
標普全球評級指出Meta將AI投資轉化為營收的能力受限,恐導致自由現金流長期為負值
標普全球評級將Meta信評展望從「穩定」降至「負向」,主因是AI基礎設施資本支出激增及自由現金流存在重大不確定性。儘管Meta股價陷入技術性熊市,但部分非科技企業如桑坦德銀行與諾華製藥則表示AI投資已開始產生回報。
AI-generated summary
Meta因擴大AI基礎設施支出,現金消耗速度大幅增加,引發投資人對回報率的擔憂。
標普全球評級日前以人工智慧(AI)資本支出激增和自由現金流存在重大不確定性為由,將Meta(臉書母公司)信評展望從「穩定」調降至「負向」。儘管近期包括Meta、Google在內的許多科技大廠因擴大AI基礎設施支出,現金消耗速度大幅增加,引發投資人擔憂難以產生足夠回報,而導致股價重挫,但許多非科技企業表示,對AI的投資已開始產生回報。
Meta第三季自由現金流為負21.2億美元(新台幣負688.5億元),並預估全年資本支出將介於1350億至1450億美元(新台幣4.4兆元至4.7兆元)。Meta也計劃透過公開市場發行股票,籌資975億美元(新台幣3.2兆元),以支應AI基礎建設投資。
標普全球指出,相較於同業,Meta將AI投資轉化為營收的能力較受限制,高額支出可能使Meta的自由現金流在2028年之後仍持續為負值,並預期Meta將完全依靠舉債填補2028年的現金缺口,因此將Meta信評展望從「穩定」調降至「負向」。
自9月24日創下歷史高點777.59美元(新台幣2萬5254.6元)以來,Meta迄今股價已回跌20.9%,陷入「技術性」熊市。
CNBC報導,儘管投資人擔憂科技大廠恐怕很難回收AI的龐大支出,但包括西班牙金融巨擘桑坦德銀行(Santander)、諾華製藥和渣打銀行等企業都表示,AI正開始對他們的收入、獲利增加,並降低成本。
桑坦德銀行表示,其AI計畫在今年前9個月創造了1.94億歐元(新台幣70.3億元)的商業價值。該行財務長坎特拉(Jose G. Cantera)表示,AI正在幫助該行減少低價值工作,讓員工可專注於高價值的工作。
諾華製藥執行長納拉辛漢(Vas Narasimhan)表示,AI開始為公司的獲利做出貢獻。諾華製藥第3季核心營業利益為60.4億美元(新台幣1961.7億元),以固定匯率計算年增10%,該公司未量化有多少歸功於AI,但納拉辛漢指出:「這是我真正看到AI開始確實改善我們財報的第一個季度。」
渣打銀行第3季營業利益以固定匯率計算年增14%,該行財務長柯斯泰洛(Manus Costello)表示,AI正在幫助該行與客戶建立更好的關係,並創造更多收入。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Meta將持續面臨資本支出壓力,需透過舉債填補現金缺口。
Likely · Within years

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