Alabama vs. Georgia prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks, best bets by proven model

A showdown with SEC and College Football Playoff implications highlights Saturday night college football action for Week 6, as the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs visit the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide. The Bulldogs (5-0, 3-0 SEC) have scored at an NCAA-best 51.4 points per game and have not allowed more than 20 in any contest. The Crimson Tide (5-0, 3-0) have tallied at least 45 points every week, including a 56-23 road win over then-No. 16 Mississippi State. Alabama bested Georgia in the 2025 regular season, but the Bulldogs won the rematch in the SEC Championship Game.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. The Crimson Tide are 2.5-point favorites, with the over/under at 51.5 points in the latest Georgia vs. Alabama odds. The line has moved 5 points since the Dawgs opened as 2.5-point favorites. Georgia has not won in Tuscaloosa since 2007. Before making any Alabama vs. Georgia picks, check out the Georgia vs. Alabama predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

After simulating Georgia vs. Alabama 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Under 51.5 points at betting apps. That might be a surprise to some, as these teams rank No. 1 and No. 2 in the nation in scoring, combining to tally a ridiculous 98.1 points per game.

But each team has a defense, too. Georgia's unit is allowing a scant 244.6 yards per game. Alabama's numbers aren't quite of that level of shut-down, but it's held three opponents under 20 points, and its 10th-ranked run defense is a good strength against a Bulldogs offense that averages 213 rush yards per game.

The Over has hit in all five Alabama games and in four of five for Georgia. But SportsLine's model is projecting 45 points in this one, making the Under the value 65% of the time. See the model's spread and money-line picks at SportsLine.

In addition to going Under on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama vs. Georgia, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's on a 40-35 run on top-rated CFB picks, and find out.