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Back焦點股》南亞科:長鑫存儲震撼彈持續發酵 重挫9%
焦點股》南亞科:長鑫存儲震撼彈持續發酵 重挫9%
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

焦點股》南亞科:長鑫存儲震撼彈持續發酵 重挫9%

Quick Look

中國長鑫存儲預告年底前將推出採用4F²架構的伺服器DDR5記憶體,市場擔憂供給擴張及價格競爭,導致南亞科股價重挫9%,創兩個多月新低。外資連續賣超,三大法人同站賣方。南亞科仍看好AI需求強勁,預期第四季價格上漲及毛利率優於第三季。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

長鑫存儲為中國記憶體製造商,其預告推出新架構伺服器DDR5記憶體引發市場對DRAM供給格局的關注。南亞科為台灣DRAM大廠,近期受惠於AI需求帶動的價格上漲。

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〔記者林薏茹/台北報導〕中國長鑫存儲日前預告年底前將推出採用4F²架構的伺服器DDR5記憶體,市場對未來供給擴張及價格競爭的疑慮持續發酵,DRAM大廠南亞科(2408)今(15)日股價跳水,早盤一度重挫9.26%、跌至436元,創兩個多月來新低,截至上午10時23分,仍重挫8.2%,暫報441元,成交量4.4萬張。

外資連日出脫南亞科,昨再賣超2.2萬張,已連續賣超3個交易日,累計賣超張數達6.7萬張;投信昨也賣超833張、為連2賣,共賣超2841張;自營商昨也出脫1275張,累計近2個交易日共賣超3855張,三大法人昨同站賣方,共賣超2.5萬張。

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南亞科看好,第三季平均銷售單價(ASP)季增約60%,預期第四季價格還會持續上漲,第四季毛利率可望再優於第三季。南亞科總經理李培瑛也直言,現在市場仍然非常缺貨,AI相關需求尤其強勁,供需缺口也較大,南亞科目前AI基礎設施(含伺服器、網路、儲存及系統管理)占營收超過20%,2027年至2029年相關營收占比還會持續增加。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 南亞科第四季平均銷售單價將持續上漲

    Likely · Within months

  • 南亞科第四季毛利率將優於第三季

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • 長鑫存儲4F² DDR5記憶體的實際產能與上市時間是否如預告?
  • 南亞科在AI基礎設施領域的具體客戶與訂單情況如何?
  • 第四季DRAM價格上漲的動能能否持續抵消新增供給壓力?

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