
熱帶擾動96W位於關島東南方低緯度海域,預計未來2至3天逐漸整合發展,最快本週四過後有機會增強為颱風,但各氣象模式對其北轉時間、位置及幅度存在明顯分歧,後續是否接近台灣仍有待觀察。
AI-generated summary
熱帶擾動96W目前位於關島東南方遙遠的低緯度海域,氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急」指出其預計將逐漸整合發展,最快本週四過後有機會增強為颱風。
颱風論壇指出,熱帶擾動96W預計未來將逐漸整合發展,最快本週四過後,有機會增強為颱風。(圖擷自颱風論壇臉書)
氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急」指出,目前熱帶擾動96W位於關島東南方遙遠的低緯度海域,預計未來2至3天將逐漸整合發展,最快本週四(15日)過後,有機會增強為颱風。不過,目前各氣象模式對於系統未來北轉的時間、位置及幅度仍存在明顯分歧,後續是否接近台灣仍有待觀察。
「台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急」在臉書分享Google WN3C人工智慧(AI)模式的系集預報圖,表示從目前資料來看,多數氣象模式均預測96W後期將朝北轉向,但究竟何時北轉、在哪個位置北轉,以及北轉幅度有多大,各模式看法仍相當分歧。
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粉專說明,96W未來北轉的時間與位置,將直接決定其與台灣之間的距離,而影響後續路徑的關鍵因素,在於副熱帶高壓的勢力變化,以及北方高空系統的活躍程度。
粉專進一步指出,由於96W生成位置距離台灣遙遠,且位於較低緯度,未來仍有相當長的時間可以持續發展及調整路徑,因此現階段不宜過早對其動向下定論。
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Affected by the cold air, the temperature in the north has dropped significantly, and the lowest temperature in many places in the Northeast has dropped to near freezing point. The highest temperature in Harbin on the 14th was only 10°C, and the lowest temperature will fall below freezing point on the morning of the 15th. In the south, affected by the intersection of cold and warm air, rainfall will occur from the southwest to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. There will be heavy rain or heavy rain in local areas, and we need to be alert to secondary disasters.

Yesterday, moderate to heavy rains occurred in Shanxi, Hebei, Liaoning and other places. Inner Mongolia and North China and other places experienced cooling. This morning, heavy fog appeared in central and southern North China and Jiangsu and other places. Cold air will continue to affect the northern region on the 13th, and attention should be paid to the impact of strong wind cooling on health and traffic; from the 13th to the 15th, there will be a heavy rainfall process from the eastern part of southwest China to the northern part of Jiangnan. The cumulative rainfall in some areas is relatively large, and secondary disaster prevention needs to be strengthened.

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