China News Service, October 15 According to the website of the Central Meteorological Observatory, in the next 10 days (October 15-24), the cumulative precipitation in the eastern part of Northwest China, central and northern North China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai and most of Northeast China will be 10 to 30 mm. The cumulative precipitation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, southern Huanghuai and southern Northeast China will be 50 to 80 mm. millimeters, including 100 to 150 millimeters in northeastern Sichuan, northern Chongqing, northeastern Guizhou, Hubei, and northern Hunan, and locally more than 200 millimeters; the cumulative precipitation in the above-mentioned areas is 40 to 80% more than the same period in normal years, and locally it is 1 to 2 times more; most of Jiangnan and South China have 30 to 70% less precipitation.
Image source: Central Meteorological Observatory website
In the next 10 days, cold air activities will be more frequent. The average temperature in Xinjiang, the eastern part of Northwest China, most of North China, Huanghuai and parts of Northeast China will be 1 to 2°C lower than the same period in normal years. The temperature in most areas of Jiangnan and South China will still be on the higher side, with some areas in southern Jiangnan, western South China, and Guizhou being 2 to 4°C higher. The main impact periods of cold air are from the 15th to the 18th, the 20th to the 21st and the 23rd to the 24th.
Image source: Central Meteorological Observatory website
Main weather processes:
From the 15th to the 18th, a stream of cold air affected my country from Xinjiang to the east. Most areas north of the Yangtze River experienced a temperature drop of 4 to 8°C. Parts of Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia dropped by more than 10°C. Northwestern regions and North China were accompanied by northerly winds of magnitude 4 to 5 and gusts of magnitude 6 to 8. There will be moderate to heavy rains and local heavy rains in the eastern part of Northwest China, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, Jianghan, northern Jiangnan, and Chongqing; there will be rain and snow in high-altitude areas such as northern Xinjiang, Gansu, Qinghai, northeastern Inner Mongolia, and northern Heilongjiang.
From the 19th to the 20th, a new wave of cold air moved eastward and southward, affecting my country. Most of the central and eastern regions experienced a cooling of 4 to 8 degrees Celsius. Parts of the eastern part of northwest China, North China, and southern northeastern China experienced a cooling of 10 to 12 degrees Celsius. Most areas north of the Yangtze River were accompanied by 4 degrees Celsius. ~ Level 5 northerly wind, with gusts of level 6 to 8; there will be light to moderate rain, local heavy rain or heavy rain in northern North China, central and eastern Northeast China, Jianghuai and eastern Southwest China, and rain will turn to sleet or snow in northern Shanxi, northern Hebei and Northeast China.
Around the 24th, there will be cold air affecting our country. There will be light rain and snow in the northwest, southeast, north and northeast, and moderate to heavy rain from northern Guizhou to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.
Weather outlook for the next 11-14 days
In the next 11-14 days (October 25-28), the cumulative rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River will be 10 to 30 mm, and 40 to 60 mm in some areas; the average temperature in most areas of the Yangtze River and north of my country will be 1 to 3°C lower than the same period in normal years, and the temperature in southern Jiangnan and South China will be 1 to 2°C higher.
High Impact Weather and Concerns
Cold air activities are frequent and temperatures turn lower in the north
In the next 10 days, cold air activities will be more frequent, and the average temperature in Xinjiang, the eastern part of northwest China, most of North China, Huanghuai and parts of Northeast China will be 1 to 2°C lower than the same period in normal years, and there will be strong winds and rainfall (snow). The main impact period of the cold air is from the 15th to the 18th, the 20th to the 21st and the 23th to the 24th. In the early morning of the 21st to the 22nd, the minimum temperature line of 0℃ presses as far south as central and southern Shaanxi, southern Shanxi and northern Hebei.
Chongqing, Hunan, Hubei and other places have accumulated many rainy days, with heavy rainfall in some places.
In the next 10 days, there will be about 7 rainy days in northern Guizhou, Chongqing, northern Hunan, Hubei and other places. The local rainfall is heavy and it is necessary to prevent secondary disasters such as geological landslides.
Typhoon forecast
Currently, there is a tropical low pressure in the ocean east of Guam that continues to intensify. It is expected to intensify into this year's 30th typhoon "Qiangpi" within 24 hours. After it is formed, it will move west-northeast and gradually increase in intensity. The strongest can reach super typhoon level (above level 16). It will have no impact on my country's sea areas in the next six days.
