeep Observation | From Climate Ambition to Fulfillment of Commitments How does COP31 solve implementation problems?CNWorld premiere of the movie "Macau Grand Prix"CNQuan Qing's true reaction to being said to be like Karen Mok and "suing five people" is revealed. It's so romantic to hold hands with Yun An at the Little Arena.
BackA US think tank reveals the Communist Army's "silent" military drills! Experts: Taiwan’s elections are approaching, fear of irritating voters
A US think tank reveals the Communist Army's "silent" military drills! Experts: Taiwan’s elections are approaching, fear of irritating voters
Developing
自由时报16 minutes agoPolitics3 min readChinaView original

A US think tank reveals the Communist Army's "silent" military drills! Experts: Taiwan’s elections are approaching, fear of irritating voters

Secretary-General of the National Security Council Joseph Wu: The PLA Navy and China Coast Guard have deployed more than 100 ships in the Western Pacific

Quick Look

  • A report from a Washington think tank pointed out that the People's Liberation Army may conduct large-scale unannounced military exercises to simulate encirclement of Taiwan.
  • Secretary-General of the National Security Council Joseph Wu stated that the People's Liberation Army Navy and China Coast Guard will deploy more than 100 ships in the Western Pacific.
  • Military experts analyzed that the low-key military exercises are related to the upcoming election in Taiwan.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

With the countdown to Taiwan's nine-in-one election, the Institute for War Studies, a think tank in Washington, and the American Enterprise Institute jointly released the "China and Taiwan Situation Update" report, pointing out that the People's Liberation Army may conduct large-scale unannounced military exercises to simulate encirclement and isolation of Taiwan. National Security Council Secretary-General Joseph Wu said that the People's Liberation Army Navy and China Coast Guard have deployed more than 100 ships in the Western Pacific.

Font size

As Taiwan's nine-in-one election campaign draws to a close, a report from a Washington think tank revealed that the People's Liberation Army may be conducting a large-scale, unannounced military exercise in the near future to simulate encircling and isolating Taiwan. In response to this "silent" military exercise, military experts were interviewed today and said that the military exercises in the past few days have been very low-key. Of course, Taiwan's election is approaching, and the CCP is afraid of irritating voters.

The latest "China & Taiwan Update" report co-authored by the Institute for War Studies (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) points out that China may be conducting a large-scale, unannounced military exercise to simulate encircling and isolating Taiwan, intending to create the impression that Taiwan can be isolated at any time, with the goal of weakening Taiwan's confidence in its own defense.

Secretary-General of the National Security Council Joseph Wu posted on the social platform

In this regard, Ji Dongyun, chairman of the Taiwan Security and Development Association, pointed out in an interview that China's military exercises have political intentions, and propaganda is usually given first priority, but the military exercises these days have been very low-key. Of course, Taiwan's elections are approaching, and the CCP is afraid of irritating voters.

Ji Dongyun said that the activities of Chinese ships in the waters surrounding Taiwan are quite intensive, and they will use "silent" methods mainly to "operate on the battlefield" to make their fleet familiar with the waters and walruses surrounding Taiwan. The biggest difference between the Taiwan Strait and the Black Sea is that the Black Sea is an inland sea, while the Taiwan Strait has the intersection of the Oyashio Tide and the Kuroshio Tide. As soon as the northeast monsoon starts to move southward, it will basically be a Category 7 wind.

Ji Dongyun analyzed that China has been testing and simulating response methods at different times throughout the year. It is basically "battlefield management" training. It has now been normalized. The CCP is familiarizing its officers and soldiers with the waters surrounding Taiwan. It should be emphasized that if China's military exercises are carried out with great fanfare, the political meaning will be relatively high. If they are deliberately low-key and "silent", it is judged that Taiwan is in the midst of an election.

"China sends many coast guard ships to enforce the law. Shaping Taiwan is China's internal affairs!" Ji Dongyun said that China uses maritime police to harass the waters around Taiwan and regards Taiwan as an internal affairs issue. The Ministry of National Defense of the People's Republic of my country releases updates on the intrusion of communist troops around Taiwan every day. This year Although the intensity of mobilization is lower than in previous years, most of them are based on coast guard ships, and they are also engaged in legal battles against Taiwan, as well as civilian ships and commercial cargo ships. Currently, the northeast monsoon is coming. The relevant actions of the CCP are to train the experience of officers and soldiers, which is something Taiwan must be careful to guard against.

Ji Dongyun pointed out that in addition to the coast guard ships, China has also sent many scientific research ships to investigate the hydrology of the waters surrounding Taiwan in the name of scientific research. In fact, it is also a cover job. Most of the staff on board are People's Liberation Army, and they are investigating the ocean currents and tidal changes in the waters surrounding Taiwan in different seasons. The CCP is recording them. These are all part of battlefield management.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • The People's Liberation Army Navy and China Coast Guard will continue to deploy and operate in the waters surrounding Taiwan

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • Has the military exercise indeed begun? What is the specific time and scope?
  • What specific response measures will Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense take?
  • What impact may this military exercise have on Taiwan's election results?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Related Stories

The Ministry of Public Security has launched 5 new traffic control measures to facilitate people and benefit enterprises, which will be implemented nationwide from December 1
Developing·

The Ministry of Public Security has launched 5 new traffic control measures to facilitate people and benefit enterprises, which will be implemented nationwide from December 1

The Ministry of Public Security has launched five new traffic control reform measures to facilitate the people and benefit enterprises, including the "one thing" for new imported passenger cars, which will be fully implemented nationwide from December 1, including the exemption of corporate paper business license submission, corporate online services, online processing of temporary license plates for test vehicles, and the pilot traffic management "ask and handle" service.

中国新闻网
3 min read
Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 42% and 3%. Huang Weihan: The hot battle between the two countries is a PK game.
Urgent·

Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 42% and 3%. Huang Weihan: The hot battle between the two countries is a PK game.

The latest New Taipei City Mayoral Poll by Lianhe Daily shows that DPP candidate Su Qiaohui has 42% support, leading KMT candidate Li Sichuan at 39%. Media person Huang Weihan pointed out that the double defeat of the two northern blue camps was unexpected. With 19 days to go in the election, both Taipei City and New Taipei City are in hot competition. The poll was conducted from November 1 to 7 and interviewed 1,114 registered adults in New Taipei. The sampling error was within plus or minus 3.0 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

自由时报
2 min read
Chia City Councilor urges universal cash distribution before leaving office Huang Minhui: We won’t know until next year what’s left in the budget
Politics·

Chia City Councilor urges universal cash distribution before leaving office Huang Minhui: We won’t know until next year what’s left in the budget

Chiayi City Councilor Zhang Xiuhua questioned Mayor Huang Minhui and suggested that cash red envelopes should be made universal again before the end of the year. Huang Minhui responded that the remaining balance of this year's general budget cannot be determined until next year's final accounts, and it is currently unpredictable. She emphasized the principle of "use what needs to be used, spend what needs to be spent, and save what needs to be saved." Zhang Xiuhua pointed out that the remaining 1.5 billion yuan in next year's general budget has been used to make up for the shortfall in annual expenditure and annual income. She still suggested that the city government will carefully evaluate the possibility of universal cash if time permits.

自由时报
2 min read
Lane 177, Yingge Fudou 1st Road, is narrowest at less than 3 meters. New Taipei City and Taoyuan jointly widen it to meet the needs of two-way traffic.
Politics·

Lane 177, Yingge Fudou 1st Road, is narrowest at less than 3 meters. New Taipei City and Taoyuan jointly widen it to meet the needs of two-way traffic.

New Taipei City and Taoyuan City are cooperating to widen Lane 177, Fude 1st Road, located at the junction of the two cities. The project is hosted by New Taipei City and is expected to be completed next year. The narrowest point of the road is about 2.7 meters. The widening will improve the difficulty of two-way meeting and driving safety hazards, and establish a new cross-domain management model.

自由时报
3 min read
Continue the spirit of the Long March and forge ahead on the journey of rejuvenation丨Henan: inherit the red gene and draw a new picture of revitalization
Politics·

Continue the spirit of the Long March and forge ahead on the journey of rejuvenation丨Henan: inherit the red gene and draw a new picture of revitalization

The 25th Army of the Chinese Workers' and Peasants' Red Army set out on a long march from Luoshan, Henan in November 1934 and took the lead in arriving in northern Shaanxi. More than ninety years later, Henan's old districts have made progress in the protection of Luoshan Crested Ibis and the Lushi edible fungi industry. During the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, the grain production capacity is expected to reach 140 billion kilograms, the manufacturing industry will account for about 28% of the total, and strategic emerging industries will account for 30% of the designated industrial sector.

中国新闻网
2 min read
Lianhe Daily poll leads Li Sichuan by 3%. Su Qiaohui shares his vision: 900 days of hard work is recognized
Urgent·

Lianhe Daily poll leads Li Sichuan by 3%. Su Qiaohui shares his vision: 900 days of hard work is recognized

A poll conducted by the Lianhe Daily showed that Su Qiaohui, the New Taipei mayor candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, has 42% support, leading the Kuomintang candidate Li Sichuan with 39%. The difference between the two is 3 percentage points. Su Qiaohui said in an interview that this means that the 900 days of hard work, policy discussions, and vision talks have gained more and more recognition. In the future, cultural tourism and local vision will be combined to make New Taipei City a happy and diverse place to live and work.

自由时报
3 min read
More on this topicPeople's Liberation Army