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Backドイツ東部州議選でAfDが44%獲得、第1党に躍進
ドイツ東部州議選でAfDが44%獲得、第1党に躍進
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時事通信2 hours agoPolitics2 min readJapanView translation

ドイツ東部州議選でAfDが44%獲得、第1党に躍進

Quick Look

ドイツ東部ザクセン・アンハルト州の州議会選挙で、極右政党AfDが予想得票率44%で第1党となる見通し。前回選挙から得票を倍増させる圧勝だが、単独過半数は微妙。CDUは得票率18%弱で惨敗、メルツ氏の求心力低下が懸念される。BSWは5%の得票率ライン上で、AfDとの連携次第で政権樹立の可能性も。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

ドイツ東部ザクセン・アンハルト州では、過去の州議会選挙で中心右派政党が優勢だったが、近年極右AfDの支持が拡大。今回の選挙は、全国的な政治不信と移民問題を背景に、AfDが過去最高の得票率を狙う重要な試金石となった。

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【マクデブルク(ドイツ)時事】ドイツ東部の旧東独ザクセン・アンハルト州で6日、州議選が行われ、独公共放送によると、極右政党「ドイツのための選択肢(AfD)」が予想得票率44%で第1党の座を確保する見通しとなった。2021年の前回選挙から得票を倍増させる圧勝だが、単独過半数は微妙な情勢。州で政権を樹立できるかは他政党の動向に左右されそうだ。

極右AfDは「唯一の希望」 初の政権視野、政治不信根深く―9月独州議会選、国政左右・旧東独州ルポ

メルツ首相率いる保守与党キリスト教民主同盟(CDU)は得票率18%弱で、前回から半減の惨敗。メルツ氏は党内での求心力が一段と失われ、首相交代を求める動きが活発化する可能性がある。

東独独裁政党の流れをくむ左派党と中道左派の社会民主党(SPD)、環境政党の緑の党が9%前後で並んだ。ポピュリスト新党BSWは、比例議席獲得の最低得票率5%の当落線上にある。

AfD州首相候補のジークムント州議は「歴史を刻んだ」と勝利を宣言。同党との連携を唯一排除していないBSWの協力を得られれば、政権樹立が近づくが、「妥協はしない」と強調した。AfD抜きでの多数派形成は困難で、新政権を巡り流動的な政局が続く見通しだ。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • AfDとBSWが連携して州政権を樹立する

    Possible · Within weeks

  • CDU内部でメルツ氏の求心力低下を背景に党首交代を求める動きが活発化する

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • AfDは単独で過半数を獲得できるか
  • BSWはAfDと連携して政権を樹立するか
  • CDU内部でメルツ氏の党首交代を求める動きは本格化するか

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This article was originally published by 時事通信.

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