
中央气象台预计未来10天西北地区东部、华北中北部等地累计降水量10~30毫米,长江中下游等地有50~80毫米,四川东北部等局地超200毫米;冷空气活动频繁,新疆、华北等地平均气温转为偏低1~2℃,江南华南偏高;15-18日、20-21日、23-24日有明显降温过程,局地伴雨雪或雨夹雪。
AI-generated summary
中央气象台发布未来10天天气预报,指出我国多地将受冷空气影响出现降温和降雨,部分地区雨量偏多。
中新网10月15日电 据中央气象台网站消息,未来10天(10月15日-24日),西北地区东部、华北中北部、黄淮、江淮和东北地区大部累计降水量有10~30毫米,长江中下游地区、黄淮南部和东北地区南部累计降水量有50~80毫米,其中四川东北部、重庆北部、贵州东北部、湖北、湖南北部等地有100~150毫米,局地超过200毫米;上述地区累计降水量较常年同期偏多4~8成,局地偏多1~2倍;江南大部、华南降水偏少3~7成。
图片来源:中央气象台网站
未来10天,冷空气活动较频繁,新疆、西北地区东部、华北大部、黄淮和东北部分地区平均气温转为较常年同期偏低1~2℃,江南和华南大部地区气温仍偏高,其中江南南部、华南西部及贵州等地部分地区偏高2~4℃。冷空气主要影响时段为15-18日,20-21日和23-24日。
图片来源:中央气象台网站
主要天气过程:
15-18日,一股冷空气自新疆向东影响我国,长江以北大部地区先后有4~8℃降温,新疆和内蒙古部分地区降幅达10℃以上,西北地区和华北等地伴有4~5级偏北风,阵风6~8级。西北地区东部、华北、东北地区、黄淮、江淮、江汉、江南北部及重庆等地有中到大雨,局地暴雨;新疆北部、甘肃、青海等高海拔地区及内蒙古东北部、黑龙江北部有雨雪天气。
19-20日,新一股冷空气东移南下影响我国,中东部大部先后有4~8℃降温,西北地区东部、华北和东北南部部分地区降温10~12℃,长江以北大部地区伴有4~5级偏北风,阵风6~8级;华北北部、东北地区中东部、江淮及西南地区东部还将有小到中雨,局地大雨或暴雨,山西北部、河北北部及东北地区有雨转雨夹雪或雪。
24日前后,还将有冷空气影响我国,西北地区东南部、华北、东北有小雨雪,贵州北部至长江中下游地区有中到大雨。
未来11-14天天气展望
未来11-14天(10月25日-28日),长江中下游地区累计雨量有10~30毫米,部分地区40~60毫米;我国长江及其以北大部地区平均气温较常年同期偏低1~3℃,江南南部和华南气温偏高1~2℃。
高影响天气与关注
冷空气活动频繁 北方气温转为偏低
未来10天,冷空气活动较频繁,新疆、西北地区东部、华北大部、黄淮和东北部分地区平均气温转为较常年同期偏低1~2℃,并多大风和降雨(雪)天气。冷空气主要影响时段为15-18日,20-21日和23-24日,其中21-22日凌晨,最低气温0℃线最南压至陕西中南部、山西南部和河北北部一线。
重庆湖南湖北等地累计雨日多局地雨量大
未来10天,贵州北部、重庆、湖南北部、湖北等地累计雨日达7天左右,局地雨量大,需防范可能引发地质滑坡等次生灾害。
台风预报
目前关岛以东洋面有热带低压继续增强,预计24小时内将加强为今年第30号台风“蔷琵”,生成后将向西偏北方向移动,强度逐渐加强,最强可达超强台风级(16级以上),未来6天对我国海区无影响。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
未来10天新疆、西北地区东部、华北大部等地平均气温将转为较常年同期偏低1~2℃
Very likely · Within days
未来10天贵州北部、重庆、湖南北部、湖北等地累计雨日将达7天左右,局地雨量大
Very likely · Within days
目前关岛以东洋面的热带低压将在24小时内加强为今年第30号台风‘蔷琵’
Very likely · Within days

The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a severe convective weather forecast on October 15. Sichuan, Chongqing, Hubei, Hunan, Yunnan and other places will experience short-term heavy precipitation, with hourly rainfall of 20-50 mm, and locally up to 60 mm or more. It is expected that there will still be short-term heavy rainfall in Anhui, southeastern Hubei, central, western and northern Hunan, northern Jiangxi, southeastern Chongqing, northeastern Guizhou and other places from 14:00 on the 15th to 08:00 on the 16th. Precautions need to be taken against disasters such as thunder and lightning, flash floods, mudslides, urban waterlogging, thunderstorms, strong winds, and hail.

Meteorological experts pointed out that due to the influence of radiation cooling, the low temperature in Hsinchu and Guanxi dropped to 16.5 degrees. Today, the temperature difference between day and night is large across Taiwan. The west is sunny and stable, and there are local brief rains on the windward side of the northeast. From tomorrow to next Tuesday, the moisture on the east side will gradually decrease, and the weather will turn into an "autumn tiger" pattern. Next Wednesday, the northeast monsoon will strengthen and there will be rain on the windward side. The tropical depression east of Guam will develop into a light station "Qiangpi" today, and may intensify into a strong station in the future, but the path is highly uncertain and requires continued observation.

Yesterday, there were heavy rains or torrential rains in northern Guizhou, southern Hubei, northern Hunan and other places, and local heavy rains occurred in Yiyang, Hunan. Today's heavy rainfall mainly occurs in the eastern part of Southwest China, northern Jiangnan and other places. There are heavy rains in some areas of central and northern Hunan, eastern Hubei, northern Jiangxi, southwestern Anhui and other places, accompanied by short-term heavy rainfall and thunderstorm winds. At the same time, there are moderate to heavy snow or sleet in some areas in northern Xinjiang, areas along the Tianshan Mountains, high-altitude mountainous areas in western southern Xinjiang, western and central Qinghai, and heavy snowfall in high-altitude areas of Xinjiang. Affected by cold air and warm and humid airflow from tomorrow, the scope of precipitation in my country will increase and the intensity of precipitation will intensify. There will be heavy rain or heavy rain from west to east in the northwest region, Inner Mongolia, North China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, and Northeastern regions. There will be heavy rainstorms in Liaodong. There will be obvious snowfall in high-altitude areas of the northwest, northeastern Inner Mongolia, and northern Heilongjiang. From the 15th to the 19th, northern Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, Jianghan, western and northern Jiangnan and other places had temperatures of 4 to 6°C, with local temperatures falling above 8°C. Some areas were accompanied by northerly winds of magnitude 4 to 5, and gusts of magnitude 6 to 8.

Singapore is gathering data on regional haze pollution as it evaluates potential enforcement under its 2014 Transboundary Haze Pollution Act, with PSI readings between 125 and 206 recorded across the island as of 6am local time, and western Singapore showing the highest levels.

From today to the 19th, a new wave of cold air will affect our country from west to east. Temperatures in most parts of the north will reach new lows in the second half of this year, and local temperatures will drop to more than 8°C. There will be heavy rains in Hunan, Hubei and other places today, and precipitation will increase in the north starting tomorrow. The scope of the process and the cumulative precipitation may be rare in the same period.

Indonesia is facing its worst wildfire season in a decade, with toxic smog spreading to Singapore and Malaysia and air quality reaching dangerous levels. The haze is caused by illegal slash-and-burn farming, partly linked to businesses in Singapore and Malaysia. Indonesian President Prabowo called it "eco-terrorism" and strengthened punishment, but cross-border law enforcement has been hindered and relations with neighboring countries have become tense.