
Exit polls show Germany's far-right AfD leading with 44.5% support in Saxony-Anhalt state election, more than double the CDU's 18.5%, marking the CDU's worst result in the state since reunification and raising questions about government formation and the effectiveness of Merz's anti-AfD strategy.
AI-generated summary
The Saxony-Anhalt state election is being closely watched as a test of Germany's political 'firewall' against the far right, particularly following Chancellor Friedrich Merz's pledge to cut AfD support in half by taking a hard line on immigration.
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PoliticsGermany
Saxony-Anhalt: Far-right AfD secures huge lead in key vote
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PoliticsGermany
Louis Oelofse | Richard Connor with dpa, AFP, AP, KNA, Reuters
Published 09/06/2026Published September 6, 2026
The far-right AfD has taken a massive lead at the Saxony-Anhalt election, although it was not clear if it will be able to form government. The party's state leader said the result sends "a signal to Berlin." Follow DW.
https://p.dw.com/p/5KRks
Skip next section What you need to know
What you need to know
Saxony-Anhalt voters cast their ballots for a new state parliament with the race being closely watched across Germany
Early projections show a massive lead for far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) ahead of the ruling center-right CDU
The result could test Germany's political 'firewall' against the far right and put pressure on CDU Chancellor Friedrich Merz
It is election day in Germany's Saxony-Anhalt state. Follow all the developments here.
Skip next section Greens hail gains, warn of AfD surge in Saxony-Anhalt
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Greens hail gains, warn of AfD surge in Saxony-Anhalt
The Greens have performed significantly better than pre-election polls suggested, reaching 8.9% in the first projection. Surveys before the vote had generally put the party at around 5%.
Lead candidate Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz said civil society had placed its hopes in the Greens.
"We will not disappoint that hope," she said, adding that the party would "always be the antagonist of the right" in the state parliament.
Greens co-leader Felix Banaszak also welcomed his own party's result.
"Many had already written off the Greens," Banaszak said, adding that the party was now on course for its best-ever state election result in Saxony-Anhalt. "That fills me with joy and pride."
At the same time, he said he was deeply concerned by the AfD’s strong gains.
"These are dramatic conditions that are emerging here," Banaszak said.
https://p.dw.com/p/5LnpI
Skip next section The Saxony-Anhalt projected seats: What do they mean?
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
The Saxony-Anhalt projected seats: What do they mean?
The projected seat results suggest the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is set to win 39 seats in the new Saxony-Anhalt parliament, three short of an absolute majority and the ability to govern on its own.
Chancellor Friedrich Merz's ruling CDU is projected to win 16 seats, its worst result in Saxony-Anhalt since German reunification. The Greens and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) are expected to receive eight and seven seats, respectively.
While the results are subject to change, it currently appears difficult for either the AfD or the other parties to form a coalition.
According to a poll by German public broadcaster ARD, the only party where the majority of voters believe the AfD should be in government is the left-wing populist BSW, which is projected to win five seats in parliament. However, only 57% of BSW supporters hold that view.
https://p.dw.com/p/5Lng5
Skip next section Schulze admits major CDU defeat in Saxony-Anhalt
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Schulze admits major CDU defeat in Saxony-Anhalt
Saxony-Anhalt premier and Christian Democratic Union (CDU) lead candidate Sven Schulze said exit polls showed the scale of the setback for his party, putting the conservatives at 18.5%.
"That is democracy, people have sent a signal," he said,
He congratulated the Alternative for Germany (AfD) on winning the election and said it was now on the CDU to find a way to deal with the outcome.
Schulze described the campaign as exceptionally tough.
"I have never experienced such an election campaign in my 25 years in politics," he said.
Meanwhile, CDU Secretary-General Franziska Hoppermann ruled out any cooperation with the AfD.
"We will not work with radicals, especially not with right-wing radicals," she told the German state broadcaster.
She also dismissed speculation about this result affecting the future of Germany's chancellor and CDU leader Friedrich Merz.
"No, there will be no discussion," she said.
Meanwhile, Chancellery Minister Nina Warken, a close ally of Merz, described the result as a "turning point" for the CDU and a "very, very difficult result." She said reforms launched by the ruling coalition on the federal level had yet to take full effect.
https://p.dw.com/p/5LnEY
Skip next section AfD's Ulrich Siegmund says far-right party 'made history'
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
AfD's Ulrich Siegmund says far-right party 'made history'
Ulrich Siegmund, the head of the far-right AfD party in Saxony-Anhalt, celebrated AfD's apparent victory after the exit polls were made public.
"We've made history, we need to say this clearly," he told German public broadcaster ARD.
Siegmund also said the result was also a "signal" for Germany's federal government, led by CDU politician Friedrich Merz.
Speaking about potentially building a coalition with one of the other parties — most of which ruled out working with the far-right party ahead of the election — Siegmund said the AfD is open to cooperation, in its own terms.
"We will not give away our basic positions for the sake of being in power," he said.
https://p.dw.com/p/5Lmpd
Skip next section Exit polls put AfD at 44.5% support, more than double of the incumbent CDU
Published 09/06/2026Published September 6, 2026
Exit polls put AfD at 44.5% support, more than double of the incumbent CDU
With polls closing in the German state of Saxony-Anhalt, exit polls indicate that the far-right AfD party has secured 44.5% of the votes, with the center-right CDU at 18.5%.
https://p.dw.com/p/5Ljhc
Skip next section Follow DW's live coverage of the Saxony-Anhalt election results on YouTube
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Follow DW's live coverage of the Saxony-Anhalt election results on YouTube
You can keep up with our live coverage of the Saxony-Anhalt election on our website, in this live blog, and in our YouTube stream here:
https://p.dw.com/p/5Ll5V
Skip next section Pollsters hope for more accurate forecast after 2021 miss
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Pollsters hope for more accurate forecast after 2021 miss
Jens Thurau in Magdeburg
Ahead of the first projections, polling institutes are under particular scrutiny in Saxony-Anhalt. Five years ago, pre-election surveys differed significantly from the final result: the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) performed much better than expected, while the Alternative for Germany party (AfD) did considerably worse.
Roland Abold, managing director of Infratest dimap, told DW that polling institutes had therefore examined the race particularly closely this time.
"We can say that there was relatively little movement in the polls before the election," he said.
Recent surveys put the AfD at around 40 to 41% and the governing CDU at roughly 22 to 23%. The Left Party and Social Democrats are also expected to enter parliament, while the Greens are hovering around the 5% threshold needed to win seats.
Abold also said one problem seen in earlier elections appears to have eased: "Regarding the polls beforehand, one can say that the issue of people not admitting that they intend to vote for certain parties has actually declined."
https://p.dw.com/p/5LlLI
Skip next section WATCH: Amid far right's rise, is Germany at a breaking point?
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
WATCH: Amid far right's rise, is Germany at a breaking point?
Why are far-right parties attracting growing support, and what does that mean for Germany's political future? DW's Christine Mundwa explores these questions with British-German historian and writer Katja Hoyer, LA Times reporter Erik Kirschbaum, and DW's Matthew Moore.
Amid far right's rise, is Germany at a breaking point?
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https://p.dw.com/p/5LfDq
Skip next section Economists sound alarm over likely AfD win
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Economists sound alarm over likely AfD win
Saxony-Anhalt's economic reputation is at risk as the far-right Alternative for Germany's (AfD) eyes victory in the eastern German state, business experts have warned.
Economist Monika Schnitzer said investment and skilled workers from abroad could be more difficult to attract to the state.
"Given the party's election program, it can be expected that if the AfD takes over the government, the state will become significantly less attractive as a location for skilled workers and companies," Schnitzer told the Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger newspaper.
Michael Hüther, director of the German Economic Institute (IW) think tank, warned: "Anyone competing for foreign skilled workers must not strengthen a party that openly calls for their expulsion."
He told the Rheinische Post that without immigration, demographic trends could cause the state's working-age population to shrink by around a quarter by 2045, leaving more than one non-working person for every person of working age."
Christian Bruch, chief executive of Siemens Energy, cautioned that the AfD's energy policies calling for a return to coal and nuclear power were also bad for German industry.
"Nostalgic politics keeps setting us further back," he said.
https://p.dw.com/p/5LiSw
Skip next section Merz's AfD strategy faces early reckoning in Saxony-Anhalt
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Merz's AfD strategy faces early reckoning in Saxony-Anhalt
Jens Thurau in Magdeburg
All eyes are on Magdeburg, the state capital of Saxony-Anhalt.
When broadcasters release their first projections at 6 p.m., Chancellor Friedrich Merz will be watching closely from CDU headquarters in Berlin, about 150 kilometers to the northeast.
For Merz, the vote is shaping up as an early test of a pledge he made as opposition leader: to cut support for the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) in half, in part by taking a hard line on immigration.
Projections suggest the strategy has yet to deliver the results Merz promised, with the AfD on course to become the strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt.
The campaign unfolded against a backdrop of deep dissatisfaction with the federal government, so much so that Merz was largely kept out of the spotlight and made few campaign appearances.
Perhaps reflecting the political sensitivity of the result, the chancellor will not personally comment on the election results Sunday or Monday, according to party and government sources.
https://p.dw.com/p/5LjLz
Skip next section DW reporter: 'There is tension in the air'
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
DW reporter: 'There is tension in the air'
Matthew Moore in Magdeburg
"There are barricades around the Old Theater in Magdeburg, as reporters and politicians gather to take in tonight's potentially historic result" of the Saxony-Anhalt election, DW's Matthew Moore reports from the AfD election headquarters.
"Around 1,800 police officers have been brought in from other German states to boost security in Magdeburg this weekend."
"The intermittent barking of sniffer dogs fills the air," our reporter says.
"Every bag is being checked twice."
"There is a tension in the air," Moore adds. "It feels less an election count and more like a high-security summit of G7 leaders."
https://p.dw.com/p/5LjAi
Skip next section What does Saxony-Anhalt's election mean for migrants?
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
What does Saxony-Anhalt's election mean for migrants?
For many people with a migration background, today's election raises questions about belonging, security and their future in Germany.
The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) advocates a restrictive immigration policy centered on sharply reducing migration, increasing deportations and promoting what it calls "remigration." It also emphasizes national sovereignty, cultural identity and traditional family values.
DW spoke to some people with a migration background to get their perception of the election.
Read more about what they had to say.
https://p.dw.com/p/5LZqi
Skip next section Smaller parties hold key to Saxony-Anhalt election outcome
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Smaller parties hold key to Saxony-Anhalt election outcome
Saxony-Anhalt's election could be historic, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leading polls above 40% and in a strong position to head a state government for the first time in postwar Germany.
The conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Left Party are also expected to win seats, in the state parliament and possibly the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD), while the environmentalist Greens, the pro-business Free Democratic Party (FDP), and the populist Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) are all fighting to clear the 5% threshold.
The performance of these smaller parties could prove decisive. If the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW fail to clear the 5% hurdle, the AfD would benefit from the redistribution of seats and could govern alone. If more parties enter parliament, coalition-building would become much more complex.
Read more about the coalition calculation by clicking here.
https://p.dw.com/p/5LfHP
Skip next section First projections expected when polls close at 6 p.m.
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
First projections expected when polls close at 6 p.m.
The first indication of the outcome of Saxony-Anhalt's state election is expected at 6 p.m. (1600 GMT), when polling stations close.
Germany's public broadcasters ARD and ZDF are due to publish their first projections at that time.
ARD's projection, produced by polling institute Infratest dimap, will be based on interviews with around 20,000 voters at 180 polling stations across the state.
ZDF's election figures are provided by polling institute Forschungsgruppe Wahlen.
The initial projections are not based on a complete count of ballots. They will be followed by increasingly reliable estimates as actual results from polling stations and postal votes are incorporated.
A preliminary official result is expected during the night.
https://p.dw.com/p/5LhwI
Skip next section Voter turnout up 50% since 2021 election, says DW's Jens Thurau
09/06/2026September 6, 2026
Voter turnout up 50% since 2021 election, says DW's Jens Thurau
Reporting from Magdeburg, DW's Jens Thurau said voter turnout is up massively since the last election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2021.
"The high level of attention this election is receiving within the state itself is also reflected in the high voter turnout. At noon, it stood at around 34%, compared to just 22.4% at the same time in the last election five years ago."
"Who benefits when so many more people exercise their right to vote? In many past elections, smaller parties have profited from this, as they tend to be stronger among voters who decide to vote at the last minute.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Coalition negotiations will be complex and may take weeks to form a government in Saxony-Anhalt
Likely · Within weeks
The CDU will maintain its refusal to cooperate with the AfD at the state level
Very likely · Within weeks
Economic concerns about AfD's potential impact on skilled worker attraction and investment will continue to be raised by business leaders
Likely · Within months

The Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) secured 44.5% of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt's state election, leading exit polls but failing to achieve an absolute majority needed to govern alone. Mainstream parties, including the CDU, have refused to cooperate with the AfD due to its far-right classification, creating a political deadlock despite record voter turnout of 76.5%.

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Exit polls show Germany's far-right AfD leading with 44.5% in Saxony-Anhalt state election, up from 20.8% in 2021, while CDU falls to 18.5% from 37.1%, potentially marking the party's first regional government and a major setback for Chancellor Friedrich Merz.

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