
富邦集團董事長蔡明忠與富邦金控董事長蔡明興出席頒獎典禮,對台灣經濟前景與台股走勢表達樂觀看法。
富邦集團舉辦「蔡萬才台灣貢獻獎」頒獎典禮。董事長蔡明忠與蔡明興出席受訪,看好AI產業紅利帶動台灣長期競爭優勢,並對明年經濟成長及台股挑戰5萬點持樂觀態度,認為台灣產業鏈在全球AI基礎建設中具備多元優勢。
AI-generated summary
富邦集團創辦人蔡萬才逝世12週年,該獎項旨在表彰對台灣有貢獻的人士。蔡明忠與蔡明興為富邦集團核心決策者。
富邦集團舉辦的「蔡萬才台灣貢獻獎」今舉行贈獎典禮,富邦集團董事長蔡明忠和富邦金控董事長蔡明興皆親自出席活動,並先後受訪。對台灣經濟前景、全球 AI 產業發展及台股大盤走勢,兄弟兩人均表達樂觀態度,認為在AI浪潮帶動下,台灣經濟與產業鏈具備長期競爭優勢。
蔡明忠表示,今天適逢父親、富邦集團創辦人蔡萬才逝世12週年,選在今天舉辦「蔡萬才台灣貢獻獎」贈獎典禮,他認為特別有意義。蔡明忠指出,父親生前熱愛台灣這塊土地,希望能對為台灣做出重要貢獻的人表達敬意與謝意,因而有了該獎項的發想。
蔡明忠談及台灣經濟展望時指出,受惠於AI帶動,未來1至2年的經濟成長相當樂觀。他分析,今年台灣出口成長達30%至40%,以台灣的經濟體規模,預計今年經濟成長率可達13%、14%;至於明年,「我相信沒有雙位數,高個位數也可以期待」。蔡明忠也建議,政府若能做得更好,關鍵在於如何利用AI紅利,讓全民可以分享。
蔡明興則分析全球 AI發展局勢,他表示,全球AI基礎建設「現在也才走到半路」,上市公司的財務預測普遍顯示明年表現會比今年更好。他指出,全球AI建設最大的兩個受惠國是台灣和南韓,但南韓出口高度集中於記憶體產業,而台灣則擁有更加分散且多元的受益產業。
蔡明興說,台灣能在這波 AI 建設中大放異彩,不是突然發生的,而是過去50年各產業不斷努力精進、累積下來後爆發出來,現在是全世界對台灣刮目相看的時候。
今日台股盤中一度來到4萬9770點史上新高,最後以4萬9712點作收。對此,蔡明興表示,近期大盤呈現健康的類股輪動,前一陣子由中小型股領漲,隨後轉由大型股及金融股接棒,且市場成交量能充足,「有大的量才會有高價」。
談及大盤將挑戰5萬點新高,他表示「近在咫尺而已,台積電跳一下就過去了」。富邦金也希望盡一己之力帶動發展。
富邦金控今股價上漲1%來到152元。蔡明興表示,富邦金控今年整體獲利表現良好,整年度預期會有亮眼的成果。對於股價表現,他過去在股東會曾表達過覺得股價被低估,如今股價回升整理,他認為已合理反映公司的理想價位。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
台股大盤將挑戰5萬點新高
Likely · Within months

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