
AI-generated summary
The United Daily News recently released a poll for the Taipei mayoral election, showing that Shen Boyang's support was 45% and Chiang Wanan's 41%. Zhao Shaokang responded and shared the results of his previous self-funded polls.
The United Daily News recently released the latest poll for the Taipei mayoral election. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Shen Boyang’s support was 45%, while Chiang Wanan’s support was 41%. Senior media person Zhao Shaokang broke the news today that he actually spent his own money to conduct a poll in September. When the Taipei poll was conducted, Jiang Wanan only won 2%, which made him afraid to publish it at the time.
Zhao Shaokang said on the radio program "Chao Shaokang Time" today that he previously spent 1 to 2 million on Taipei, New Taipei, and Kaohsiung mayoral election polls. As a result, when Taipei did it, Jiang Wanan only won by 2 percentage points. "I didn't dare to publish it at the time," because he only won 2 percentage points.
However, Zhao Shaokang emphasized that the reason why he did not publish was not because he did not win much, but because of the sample problem. 20% supported blue and 30% supported green. This is different from the voter structure in Taipei City that he knows. "The worst and worst blue and green in Taipei City are about the same? How can it be possible that 10 or 20% more people support green than blue."
Zhao Shaokang said that more than 1,000 samples were taken at that time, and it was like this. When he saw that the samples were like this, he thought it was not right. He thought that there was a problem with the sample's voice rate, and therefore there was a problem with the entire poll, so he did not publish it. Hundreds of thousands were spent on this part of the poll, "but it was all in vain!"
The Lianhe Daily survey was conducted from October 20 to 22 and 25, successfully interviewing 1,115 adults registered in Taipei City, and 264 people refused to be interviewed; at a 95% confidence level, the sampling error was within plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. The survey uses Taipei City's residential and mobile phone dual-telephone records as the parent population for random sampling. It improves the shortcomings of traditional local phone sampling by adding samples of mobile phone users who are inaccessible to local calls. It is weighted according to the gender, age and administrative district structure of voters over 20 years old in Taipei City. The source of funding for the survey is Lianhe Daily.

The first television debate in the Taipei mayoral election will be held on the 31st. KMT candidate Chiang Wanan and his wife will accept an exclusive interview with Wang Weizhong. Jiang Wanan admitted that he was nervous about the debate and praised his opponent Shen Boyang for his excellent eloquence. He said that he would use the last two days to prepare carefully. Due to the busy municipal schedule, the preparation time was shorter than four years ago.

The latest Lianhe Daily poll shows that Shen Boyang leads the Taipei mayoral race with 45% support and Chiang Wanan's 41%, but Chiang Wanan is more optimistic. During the interview, Jiang Wanan admitted that the election campaign was fierce and he would make an all-out effort in the last 30 days, stressing that he would take both municipal and electoral work into consideration.

Chen Binhua, spokesman for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, said at the press conference that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one China, and the DPP authorities' "seek independence through force" is doomed to fail. At the same time, it reported on the growth of exports of Taiwanese fishery products to the mainland, and responded to hot topics such as Tsai Kangyong's statement and the obstruction of mainland artists from traveling to Taiwan.

With one month to go in the race for capital, DPP Chairman Lai Ching-te said at the DPP regular meeting today that Taipei City’s election is still not won and is only a little bit close. He called on the party to be cautious in public office and not to attack and ridicule opponents. He also praised Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang for bringing a warm and positive electoral style.

The Taiwan Forward Front revealed that the ID numbers of county and city chief and parliamentary candidates were leaked. The Selection Committee said it was a mistake when outsourcing the advertising production and had blocked it. Democratic Progressive Party legislator Chen Guanting said that management responsibilities should not be passed on to outsourced manufacturers, and demanded that the scope of exposure be clarified as soon as possible and the information security audit mechanism be comprehensively reviewed.

Taipei City Councilor Chen Chongwen, who is not a party member, is suspected of holding a free meal at a Yangmingshan restaurant to bribe votes. Whether he will lose his fourth consecutive victory has attracted much attention. The Shilin District Prosecutor's Office today directed the Investigation Bureau to search 9 places including his office and residence, and interviewed 21 people including Chen Chongwen to report to the case.