
AI-generated summary
The market capitalization of global AI and semiconductor stocks is plummeting due to concerns about interest rate hikes, the burden of AI investment, and the prospect of Chinese memory companies catching up. In just four trading days this week, the market capitalization of the top 20 AI and semiconductor stocks evaporated by more than $1 trillion.
(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Joo-ho Jeong = Global AI and semiconductor stocks are continuing to plummet due to concerns about interest rate hikes, concerns about the burden of artificial intelligence (AI) investment, and the prospect of Chinese memory companies catching up.
According to the U.S. CNBC broadcast on the 15th (local time), the market capitalization of the top 20 AI and semiconductor stocks in the world by market capitalization evaporated more than $1 trillion (approximately 1,340 trillion won) over four trading days this week (12th to 15th).
AI leader Nvidia's stock price fell 5.3%, reducing its market capitalization by about $291 billion (about 391 trillion won). SK Hynix (USD 243.8 billion) and Samsung Electronics (USD 237.3 billion) followed.
The decline of the three memory companies (Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron) accounted for about 40% of the total.
According to the U.S. securities media outlet Benzinga, the market capitalization of six memory and storage companies, including Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Micron, Kioxia, SanDisk, and Western Digital, has evaporated $1.09 trillion (approximately 1463 trillion won) since the 2nd.
On this day, Nvidia (-1.8%), Intel (-2.8%), and AMD (-1.5%) fell on the New York Stock Exchange, and Dell Technologies fell 6.8%.
Even TSMC's good performance could not reverse the downward trend. TSMC predicted fourth quarter sales to reach up to $54.3 billion (approximately 72.9 trillion won), exceeding market expectations.
However, TSMC's stock price fell 2.0% on the Taiwan Stock Exchange that day, and its stock depository receipt (ADR) listed on the New York Stock Exchange also fell 1.8%.
Speculation that the 'super cycle' of AI demand may end is shaking the market, but there are many counterarguments that there will not be a price crash like in the past.
There were concerns that the cost of financing AI data center construction would increase due to the Federal Reserve's prospect of further interest rate hikes, and China's Changxin Memory (CXMT) recently announced a new structural technology that increased memory density, raising concerns about competition.
Regarding the theory of memory oversupply in 2029 that was raised accordingly, Tesla CEO Elon Musk responded to X by saying, "China will produce a huge amount of RAM in 2028."
There is also a view that the impact from China could be concentrated on Korean companies.
“If there is an impact, it will be on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, not Micron,” D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria told CNBC.
In fact, on this day, Micron continued to fluctuate and closed up 1.9%.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
If the forecast that China will produce massive amounts of RAM in 2028 becomes a reality, the global memory oversupply will worsen.
Possible · Within years
If the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates further, investment will continue to decline due to increased costs of building AI data centers.
Likely · Within months

KB Securities assessed that the sharp decline in the stock prices of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix was due to excessive adjustments due to the supply and demand gap in the domestic stock market and weakening investment sentiment rather than worsening performance, and analyzed that the semiconductor industry conditions and performance outlook are improving.

Antropic recorded sales of $16.8 billion in the third quarter, growing 45% compared to the previous quarter and recording operating profit surplus for the second consecutive quarter, but expectations for IPO corporate value were lowered from $2 trillion to $1.5 trillion due to the slowing growth rate, Reuters reported, citing an anonymous source.
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KOSPI plunged 7.57% the previous day and fell 21% for the 7th consecutive trading day, but the possibility of a backlash purchase is being explored thanks to the rise in the New York stock market and signs of easing concerns about interest rate hikes. Foreigners were net sellers for eight consecutive trading days, but individuals and institutions maintained a net buying trend, and some semiconductor-related stocks closed with reduced losses despite concerns about AI infrastructure.

The Ministry of SMEs and Startups will hold a 'Win-win Consumption Lottery' event from November 15 to November 29 in conjunction with the 'Korea Grand Festival'. For every KRW 30,000 paid on Digital Onnuri, 1 ticket for the metropolitan area and 2 tickets for non-metropolitan areas will be awarded, and a total prize of KRW 1.7 billion and a first prize of KRW 30 million will be paid as Digital Onnuri gift certificates to encourage local consumption.

Bloomberg reported that Antropic was asked by New York City Comptroller Mark Levin to suspend the IPO due to AI safety and governance issues ahead of its listing next month. Levin called for disclosure of appropriate audit and control measures and response to the unprecedented risks of technology, and it is reported that the New York City pension fund's investment in Antropic is approximately 9.4 billion won.

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq indices in the New York stock market all closed higher on the 15th thanks to the decline in U.S. Treasury yields. Technology stocks were weak due to investment costs and debt concerns of AI-related companies, but consumption-related stocks led the rise. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield recorded its largest one-day drop since August 1, and despite the rise in the producer price index, the market evaluated the Fed's outlook for freezing interest rates as prevailing.