Tropical Disturbance 96W could become a typhoon as soon as this week. Typhoon forum reveals "the key to invading Taiwan"

The Typhoon Forum pointed out that Tropical Disturbance 96W is expected to gradually integrate and develop in the future, and may intensify into a typhoon as soon as this Thursday. (Picture taken from Typhoon Forum Facebook)

The meteorological expert "Taiwan Typhoon Forum - Weather Emergency" pointed out that Tropical Disturbance 96W is currently located in the low-latitude waters southeast of Guam. It is expected to gradually integrate and develop in the next 2 to 3 days, and may intensify into a typhoon as soon as this Thursday (15th). However, there are still clear differences among various weather models on the time, location and extent of the system's future northward turn. Whether it will approach Taiwan in the future remains to be seen.

"Taiwan Typhoon Forum - Extreme Weather" shared the ensemble forecast map of Google WN3C artificial intelligence (AI) model on Facebook. It said that based on the current data, most weather models predict that 96W will turn northward in the later period. However, when and where it will turn northward, and how much it will turn northward, the views of each model are still quite different.

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Fanzhuan explained that the time and location of 96W's future northward turn will directly determine its distance from Taiwan, and the key factors affecting the subsequent path are changes in the power of the subtropical high and the activity of the northern high-altitude system.

Fanzhuan further pointed out that since the location of 96W is far away from Taiwan and located at a lower latitude, there will still be a long time to continue to develop and adjust its path in the future. Therefore, it is not appropriate to make premature conclusions about its movements at this stage.

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