As the US Congress midterm elections approach, the picture in the polls becomes clearer

In the USA, elections will be held on November 3 in the entire 435-seat House of Representatives and 35 seats in the 100-seat Senate.

22 of the candidates running for election in the Senate are Republicans, while 13 are Democrats.

Although the average of the polls conducted across the country regarding the elections seems to have an advantage for the Democrats in the House of Representatives and the Republicans in the Senate, the real outcome will be determined by the constituencies where the race is currently neck-and-neck.

Republicans have the advantage in the Senate

According to the chart on the news platform Real Clear Politics (RCP), which compiles nationwide and state-level surveys during the election process, it is certain that Democrats will win 46 of the seats in the Senate and Republicans will win 46.

In 8 states, the candidates are neck and neck. Of the seats where the head-to-head race is ongoing, 6 appear to be Republican-leaning and 2 Democratic-leaning.

If Republicans take the lead in 4 of these states, it may be possible for Republicans to gain a majority in the Senate, thanks to Vice President J.D. Vance's tie-breaking vote, even if the seat distribution is 50-50.

According to the law, the Vice President, who also serves as the President of the Senate, can cast the tiebreaking vote in favor of his party.

There is hope for Democrats in the House of Representatives

The party that reaches 218 seats in the House of Representatives, which is entirely up for election, will also have the majority.

According to the current table in the RCP, Republicans are almost certain to take 189 seats in the House of Representatives and Democrats 226.

The gap has narrowed in the race between Democrats and Republicans for 20 seats in the House of Representatives.

In the current table, Democrats, who have the majority, seem to have an advantage in the House of Representatives.

What is the current table like?

In the US, Republicans currently have 53 seats in the Senate and Democrats have 45 seats. Independents, who have 2 seats, act with Democrats on many issues.

In the House of Representatives, Republicans have 218 seats, Democrats have 214 seats, Independents have 1 seat, and 2 seats in the House are vacant.